FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction

FC Thun
3-3
Finished
HT 2-2
FC Basel 1893
Stockhorn Arena, Thun·Lukas Fahndrich 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
FC Thun Rest
2 days
FC Basel 1893 Rest
7 days

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893: result, form and history

FC Thun and FC Basel 1893 drew 3-3 in the Super League on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FC Basel 1893 have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.10
X
25%3.86
2
29%2.92
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
54%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.36
No
34%2.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.26 = 3.01
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.36
Over 3.5
46%1.94
Under 1.5
15%6.50
Under 2.5
34%2.88
Under 3.5
54%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.9 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.28
Over 9.5
58%1.50
Over 10.5
46%1.82
Under 8.5
31%3.20
Under 9.5
42%2.40
Under 10.5
54%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

1'Žan CelarAssist: Ludwig Thorell
12'Philip OteleAssist: Abemly Meto Silu Metinho
16'Brighton Labeau
39'Nils·ReichmuthAssist: Fabio Fehr
43'Philip OteleFoul
53'Ludwig Thorell INgiacomo koloto out
55'Žan Celar(Penalty)
56'Adam Ilic INNico Maier out
64'Nils·Reichmuth INPatrik Kristal out
64'Mattias Käit INNassim Zoukit out
68'Moussa Cisse INColeen Louis out
68'Asane Sow INKazeem Olaigbe out
77'Furkan Dursun INNoah Christoffersson out
77'Olivier Mambwa INLucien Dähler out
78'Kevin RueggOG
81'Coleen LouisFoul
85'Philip Otele INJonas harder out
85'Kevin Ruegg INKeigo Tsunemoto out
90+6'Jan BamertFoul

Lineups

FC Thun
4-2-2-2Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
FC Basel 1893
4-3-3Coach: S. Jokanović
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating6.40
N. Steffen6.51N. Steffen
F. Fehr6.247F. Fehr
N. Bürgy6.15N. Bürgy
J. Bamert6.119J. Bamert
O. Mambwa6.12O. Mambwa
M. Käit6.314M. Käit
J. Roth6.316J. Roth
N. Reichmuth7.370N. Reichmuth
Adam Ilic6.052A. Ilic
B. Labeau7.996B. Labeau
F. Dursun6.49F. Dursun
J. Omlin5.71J. Omlin
K. Rüegg5.127K. Rüegg
A. Victory6.255A. Victory
F. Daniliuc6.224F. Daniliuc
M. Cissé5.929M. Cissé
B. Omeragić6.34B. Omeragić
L. Małachowski Thorell6.88L. Małachowski Thorell
Metinho7.75Metinho
A. Sow6.518A. Sow
Ž. Celar8.29Ž. Celar
P. Otele7.57P. Otele

FC Thun Substitutes

25T. Spycher
30N. Maier56'for Adam Ilic5.9
80S. Lengen
15P. Kristal64'for Nils·Reichmuth5.7
33M. Gutbub
23M. Bürki
26N. Christoffersson77'for Furkan Dursun6.7
37L. Dähler77'for Olivier Mambwa5.8
13N. Zoukit64'for Mattias Käit5.6

FC Basel 1893 Substitutes

3N. Vouilloz
14A. Bačanin
44J. Harder85'for Philip Otele5.8
37G. Koloto53'for Ludwig Thorell6.4
25C. Louis68'for Moussa Cisse81'5.6
22C. Michelin
11K. Olaigbe68'for Asane Sow6.6
13M. Salvi
6K. Tsunemoto85'for Kevin Ruegg5.9

Match Stats

FC ThunFC Basel 1893
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
17Fouls12
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
338Total Passes371
241Passes Accurate267
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

FC ThunFC Thun
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
1580Elo Rating 1565
2.49Attack 0.99
0.92Defense 1.54
50%Hit Rate 19%
16.6Shots per Game 16.1
7.5Shots on Target 3.1
4.1Corners per Game 5.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FC ThunFC Thun2Wins · 40%
Draws00%
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18933Wins · 60%
4.2Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
100%3+ goals5 of 5

Previous meetings

Super League09/08/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
42
Super League02/05/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
31
Super League18/04/2026
FC ThunFC Basel 1893
31
Super League01/02/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
12
Super League13/09/2025
FC ThunFC Basel 1893
13

Recent Form

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
2W2D6L
01/11/2026
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
21
L
25/10/2026
FC Basel 1893Grasshoppers
00
D
16/10/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Basel 1893
03
W
11/10/2026
FC VaduzFC Basel 1893
30
L
03/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
73
L
20/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC ST. Gallen
13
L
13/09/2026
FC LuzernFC Basel 1893
24
W
06/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
13
L
03/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Sion
12
L
29/08/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893
33
D

Referee Profile

Lukas Fahndrich158 matches

4.74Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lukas Fahndrich4.74
Other referees4.88

4.74 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano13111136:15+2134LWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1384141:25+1628WLWWW
3FC SionFC Sion1382329:18+1126WDWLD
4FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1371524:22+222WWLWW
5FC ZurichFC Zurich1363425:26-121DWWWD
6Servette FCServette FC1352617:16+117DLWWL
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931343621:25-415DLDLL
8FC ThunFC Thun1342727:37-1014DWLLW
9FC LuzernFC Luzern1334621:28-713LDLLW
10GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1325616:29-1311DDDLL
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz1331924:29-510LDLWL
12LausanneLausanne1314812:23-117DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1336:1534
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1341:2528
3FC SionFC Sion1329:1826
4FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1324:2222
5FC ZurichFC Zurich1325:2621
6Servette FCServette FC1317:1617
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931321:2515
8FC ThunFC Thun1327:3714
9FC LuzernFC Luzern1321:2813
10GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1316:2911
11FC VaduzFC Vaduz1324:2910
12LausanneLausanne1312:237
Relegation

About the FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

FC Thun and FC Basel 1893 in the Super League table

FC Basel 1893 and FC Thun are close in the Super League table, 7th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: FC Thun 27-37, FC Basel 1893 21-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.