Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Henan Jianye
3-4
Finished
HT 3-0
Beijing Guoan
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Henan Jianye Rest
7 days
Beijing Guoan Rest
5 days

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan: result, form and history

Beijing Guoan beat Henan Jianye 4-3 in the Super League on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Beijing Guoan had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Henan Jianye.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.10
X
27%3.70
2
44%2.10
Double Chance
1X
56%1.69
X2
71%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.42
No
37%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.6 = 2.75
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
61%1.48
Over 3.5
40%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
39%2.58
Under 3.5
60%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.35
Over 9.5
50%1.66
Over 10.5
38%2.07
Under 8.5
38%2.75
Under 9.5
50%2.09
Under 10.5
62%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

20'Bruno NazarioAssist: Gustavo
26'Pedro MaranhaoFoul
30'Chi ZhongguoFoul
34'GustavoAssist: Zhong Yihao
42'Gustavo
45'Abdugheni AbduhamitFoul
46'Chi Zhongguo INZhang Xizhe out
46'Abdugheni Abduhamit INU. Spajic out
46'Yue Tze-Nam INWang Gang out
65'Zhang Xizhe
69'Deng Jiefu
70'Bai Yang INZ. Jiang out
73'Lin LiangmingAssist: Zhang Xizhe
78'Shi ChenglongDelay of game
79'Liu Jiahui INZheng Dalun out
80'Zhong Yihao INHe Chao out
81'Zhang YuningAssist: Lin Liangming
88'Liu Yixin INFan Xulin out
88'Serginho INCheng Xi out
90+1'U. SpajicFoul
90+3'Bruno NazarioUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+12'Bruno Nazario INYin Congyao out

Lineups

Henan Jianye
4-2-3-1
Beijing Guoan
3-4-2-1
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.78
Chenglong Shi6.933C. Shi
Yeljan Shinar5.64Y. Shinar
Iago Maidana5.92I. Maidana
Liu Jiahui6.25L. Jiahui
Yixin Liu6.227Y. Liu
Oliver Gerbig6.73O. Gerbig
Shangyuan WangC7.36S. Wang
Maranhão6.28Maranhão
Bruno Nazário8.310B. Nazário
Yihao Zhong6.57Y. Zhong
Gustavo8.99Gustavo
Hou Sen6.334H. Sen
Abdugheni Abduhamit5.924A. Abduhamit
Guilherme Ramos6.95G. Ramos
Yang Bai5.726Y. Bai
Tze-Nam Yue6.521T. Yue
Chi Zhongguo5.96C. Zhongguo
Aboubacar Konte6.68A. Konte
Deng Jiefu6.347D. Jiefu
Lin Liangming8.911L. Liangming
Sai Erjini'ao6.97S. Erjini'ao
Zhang YuningC7.29Z. Yuning

Henan Jianye Substitutes

29Dalun Zheng79'for Liu Jiahui6.3
21Chao He80'for Zhong Yihao6.5
30Xulin Fan88'for Liu Yixin6.3
17Jinshuai Wang
18Gouming Wang
26Jiamin Xu
28Changjie Du
16Kuo Yang
39Osman Ekber
13Abdurasul Abudulam
25Yilin Yang
24Congyao Yin90+12'for Bruno Nazario

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

27Gang Wang46'for Yue Tze-Nam7.2
25Uroš Spajić46'for Abdugheni Abduhamit90+1'7.3
10Zhang Xizhe46'for Chi Zhongguo65'8.2
58Zicheng Jiang70'for Bai Yang6.3
41Cheng Xi88'for Serginho6.3
22Han Jiaqi
30Shuangjie Fan
43Xia Xiaoyu
32Wang Size
50Zhang Haoran
36Feifan Jia

Match Stats

Henan JianyeBeijing Guoan
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box1
0Blocked Shots2
12Fouls24
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
341Total Passes493
243Passes Accurate408
71%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
1542Elo Rating 1777
1.36Attack 2.42
1.14Defense 2.05
0%Hit Rate 100%
14.2Shots per Game 12.1
4.7Shots on Target 4.9
5.2Corners per Game 4.5
2.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Henan JianyeHenan Jianye4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan5Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League23/05/2026
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
12
FA Cup06/12/2025
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
30
Super League12/09/2025
Henan JianyeBeijing Guoan
20
Super League25/04/2025
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
10
Super League02/11/2024
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
11
Super League15/06/2024
Henan JianyeBeijing Guoan
21
Super League04/08/2023
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
31
Super League05/05/2023
Henan JianyeBeijing Guoan
01
Super League04/11/2022
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
21
Super League07/08/2022
Henan JianyeBeijing Guoan
30

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Henan Jianye and Beijing Guoan in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: Beijing Guoan are 3rd in the Super League, while Henan Jianye sit 14th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Henan Jianye 38-42, Beijing Guoan 57-36. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.