Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. Prediction

Mardin 1969
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Manisa F.K.
21 Kasım Stadium, Mardin·Hakan Ulker 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Mardin 1969 Rest
7 days
Manisa F.K. Rest
7 days

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.: the result in context

Mardin 1969 beat Manisa F.K. 2-1 in the 1. Lig on 26 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Mardin 1969 had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Manisa F.K..

Referee Hakan Ulker averages 4.00 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.60
X
24%3.77
2
21%4.80
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
46%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.48 = 2.90
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
22%3.80
Under 2.5
45%2.01
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.66
Over 9.5
41%2.07
Over 10.5
30%2.65
Under 8.5
47%2.10
Under 9.5
59%1.67
Under 10.5
70%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

11'Mallik WilksFoul
17'Ada IbikFoul
18'Uğur Adem GezerAssist: Tonio Teklić
24'Penalty confirmedJulien Anziani
26'Julien Anziani(Penalty)
44'Olarenwaju Kayode
61'Tonio Teklić INĐorđe Denić out
72'Yassine Benrahou INNoha Lemina out
72'Jonathan Lindseth INAlenis Vargas out
72'K. Yurdakul INYasin Güreler out
75'Mallik Wilks INBerkay Dogan out
75'Emre Taşdemir INEray Korkmaz out
81'Olarenwaju Kayode INBunyamin Balat out

Lineups

Mardin 1969
4-3-3Coach: Ivaylo Petev
Manisa F.K.
4-1-4-1Coach: Nestor El Maestro
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.28
E. Kardeşler6.31E. Kardeşler
N. Yardımcı6.13N. Yardımcı
M. Şengül6.625M. Şengül
U. Gezer7.715U. Gezer
E. Taşdemir6.033E. Taşdemir
B. Alhassan6.442B. Alhassan
A. Kabak6.516A. Kabak
Z. Dimitrov6.210Z. Dimitrov
T. Teklić7.491T. Teklić
M. Wilks6.747M. Wilks
O. Kayode8.19O. Kayode
V. Karakuş5.71V. Karakuş
K. Yurdakul6.822K. Yurdakul
C. Hérelle6.75C. Hérelle
Ada Ibik5.845A. Ibik
O. Kaynak5.93O. Kaynak
B. Touré6.560B. Touré
Y. Benrahou6.220Y. Benrahou
A. Çankaya6.36A. Çankaya
J. Anziani7.123J. Anziani
J. Lindseth6.010J. Lindseth
C. Sylla6.09C. Sylla

Mardin 1969 Substitutes

70Enes Erol
64B. Doğan75'for Mallik Wilks6.5
8Đ. Denić61'for Tonio Teklić5.9
11B. Balat81'for Olarenwaju Kayode6.2
29Ö. Kahveci
17E. Korkmaz75'for Emre Taşdemir6.3
77D. Taşkan
45O. Yıldırım
7Ş. Çetin
19A. Ülük

Manisa F.K. Substitutes

27Y. Güreler72'for K. Yurdakul6.4
4F. İnal
17Osman Kahraman
2Yunus Emre Köse
11N. Lemina72'for Yassine Benrahou6.2
96B. Tibukoglu
70A. Vargas72'for Jonathan Lindseth6.3
13Egemen Yayli
25A. Sen
24Y. Dursun

Match Stats

Mardin 1969Manisa F.K.
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
14Fouls17
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
351Total Passes432
277Passes Accurate372
17Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
1638Elo Rating 1581
1.16Attack 1.57
1.42Defense 0.80
42%Hit Rate 0%
8.1Shots per Game 13.7
2.0Shots on Target 3.8
3.6Corners per Game 4.6
2.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Recent Form

Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
5W2D3L
19/10/2026
Esenler EroksporMardin 1969
42
L
15/10/2026
Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
10
W
11/10/2026
BursasporMardin 1969
12
W
20/09/2026
Mardin 1969Kayserispor
01
L
13/09/2026
Iğdır FKMardin 1969
10
L
07/09/2026
Mardin 1969Bodrum FK
10
W
02/09/2026
SivassporMardin 1969
22
D
29/08/2026
Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
11
D
23/08/2026
BolusporMardin 1969
03
W
16/08/2026
Mardin 1969Antalyaspor
20
W
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
1W4D5L
19/10/2026
Manisa F.K.Muğlaspor
34
L
15/10/2026
Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
11
D
10/10/2026
KayserisporManisa F.K.
32
L
20/09/2026
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
01
L
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
L
03/09/2026
Iğdır FKManisa F.K.
42
L
30/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK
00
D
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
W

Referee Profile

Hakan Ulker63 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.82Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hakan Ulker4.00
Other referees4.72

4.00 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mardin 1969 and Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Mardin 1969 are 5th and Manisa F.K. 17th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Mardin 1969 16-11, Manisa F.K. 19-22. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mardin 1969 and Manisa F.K. have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.