Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Toronto FC
4-4
Finished
HT 2-1
Chicago Fire
BMO Field, Toronto 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.45
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel41%RiskMediumGap+6.0%
Toronto FC Rest
7 days
Chicago Fire Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.80
X
30%3.75
2
41%2.28
Double Chance
1X
59%1.60
X2
71%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.45
No
30%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.35 = 2.80
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
56%1.53
Over 3.5
35%2.32
Under 1.5
22%5.28
Under 2.5
44%2.42
Under 3.5
65%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.7
Over 8.5
42%1.65
Over 9.5
33%1.94
Over 10.5
22%2.38
Under 8.5
58%2.17
Under 9.5
67%1.81
Under 10.5
78%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.73
Over 4.5
39%2.00
Under 3.5
41%2.00
Under 4.5
61%1.73

Match Events

13'Maren Haile-Selassie
18'Sam RogersFoul
27'Josh SargentAssist: Djordje Mihailovic
34'Markus CimermancicFoul
38'Josh Sargent
45'Sam Rogers INNoah Allen out
49'Walker ZimmermanOG
54'Josh SargentAssist: Djordje Mihailovic
55'Matheus Pereira de Souza INJackson Gilman out
58'Maren Haile-SelassieAssist: Robert Lewandowski
63'Robert LewandowskiAssist: Philip Zinckernagel
64'Theo Corbeanu INLewis Morgan out
64'Puso Dithejane INRobin Lod out
77'Maren Haile-Selassie INSergio Oregel out
78'Djé D'Avilla INMauricio Pineda out
79'Markus Cimermancic INEmilio Aristizábal out
79'Djordje Mihailovic INDerrick Etienne Jr. out
86'Robin LodFoul
89'Philip Zinckernagel INJohan Arath Gomez out
90'Benjamin KuscevicFoul
90+2'Derrick Etienne Jr.Assist: Dániel Sallói

Lineups

Toronto FC
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Fraser
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Coach: G. Berhalter
L. Gavran1L. GavranL. Gavran
R. Laryea22R. LaryeaR. Laryea
W. Zimmerman25W. ZimmermanW. Zimmerman
B. Kuscevic13B. KuscevicB. Kuscevic
Matheus Pereira3M. PereiraMatheus Pereira
Alonso Coello14A. CoelloAlonso Coello
M. Cimermancic71M. CimermancicM. Cimermancic
T. Corbeanu7T. CorbeanuT. Corbeanu
D. Mihailović10D. MihailovićD. Mihailović
D. Sallói20D. SallóiD. Sallói
J. Sargent9J. SargentJ. Sargent
C. Brady1C. BradyC. Brady
J. Dean24J. DeanJ. Dean
S. Rogers5S. RogersS. Rogers
J. Elliott3J. ElliottJ. Elliott
A. Gutman15A. GutmanA. Gutman
A. Salétros6A. SalétrosA. Salétros
T. D'Avilla42T. D'AvillaT. D'Avilla
M. Haile-Selassie7M. Haile-SelassieM. Haile-Selassie
P. Zinckernagel11P. ZinckernagelP. Zinckernagel
R. Lewandowski9R. LewandowskiR. Lewandowski
P. Dithejane12P. DithejaneP. Dithejane

Toronto FC Substitutes

44R. EdwardsD
11D. EtienneF
19K. FranklinD
38J. GilmanD
15N. GomisD
12Z. MonlouisD
90L. MorganF
17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
23W. YarbroughG

Chicago Fire Substitutes

32N. AllenD
17R. LodM
35S. OregelM
22M. PinedaD
29D. PorębaM
47Samuel WilliamsM
18J. GómezF
44J. CohenG
2Leonardo BarrosoD

Match Stats

Toronto FCChicago Fire
43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots15
8Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots4
9Fouls7
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
347Total Passes471
287Passes Accurate405
83%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Toronto FCToronto FC
Chicago FireChicago Fire
1546Elo Rating 1648
1.68Attack 1.75
0.88Defense 0.84
37%Hit Rate 0%
14.9Shots per Game 14.8
5.7Shots on Target 5.8
4.1Corners per Game 6.3
1.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Toronto FCToronto FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Toronto FC 0%Draw 39%61% Chicago Fire
3.35Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Chicago FireChicago Fire
2W2D1L
29/08/2026
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
22
D
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
L
23/08/2026
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
11
D
20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
W
17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
21
W

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Toronto FC and Chicago Fire have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.35 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.