Emelec vs Aucas Prediction

Emelec
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Aucas
Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil· Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador 02/08/2026
EmelecEmelec
0-2
Finished
AucasAucas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel34%RiskMediumGap+5.2%
Emelec Rest
5 days
Aucas Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.18
X
28%3.08
2
33%3.30
Double Chance
1X
67%1.29
X2
61%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.00
No
44%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.23 = 2.54
Over 1.5
70%1.43
Over 2.5
47%2.35
Over 3.5
27%4.35
Under 1.5
30%2.62
Under 2.5
53%1.54
Under 3.5
73%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'A. MinaFoul
37'E. PreciadoAssist: A. Mena
52'L. ArroyoFoul
56'J. Cevallos ING. Napoli out
56'A. Mina INF. Pizzini out
60'L. Fragozo INJ. Ayovi out
78'L. Klimowicz INA. Viteri out
79'A. Mena INS. Tapiero out
79'L. Arroyo INA. Garcia out
80'E. PreciadoAssist: P. Guzman
85'A. LeguizamonFoul
86'E. Preciado INR. Bolanos out
86'M. Vera IND. S. Espinosa out

Lineups

Emelec
4-1-4-1Coach: Cristian Nasuti
Aucas
4-1-4-1Coach: Norberto Araujo
Mario Valero1M. ValeroMario Valero
Orlando Herrera80O. HerreraOrlando Herrera
Aníbal Leguizamón2A. LeguizamónAníbal Leguizamón
Estalin Segura4E. SeguraEstalin Segura
Ignacio Guerrico3I. GuerricoIgnacio Guerrico
Sergio Quintero16S. QuinteroSergio Quintero
Juan Ruiz Gómez19J. Ruiz GómezJuan Ruiz Gómez
Angelo Mina5A. MinaAngelo Mina
José Cevallos21J. CevallosJosé Cevallos
Luis Fragozo15L. FragozoLuis Fragozo
Luca Klimowicz7L. KlimowiczLuca Klimowicz
Hamilton Piedra13H. PiedraHamilton Piedra
Alex Zova37A. ZovaAlex Zova
Luis Gustavino16L. GustavinoLuis Gustavino
Santiago Morales2S. MoralesSantiago Morales
Ederson Quiñónez28E. QuiñónezEderson Quiñónez
Agostino Spina6A. SpinaAgostino Spina
Maverick Vera57M. VeraMaverick Vera
Piero Guzmán21P. GuzmánPiero Guzmán
Andres Mena18A. MenaAndres Mena
Ayrton Preciado10A. PreciadoAyrton Preciado
Luis Arroyo29L. ArroyoLuis Arroyo

Emelec Substitutes

22Ezequiel CastañedaG
51Stalin ValenciaD
25Rafael NarváezM
18Mathias CarabalíD
27Luis Fernando LeónD
6Víctor GriffithM
28Tobar BolivarM
8Gonzalo NápoliM
10Francisco PizziniF
17Jaime AyovíF
24Andrés ViteriF

Aucas Substitutes

1Iván ChavesG
63Ariel GarcíaD
31Byron CarabalíD
14Stiven TapieroM
5Thiago SerpaM
20Diego EspinosaF
11Alexander BolañosF

Match Stats

EmelecAucas
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
13Fouls13
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
411Total Passes348
303Passes Accurate248
74%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

EmelecEmelec
AucasAucas
1503Elo Rating 1572
0.76Attack 0.77
2.09Defense 2.10
39%Hit Rate 14%
10.9Shots per Game 9.0
3.2Shots on Target 1.8
4.1Corners per Game 3.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EmelecEmelec
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AucasAucas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Emelec 17%Draw 19%64% Aucas
1.64Avg Goals
17%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador · 34 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
21.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 26% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWLWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDDDW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Emelec vs Aucas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

ScorePredicts covers Ecuador football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Emelec and Aucas have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.64 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.