Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Toluca vs Santos Laguna: result, form and history
Santos Laguna beat Toluca 3-2 in the Liga MX on 21 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Toluca had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Santos Laguna.
Toluca have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Referee Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez averages 3.36 cards a game, 1.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Toluca
Avg ratingAvg rating
22L. García
2D. Barbosa
4B. Méndez
6F. Pereira
25E. López
8N. Castro
20J. Gallardo
16F. Viñas
9A. Vega
26Paulinho
1C. Acevedo
3M. Cuevas
28J. Pérez
18F. Pardo
25F. Sánchez
17E. EcheverrÃa
10E. Bullaude
8S. Mariscal
23F. Cáseres
193L. Gómez
20E. LozanoToluca Substitutes
Santos Laguna Substitutes
Match Stats
TolucaSantos Laguna Team Comparison
TolucaSantos LagunaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toluca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Santos Laguna- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Toluca8Wins · 80%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
15/01/2026TolucaSantos Laguna17/07/2025Santos LagunaToluca07/04/2025TolucaSantos Laguna23/09/2024Santos LagunaToluca22/02/2024TolucaSantos Laguna06/11/2023Santos LagunaToluca24/02/2023Santos LagunaToluca17/10/2022Santos LagunaToluca14/10/2022TolucaSantos Laguna24/07/2022TolucaSantos LagunaRecent Form
Toluca
PueblaTolucaToluca
AtlasToluca
MonterreyToluca
LeonToluca
FC JuarezToluca
Austin
Club QueretaroToluca
Atlante FCTolucaToluca
FC DallasToluca
Los Angeles FCSantos LagunaSantos LagunaFC Juarez
Cruz AzulSantos LagunaSantos Laguna
Tigres UANLPueblaSantos LagunaSantos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
New York City FCSantos Laguna
Club AmericaSantos LagunaSantos LagunaAtlasReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.36 cards a match, 1.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).
Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Toluca vs Santos Laguna forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Toluca and Santos Laguna in the Liga MX table
Toluca and Santos Laguna are close in the Liga MX table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Toluca 35-21, Santos Laguna 23-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.