Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction

Stade Brestois 29
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Toulouse
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest· Jérôme Brisard, France 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.86
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+14.3%
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
7 days
Toulouse Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.67
X
29%3.35
2
32%2.67
Double Chance
1X
68%1.46
X2
61%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.73
No
43%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.28 = 2.66
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.95
Over 3.5
28%3.38
Under 1.5
26%3.35
Under 2.5
47%1.87
Under 3.5
72%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.55
Over 9.5
46%1.98
Over 10.5
35%2.52
Under 8.5
42%2.29
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
65%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.48
Over 4.5
35%1.90
Under 3.5
43%2.58
Under 4.5
65%1.86

Match Events

9'J. Russell-RoweAssist: Y. Gboho
18'K. DoumbiaAssist: M. Diambou
31'B. LockoRoughing
44'P. MboupHolding
45+3'C. CasseresRoughing
46'I. Diallo INR. Messali out
60'A. Vossah INN. Schmidt out
62'C. TapeAssist: C. Casseres
67'J. Vignolo INS. Oppong out
67'R. Del Castillo INM. Balde out
75'K. Doumbia INJ. Nonge out
75'M. Diambou INH. Magnetti out
78'J. Russell-Rowe INS. Hidalgo out
78'T. Jorgensen INS. Koumbassa out
83'P. Mboup INL. C. Laine M. out
84'G. Lloris INL. Tousart out
89'N. SchmidtHandling
90+5'L. AjorqueAssist: H. Magnetti

Lineups

Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Toulouse
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Berthel Askou
E. Selvik1E. SelvikE. Selvik
K. Lala70K. LalaK. Lala
R. Le Guen71R. Le GuenR. Le Guen
G. Lloris4G. LlorisG. Lloris
B. Locko2B. LockoB. Locko
J. Chotard13J. ChotardJ. Chotard
M. Diambou6M. DiambouM. Diambou
R. Del Castillo10R. Del CastilloR. Del Castillo
K. Doumbia23K. DoumbiaK. Doumbia
P. Mboup9P. MboupP. Mboup
L. Ajorque19L. AjorqueL. Ajorque
G. Restes16G. RestesG. Restes
I. Diallo94I. DialloI. Diallo
M. McKenzie3M. McKenzieM. McKenzie
R. Nicolaisen2R. NicolaisenR. Nicolaisen
C. Tapé12C. TapéC. Tapé
A. Vossah6A. VossahA. Vossah
C. Cásseres23C. CásseresC. Cásseres
Julián Vignolo7J. VignoloJulián Vignolo
T. Jørgensen8T. JørgensenT. Jørgensen
Y. Gboho10Y. GbohoY. Gboho
J. Russell-Rowe13J. Russell-RoweJ. Russell-Rowe

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

30M. PatouilletG
7J. Nonge BoendeM
8H. MagnettiM
11A. CamblanM
17Mama BaldéF
29L. TousartM
20L. ZogbeD

Toulouse Substitutes

31N. SchmidtM
37Y. AziziF
9S. HidalgoF
5S. KoumbassaD
22R. MessaliM
60M. NifloreG
19D. OdoguD

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
19Fouls17
5Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
426Total Passes440
352Passes Accurate364
83%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
ToulouseToulouse
1701Elo Rating 1717
1.32Attack 1.21
1.64Defense 1.37
23%Hit Rate 14%
17.3Shots per Game 15.0
5.8Shots on Target 4.9
4.8Corners per Game 4.6
1.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend19% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
ToulouseToulouse
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Stade Brestois 29 50%Draw 0%50% Toulouse
2.92Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
34%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1W3D1L
22/08/2026
Le MansStade Brestois 29
22
D
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
ToulouseToulouse
1W2D2L
22/08/2026
ToulouseLyon
02
L
15/08/2026
ToulouseHamburger SV
12
L
31/07/2026
ToulouseReal Sociedad
21
W
25/07/2026
ToulouseRodez
11
D
17/05/2026
NantesToulouse
00
D

Referee Profile

Jérôme Brisard, France · 17 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 73% of referees analysed

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MonacoMonaco54108:3+513WDWWW
2LyonLyon532010:2+811WDWDW
3Paris FCParis FC53208:3+511WDWWD
4LilleLille53118:4+410LWWDW
5RennesRennes53118:9-110LWWWD
6Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain52218:7+18WWLDD
7AngersAngers52126:5+17WDLWL
8StrasbourgStrasbourg521210:1007LDWWL
9Le MansLe Mans51319:906WDDLD
10AuxerreAuxerre52037:12-56WWLLL
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2951227:8-15LLWDD
12LorientLorient51225:6-15LDWLD
13ToulouseToulouse51227:9-25WDLDL
14NiceNice51223:6-35WLDLD
15LensLens51139:904LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes51134:11-74LLLWD
17MarseilleMarseille51047:8-13LLLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre50234:7-32LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MonacoMonaco58:313
2LyonLyon510:211
3Paris FCParis FC58:311
4LilleLille58:410
5RennesRennes58:910
6Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain58:78
7AngersAngers56:57
8StrasbourgStrasbourg510:107
9Le MansLe Mans59:96
10AuxerreAuxerre57:126
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2957:85
12LorientLorient55:65
13ToulouseToulouse57:95
14NiceNice53:65
15LensLens59:94
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes54:114
17MarseilleMarseille57:83
18Le HavreLe Havre54:72
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Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ligue 1 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligue 1

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Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.92 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.