Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction

Stade Brestois 29
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Toulouse
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest·Jérôme Brisard, France 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.86
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+14.3%
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
7 days
Toulouse Rest
7 days

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse: result, form and history

Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse drew 2-2 in the Ligue 1 on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.67
X
29%3.35
2
32%2.67
Double Chance
1X
68%1.46
X2
61%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.73
No
43%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.28 = 2.66
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.95
Over 3.5
28%3.38
Under 1.5
26%3.35
Under 2.5
47%1.87
Under 3.5
72%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.55
Over 9.5
46%1.98
Over 10.5
35%2.52
Under 8.5
42%2.29
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
65%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.48
Over 4.5
35%1.90
Under 3.5
43%2.58
Under 4.5
65%1.86

Match Events

9'J. Russell-RoweAssist: Y. Gboho
18'K. DoumbiaAssist: M. Diambou
31'B. LockoRoughing
44'P. MboupHolding
45+3'C. CasseresRoughing
46'I. Diallo INR. Messali out
60'A. Vossah INN. Schmidt out
62'C. TapeAssist: C. Casseres
67'J. Vignolo INS. Oppong out
67'R. Del Castillo INM. Balde out
75'K. Doumbia INJ. Nonge out
75'M. Diambou INH. Magnetti out
78'J. Russell-Rowe INS. Hidalgo out
78'T. Jorgensen INS. Koumbassa out
83'P. Mboup INL. C. Laine M. out
84'G. Lloris INL. Tousart out
89'N. SchmidtHandling
90+5'L. AjorqueAssist: H. Magnetti

Lineups

Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Toulouse
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Berthel Askou
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.98
E. Selvik6.31E. Selvik
K. LalaC6.970K. Lala
R. Le Guen6.971R. Le Guen
G. Lloris6.54G. Lloris
B. Locko7.02B. Locko
J. Chotard8.313J. Chotard
M. Diambou7.26M. Diambou
R. Del Castillo6.210R. Del Castillo
K. Doumbia6.923K. Doumbia
P. Mboup5.99P. Mboup
L. Ajorque6.219L. Ajorque
G. Restes7.216G. Restes
I. Diallo6.394I. Diallo
M. McKenzie7.23M. McKenzie
R. NicolaisenC7.62R. Nicolaisen
C. Tapé7.912C. Tapé
A. Vossah6.76A. Vossah
C. Cásseres8.923C. Cásseres
Julián Vignolo6.37J. Vignolo
T. Jørgensen6.28T. Jørgensen
Y. Gboho7.010Y. Gboho
J. Russell-Rowe7.213J. Russell-Rowe

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

30M. Patouillet
7J. Nonge Boende75'for K. Doumbia6.7
8H. Magnetti75'for M. Diambou6.7
11A. Camblan
17Mama Baldé67'for R. Del Castillo6.3
29L. Tousart84'for G. Lloris6.3
20L. Zogbe

Toulouse Substitutes

31N. Schmidt60'for A. Vossah89'6.9
37Y. Azizi
9S. Hidalgo78'for J. Russell-Rowe6.7
5S. Koumbassa78'for T. Jorgensen6.7
22R. Messali46'for I. Diallo6.3
60M. Niflore
19D. Odogu

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
27Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box4
11Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots1
19Fouls18
5Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
432Total Passes445
357Passes Accurate366
83%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
ToulouseToulouse
1733Elo Rating 1759
1.93Attack 1.59
1.90Defense 1.99
44%Hit Rate 44%
12.0Shots per Game 10.5
4.8Shots on Target 4.9
2.7Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
ToulouseToulouse
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 294Wins · 50%
Draws225%
ToulouseToulouse2Wins · 25%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Ligue 125/01/2026
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
02
Ligue 124/08/2025
ToulouseStade Brestois 29
20
Ligue 130/03/2025
ToulouseStade Brestois 29
24
Ligue 122/09/2024
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
20
Ligue 119/05/2024
ToulouseStade Brestois 29
03
Ligue 108/10/2023
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
11
Ligue 102/04/2023
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
31
Ligue 115/01/2023
ToulouseStade Brestois 29
11

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1W5D4L
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
22/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Al Wakrah
02
L
18/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Concarneau
22
D
17/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Angers
11
D
13/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
12
L
10/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
10
L
ToulouseToulouse
3W2D5L
22/08/2026
ToulouseLyon
02
L
15/08/2026
ToulouseHamburger SV
12
L
31/07/2026
ToulouseReal Sociedad
21
W
25/07/2026
ToulouseRodez
11
D
10/05/2026
ToulouseLyon
21
W
03/05/2026
StrasbourgToulouse
12
W
25/04/2026
ToulouseMonaco
22
D
21/04/2026
LensToulouse
41
L
17/04/2026
LensToulouse
32
L
12/04/2026
ToulouseLille
04
L

Referee Profile

Jérôme Brisard179 matches

4.15Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jérôme Brisard4.15
Other referees4.05

4.15 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.05).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Stade Brestois 29 are 9th and Toulouse 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Stade Brestois 29 18-12, Toulouse 15-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.