Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

BC Place, Vancouver·R. Montero 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+13.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
3 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
4 days

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo: the result in context

Houston Dynamo beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 20 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Houston Dynamo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.52
X
25%4.40
2
16%5.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.14
X2
41%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.60
No
48%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.9 = 2.50
Over 1.5
75%1.17
Over 2.5
50%1.54
Over 3.5
28%2.34
Under 1.5
25%5.00
Under 2.5
50%2.41
Under 3.5
72%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.6 = 8.7
Over 8.5
51%1.44
Over 9.5
43%1.73
Over 10.5
31%2.10
Under 8.5
49%2.58
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
69%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
42%2.02
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
58%1.75

Match Events

26'A. Cubas
34'F. Negri
37'A. Resch
41'A. Bouzat
46'C. Sabaly INT. Muller out
64'Goal Disallowed - FoulR. Elloumi
70'Guilherme IND. McGuire out
73'E. Sabbi INB. Caicedo out
74'A. Cubas INR. Priso out
75'F. Negri INM. Saracchi out
75'H. Herrera IND. Samassekou out
79'L. Ennali IND. Holmes out
88'T. Johnson INS. Adekugbe out
88'E. Ocampo INN. Djordjevic out

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: Jesper Sorensen
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.97
Yohei Takaoka6.51Y. Takaoka
Édier Ocampo6.718É. Ocampo
Mathías Laborda8.22M. Laborda
Tristan Blackmon7.233T. Blackmon
Tate Johnson6.928T. Johnson
Oliver Larraz7.08O. Larraz
Andrés Cubas6.220A. Cubas
Emmanuel Sabbi6.211E. Sabbi
Ryan GauldC7.325R. Gauld
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly6.97C. Tidiane Sabaly
Rayan Elloumi6.519R. Elloumi
Jonathan Bond7.331J. Bond
Lawrence Ennali6.611L. Ennali
Agustin Resch6.934A. Resch
Lucas Halter7.65L. Halter
Franco Negri7.921F. Negri
ArturC7.36Artur
Héctor Herrera7.016H. Herrera
Jack McGlynn6.98J. McGlynn
Agustín Bouzat6.630A. Bouzat
Guilherme6.620Guilherme
Mateusz Bogusz6.919M. Bogusz

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

13Thomas Müller46'for C. Sabaly7.2
14Bruno Quiñonez73'for E. Sabbi6.3
6Ralph Priso74'for A. Cubas7.3
3Sam Adekugbe88'for T. Johnson6.6
41Nikola Djordjevic88'for E. Ocampo6.6
32Isaac Boehmer
29Mihail Gherasimencov
26Jean-Claude Ngando
97Liam MacKenzie

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

23Duncan McGuire70'for Guilherme6.3
4Marcelo Saracchi75'for F. Negri7.0
18Diadié Samassékou75'for H. Herrera6.7
14Duane Holmes79'for L. Ennali7.0
26Blake Gillingham
3Antônio Carlos
28Erik Sviatchenko
9Ondrej Lingr
24Ibrahim Aliyu

Match Stats

Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots9
1Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal1
12Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
582Total Passes355
507Passes Accurate288
87%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1687Elo Rating 1602
2.60Attack 1.25
2.14Defense 1.44
66%Hit Rate 23%
14.1Shots per Game 7.8
5.6Shots on Target 1.6
5.1Corners per Game 3.9
1.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo4Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
Major League Soccer18/08/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
11
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
03
Major League Soccer19/09/2024
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
11
Major League Soccer21/07/2024
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
34
Major League Soccer21/09/2023
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
41
Major League Soccer01/06/2023
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
62
Major League Soccer06/08/2022
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer13/03/2022
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
21
Major League Soccer30/09/2021
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
00

Recent Form

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
3W3D4L
17/08/2026
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
02
W
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
L
08/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Juarez
13
L
05/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAtlante FC
01
L
02/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC
11
D
26/07/2026
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
00
D
23/07/2026
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
43
L
14/07/2026
Cavalry FCVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
09/07/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsCavalry FC
41
W
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
W
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
7W2D1L
16/08/2026
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
10
W
08/08/2026
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
02
W
02/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
02
W
26/07/2026
Houston DynamoAustin
30
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
4222
L
17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
W

Referee Profile

R. Montero132 matches

4.34Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Montero4.34
Other referees4.21

4.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st and Houston Dynamo 5th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Vancouver Whitecaps 74-34, Houston Dynamo 43-43. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.