Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1France France · Regular Season - 2
Lyon
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Le Havre
Groupama Stadium, Lyon·François Letexier, France 29/08/2026
LyonLyon
1-1
Finished
Le HavreLe Havre

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.48
SignalSTRONGModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+16.0%
Lyon Rest
2 days
Le Havre Rest
6 days

Lyon vs Le Havre: result, form and history

Lyon and Le Havre drew 1-1 in the Ligue 1 on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.48
X
14%4.55
2
10%6.82
Double Chance
1X
90%1.12
X2
24%2.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.86
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 0.84 = 2.89
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.73
Over 3.5
35%2.77
Under 1.5
21%4.10
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.7 = 9.2
Over 8.5
58%1.44
Over 9.5
46%1.76
Over 10.5
34%2.17
Under 8.5
42%2.59
Under 9.5
54%2.00
Under 10.5
66%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.5
64%1.55
Over 4.5
44%2.11
Under 3.5
36%2.33
Under 4.5
56%1.67

Match Events

41'A. SekoRoughing
61'K. Boudache INM. Fofana out
62'M. Bidstrup INN. Nartey out
65'D. Ouziad INF. Doucoure out
65'K. Mizuta INJ. Maja out
65'Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Tolisso
74'A. SamattaAssist: F. Doucoure
76'T. Pembele INE. K. Vinette out
76'S. Ebonog INS. Nakamura out
80'E. Nuamah INP. Sulc out
80'N. Tagliafico INAbner Vinicius out
87'L. OpendaAssist: Z. Athekame
90+2'Goal Disallowed - handballS. Nakamura
90+7'F. DoucoureHolding

Lineups

Lyon
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Le Havre
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Digard
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.79
D. Greif7.51D. Greif
Z. Athekame8.013Z. Athekame
F. Bacher6.920F. Bacher
M. Niakhaté6.919M. Niakhaté
N. Tagliafico6.53N. Tagliafico
M. Bidstrup6.32M. Bidstrup
T. Morton7.323T. Morton
E. Nuamah7.37E. Nuamah
C. TolissoC6.38C. Tolisso
K. Boudache6.626K. Boudache
L. Openda8.017L. Openda
L. Mpasi7.077L. Mpasi
A. Seko6.915A. Seko
J. Mwanga6.66J. Mwanga
A. Touba6.95A. Touba
S. Ebonog7.226S. Ebonog
A. Richardson7.07A. Richardson
T. Pembélé6.732T. Pembélé
R. NdiayeC6.914R. Ndiaye
K. Mizuta6.917K. Mizuta
M. Samatta7.225M. Samatta

Lyon Substitutes

98A. Maitland-Niles
11M. Fofana61'for K. Boudache6.6
40R. Descamps
22Clinton Mata
18K. Merah
6T. Tessmann
99N. Nartey62'for M. Bidstrup6.5
16Abner80'for N. Tagliafico6.7
10P. Šulc80'for E. Nuamah6.3

Le Havre Substitutes

23V. Sasso
44I. Bouneb
13F. Doucouré65'replaced by D. Ouziad90+7'6.6
9J. Maja65'for K. Mizuta6.2
93G. Gallon
12E. Jelert
27E. Koffi Vinette76'for T. Pembele6.6
78D. Mosengo
30S. Nakamura76'for S. Ebonog6.3

Match Stats

LyonLe Havre
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
7Fouls16
5Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
459Total Passes344
388Passes Accurate283
85%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

LyonLyon
Le HavreLe Havre
1835Elo Rating 1582
1.01Attack 1.43
1.70Defense 0.00
37%Hit Rate 0%
12.3Shots per Game 17.1
4.1Shots on Target 5.4
4.9Corners per Game 5.2
1.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+253 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LyonLyon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Le HavreLe Havre
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

LyonLyon3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
Le HavreLe Havre1Wins · 17%
2.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 115/03/2026
Le HavreLyon
00
Ligue 114/12/2025
LyonLe Havre
10
Ligue 116/03/2025
LyonLe Havre
42
Ligue 120/10/2024
Le HavreLyon
04
Ligue 114/01/2024
Le HavreLyon
31
Ligue 117/09/2023
LyonLe Havre
00

Recent Form

LyonLyon
5W1D4L
26/08/2026
LyonFenerbahçe
12
L22/08/2026
ToulouseLyon
02
W18/08/2026
FenerbahçeLyon
11
D11/08/2026
LyonSparta Praha
30
W04/08/2026
Sparta PrahaLyon
21
L
29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
40
L
24/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgLyon
02
W
18/07/2026
Slavia PrahaLyon
20
L
15/07/2026
LyonServette FC
21
W
11/07/2026
LyonFC ST. Gallen
63
W
Le HavreLe Havre
3W3D4L
23/08/2026
Le HavreMonaco
01
L
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
L
31/07/2026
Le HavreLaval
11
D
25/07/2026
Le HavreRED Star FC 93
21
W
17/07/2026
Le HavreAmiens
12
L
17/05/2026
LorientLe Havre
02
W
10/05/2026
Le HavreMarseille
01
L
03/05/2026
LilleLe Havre
11
D
26/04/2026
Le HavreMetz
44
D

Referee Profile

François Letexier226 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.02Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

François Letexier4.27
Other referees4.04

4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).

Cards come from 221 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

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About the Lyon vs Le Havre forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lyon and Le Havre in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Lyon are 5th and Le Havre 18th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Lyon 15-9, Le Havre 9-22. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.