Leon vs Toluca Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 14
Leon vs Toluca in numbers
Leon have won 2 of their last five, while Toluca are still looking for a first win in that run. The match is played in the Liga MX on 25 Oct 2026.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Toluca tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.2 for Leon.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Leon
TolucaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leon- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Toluca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Leon1Wins · 10%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
03/09/2026TolucaLeon
26/04/2026TolucaLeon05/10/2025LeonToluca09/02/2025LeonToluca03/11/2024TolucaLeon04/02/2024TolucaLeon22/10/2023LeonToluca29/01/2023TolucaLeon27/07/2022LeonToluca02/05/2022LeonTolucaRecent Form
Leon
Tigres UANLLeonLeon
Club America
PueblaLeonLeon
FC Juarez
Club QueretaroLeonLeon
Atletico San Luis
U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLeonClub AmericaTolucaLeon
Atlante FCLeonTolucaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32:16 | +16 | 27 | WWDWD |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 23 | WDDLD |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 23 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28:18 | +10 | 22 | DDLDL |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | LWDWD |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19:16 | +3 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 17 | DDDLD |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 16 | LWDLD |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 16 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 | WLLWD |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 13 | LLDLD |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 9 | LLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:32 | -24 | 4 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | 32:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 28:18 | 22 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 13 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlas | 13 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 12 | 23:17 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 12 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 13 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | 13:17 | 16 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 13 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 16 | CF Pachuca | 13 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 13 | 8:32 | 4 |
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About the Leon vs Toluca forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga MX
More Liga MX fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga MX Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.