Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-1.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Ajax Rest
4 days
Atalanta Rest
4 days
Ajax vs Atalanta: result, form and history
Ajax beat Atalanta 2-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.06
X26%3.77
230%3.20
Double Chance
1X70%1.33
X256%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.40
No35%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.41 = 3.17
Over 1.584%1.12
Over 2.564%1.44
Over 3.544%2.13
Under 1.516%5.90
Under 2.536%2.70
Under 3.556%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.9 = 10.2
Over 8.565%1.64
Over 9.554%1.98
Over 10.544%2.58
Under 8.535%2.18
Under 9.546%1.75
Under 10.556%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.84
Over 4.543%2.71
Under 3.538%1.87
Under 4.557%1.42
Match Events
45'S. AmrabatRoughing
62'C. De Ketelaere INL. Samardzic out
62'O. Gloukh INV. Tsygankov out
62'D. Klaassen INA. Ouazane out
66'Marcos Leonardo INT. Arokodare out
68'L. SamardzicHolding
72'G. Scamacca INN. Krstovic out
80'G. Gaetano INM. Pasalic out
81'E. Elmas INJ. Rowe out
86'N. ZalewskiFoul
87'T. ArokodareAssist: Y. Baas
90+1'J. Brandt IND. Janse out
90+2'M. ter StegenDelay of game
90+3'A. OuazaneAssist: T. Arokodare
Lineups
AjaxAtalanta
4-2-3-1Avg ratingAvg rating
1M. Ter Stegen
2L. Rosa
30A. Bouwman
15Y. Baas
5O. Wijndal
24J. Mokio
4S. Amrabat
C18D. Klaassen
8J. Brandt
10O. Gloukh
38M. Leonardo
29M. Carnesecchi
16R. Bellanova
31T. Kristensen
40R. Obrić
77D. Zappacosta
70G. Gaetano
C13Éderson
99E. Elmas
17C. De Ketelaere
59N. Zalewski
9G. ScamaccaAjax Substitutes
11Viktor Tsygankov62'for O. Gloukh
68Abdellah Ouazane62'for D. Klaassen90+3'
99Tolu Arokodare66'for Marcos Leonardo87'
22Joeri Heerkens
26Maarten Paes
6Thilo Kehrer
21Jofre Torrents
36Dies Janse90+1'for J. Brandt
67Mohamed Abdalla
43Rayane Bounida
49Diego Pugno
Atalanta Substitutes
10Lazar Samardžić62'for C. De Ketelaere68'
51Mattia Sonzogni
57Marco Sportiello
55Isaac Isoa
8Mario Pašalić80'for G. Gaetano
41Javison Idele
47Lorenzo Bernasconi
46Sergej Levak
48Andrea Bonanomi
11Jonathan Rowe81'for E. Elmas
90Nikola Krstović72'for G. Scamacca
Match Stats
AjaxAtalanta 61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots16
7Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal8
17Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots7
8Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
656Total Passes422
604Passes Accurate374
92%Pass Accuracy89%
Team Comparison
AjaxAtalanta1837Elo Rating 1803
2.81Attack 1.95
1.34Defense 1.15
41%Hit Rate 42%
20.4Shots per Game 17.0
7.9Shots on Target 5.7
6.5Corners per Game 4.7
1.1Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Ajax- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atalanta- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Ajax0Wins · 0%Draws150%
Atalanta1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
09/12/2020AjaxAtalanta01
27/10/2020AtalantaAjax22
Recent Form
Ajax6W2D2L
Atalanta5W1D4L
Referee Profile
5.76Cards per match
5.42Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
29.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.76 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).
Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafe
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagInter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea ClujBrann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
Aluminij
VojvodinaAjax
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
PaksPanathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
LudogoretsBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriIFK GoteborgFlorianaDritaAtert BissenGyori ETO FCNeftchi BakuBaşakşehirVardar SkopjeRigaSpartak TrnavaCSKA 1948Železničar PančevoSC BragaHibernianAustria ViennaCFR 1907 ClujPanevėžysFK Tobol KostanayHJK HelsinkiColeraine FCFlora TallinnThe New SaintsDebreceni VSCApollon LimassolAEK LarnacaBeitar JerusalemRaków CzęstochowaValletta FCDunajska StredaVestriGaisFC NordsjaellandFC SionRapid ViennaZimbruFC NoahML VitebskSutjeskaUniversitatea ClujBrannFC VaduzFCSBAudaNK VarazdinFK JablonecAluminijVojvodinaAjaxPolessyaFC CopenhagenPaksPanathinaikosHapoel Tel AvivLudogoretsBorac Banja LukaPetrocubLNZ CherkasyGentFC LuganoDukagjiniŽilinaGKS KatowiceMotherwellHB TorshavnBravoKoperHNK RijekaDerry CityShelbourneFK PartizanValur ReykjavikZrinjskiExplore more predictions
This match
- Ajax Predictions
- Atalanta Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
About the Ajax vs Atalanta forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ajax and Atalanta have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.