FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.48
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+1.5%
FC Thun Rest
4 days
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
4 days
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: the result in context
HNK Hajduk Split beat FC Thun 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: HNK Hajduk Split had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FC Thun.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
131%2.89
X27%3.55
242%2.29
Double Chance
1X58%1.57
X269%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.47
No37%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.79 = 3.05
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.560%1.60
Over 3.539%2.45
Under 1.519%4.80
Under 2.540%2.36
Under 3.561%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.7 = 9.1
Over 8.554%1.52
Over 9.543%1.91
Over 10.533%2.45
Under 8.546%2.33
Under 9.557%1.85
Under 10.567%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.2 = 4.6
Over 3.568%1.42
Over 4.550%1.85
Under 3.532%2.70
Under 4.550%1.91
Match Events
17'D. de Almeida
47'A. del MoralFoul
56'J. RothHolding
64'D. MaresicUnsportsmanlike conduct
67'M. Sego(Penalty missed)
70'M. Soticek IND. Melnjak out
70'N. Maier INN. Zoukit out
70'F. Dursun INN. Christoffersson out
73'N. ReichmuthHolding
77'J. Roth IND. Derbaci out
77'B. Labeau INR. Braschi out
78'M. Sego INM. Livaja out
78'A. del Moral INL. Dendoncker out
83'N. Reichmuth INS. Lengen out
84'A. Sanyang INC. Martin out
84'K. Fayad INA. Van Hoorenbeeck out
Lineups
FC ThunHNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Avg ratingAvg rating
1N. Steffen
47F. Fehr
C23M. Bürki
19J. Bamert
2O. Mambwa
70N. Reichmuth
16J. Roth
14M. Käit
30N. Maier
96B. Labeau
9F. Dursun
33T. Silić
22M. Acapandié
6D. Hadžikadunić
15D. Marešić
32Š. Hrgović
8K. Fayad
20A. del Moral
7A. Sanyang Bamba
9D. de Almeida
23M. Šotiček
C11M. ŠegoFC Thun Substitutes
22Dario Walti
25Tim Spycher
5Nicolas Bürgy
18Tom Strannegård
37Lucien Dähler
54Louis Passavant
13Nassim Zoukit70'for N. Maier
21Dorian Derbaci77'for J. Roth
52Adam Ilic
20Riccardo Braschi77'for B. Labeau
26Noah Christoffersson70'for F. Dursun
80Simon Lengen83'for N. Reichmuth
HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes
99Davyd Fesyuk
44Dante Stipica
3Roko Gabrić
5Alec Van Hoorenbeeck84'for K. Fayad
14Ron Raçi
17Dario Melnjak70'for M. Soticek
16Anđelo Šutalo
18Leander Dendoncker78'for A. del Moral
26Adam Huram
19Etnik Brruti
77Carlos Martín84'for A. Sanyang
10Marko Livaja78'for M. Sego
Match Stats
FC ThunHNK Hajduk Split 54%Ball Possession46%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots1
23Fouls16
3Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
397Total Passes350
276Passes Accurate244
70%Pass Accuracy70%
Team Comparison
FC ThunHNK Hajduk Split1541Elo Rating 1763
0.84Attack 1.22
1.50Defense 2.22
14%Hit Rate 86%
11.2Shots per Game 13.3
3.6Shots on Target 5.5
3.5Corners per Game 3.6
2.6Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Thun- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HNK Hajduk Split- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Recent Form
FC Thun3W2D5L
18/10/2026
FC SchaffhausenFC Thun
15/10/2026FC SchaffhausenFC Thun2121
D
TwenteFC Thun10
L10/10/2026
FC ZurichFC Thun42
L03/10/2026FC Thun
SC Kriens
20/09/2026FC ThunSC Kriens20
W
FC VaduzFC Thun12
W16/09/2026FC Thun
Servette FC24
L12/09/2026FC Thun
Grasshoppers
FC ThunGrasshoppers01
L06/09/2026
FC SionFC Thun
02/09/2026FC SionFC Thun32
LFC Thun
Lausanne00
D30/08/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun34
WHNK Hajduk Split9W0D1L
18/10/2026HNK Hajduk Split
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
Ajax
HNK RijekaHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
RudesHNK Hajduk Split
Raków CzęstochowaHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin10
W15/10/2026HNK Hajduk SplitAjax21
W10/10/2026HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
20/09/2026HNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb21
WHNK RijekaHNK Hajduk Split30
L13/09/2026HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven Belupo10
W08/09/2026
VardaracHNK Hajduk Split
06/09/2026VardaracHNK Hajduk Split02
WRudesHNK Hajduk Split04
W31/08/2026HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
27/08/2026HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb20
WRaków CzęstochowaHNK Hajduk Split2232
W23/08/2026HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek40
WReferee Profile
3.69Cards per match
3.59Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.69 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).
Cards come from 169 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafe
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff TiraspolFC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagInter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar JerusalemRaków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC NordsjaellandFC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea ClujBrannFC Vaduz
FCSB
AudaNK VarazdinFK Jablonec
Aluminij
VojvodinaAjax
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
PaksPanathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
LudogoretsBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
KoperHNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriIFK GoteborgFlorianaDritaAtert BissenGyori ETO FCNeftchi BakuBaşakşehirVardar SkopjeRigaSpartak TrnavaCSKA 1948Železničar PančevoSC BragaHibernianAustria ViennaCFR 1907 ClujPanevėžysFK Tobol KostanayHJK HelsinkiColeraine FCFlora TallinnThe New SaintsDebreceni VSCApollon LimassolAEK LarnacaBeitar JerusalemRaków CzęstochowaValletta FCDunajska StredaVestriGaisFC NordsjaellandFC SionRapid ViennaZimbruFC NoahML VitebskSutjeskaUniversitatea ClujBrannFC VaduzFCSBAudaNK VarazdinFK JablonecAluminijVojvodinaAjaxPolessyaFC CopenhagenPaksPanathinaikosHapoel Tel AvivLudogoretsBorac Banja LukaPetrocubLNZ CherkasyGentFC LuganoDukagjiniŽilinaGKS KatowiceMotherwellHB TorshavnBravoKoperHNK RijekaDerry CityShelbourneFK PartizanValur ReykjavikZrinjskiExplore more predictions
This match
- FC Thun Predictions
- HNK Hajduk Split Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.