Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 Prediction

Ludogorets
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
CSKA 1948
Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad·Martin Velikov 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-10.9%
Ludogorets Rest
7 days
CSKA 1948 Rest
8 days

Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948: the result in context

Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 drew 2-2 in the First League on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ludogorets have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee Martin Velikov averages 4.17 cards a game, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.63
X
26%3.74
2
21%4.92
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
47%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.83
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.23 = 2.38
Over 1.5
72%1.28
Over 2.5
49%1.87
Over 3.5
29%3.20
Under 1.5
28%3.50
Under 2.5
51%1.89
Under 3.5
71%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'Brian Sobrero
46'Brian Sobrero INFrederic Maciel out
51'petar stanic
56'Emerson
59'Lasha Dvali INkostadin iliev out
69'danilo terasenko INAtanas Iliev out
71'petar stanic INIvajlo Čočev out
71'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz INKwadwo Duah out
73'Emerson
79'Atanas Iliev
80'Deroy Duarte INAmir Hadžiahmetović out
81'Georgi Rusev
85'Elias Correa Franco INOgnjen Gasevic out
89'Edvin Kurtulus
90+2'Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo INBernard Tekpetey out
90+2'Caio Vidal Rocha INNathan Fernandes out
90+8'Ivajlo Čočev

Lineups

Ludogorets
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Jovičević
CSKA 1948
4-1-3-2Coach: Ognyan Mladenov
H. Bonmann39H. Bonmann
I. Zhelizko6I. Zhelizko
Caio Vidal11C. Vidal
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz
P. Stanić14P. Stanić
E. Kurtulus15E. Kurtulus
Son17Son
Deroy Duarte23D. Duarte
S. Shishkov42S. Shishkov
O. Rekik44O. Rekik
Erick Marcus77E. Marcus
A. Bozhev31A. Bozhev
H. Cuellar33H. Cuellar
B. Benamar5B. Benamar
L. Dvali3L. Dvali
7171d. terasenko
Emerson6Emerson
J. Meyer30J. Meyer
M. Zemzemi8M. Zemzemi
B. Sobrero20B. Sobrero
Elias Franco77E. Franco
G. Rusev11G. Rusev

Ludogorets Substitutes

4Hossam Abdelmaguid
9K. Duah71'for Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
3A. Nedyalkov
22M. Polendakov
20A. Camara
18I. Chochev71'for petar stanic90+8'
13I. Grbić
8A. Hadžiahmetović80'for Deroy Duarte
26F. Kaloč
37B. Tekpetey90+2'for Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo
10Nathan Fernandes90+2'for Caio Vidal Rocha

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

93M. Diallo
67Frédéric Maciel46'for Brian Sobrero
22O. Gašević85'for Elias Correa Franco
4A. Hoffmann
9A. Iliev69'replaced by danilo terasenko79'
70K. Iliev59'for Lasha Dvali
13D. Sheytanov
14K. Strinski
10B. Tsonev
34P. Vitanov
7Berna

Match Stats

LudogoretsCSKA 1948
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots4
10Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal0
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

LudogoretsLudogorets
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
1682Elo Rating 1675
2.50Attack 3.93
2.40Defense 2.09
77%Hit Rate 83%
14.0Shots per Game 16.2
5.2Shots on Target 7.9
6.3Corners per Game 3.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.9 in first half)
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LudogoretsLudogorets7Wins · 70%
Draws00%
CSKA 1948CSKA 19483Wins · 30%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

First League16/05/2026
CSKA 1948Ludogorets
10
First League25/04/2026
LudogoretsCSKA 1948
12
First League05/04/2026
LudogoretsCSKA 1948
30
First League27/10/2025
CSKA 1948Ludogorets
54
First League07/04/2025
CSKA 1948Ludogorets
13
Cup16/12/2024
CSKA 1948Ludogorets
23
First League28/10/2024
LudogoretsCSKA 1948
30
First League11/04/2024
CSKA 1948Ludogorets
01
First League03/03/2024
LudogoretsCSKA 1948
20
Cup29/02/2024
LudogoretsCSKA 1948
31

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Martin Velikov69 matches

4.17Cards per match
4.06Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Velikov4.17
Other referees4.91

4.17 cards a match, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.91).

Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 in the First League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ludogorets are 3rd in the First League, 1 point ahead of CSKA 1948 in 4th. League goal record so far: Ludogorets 26-11, CSKA 1948 33-16. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ludogorets have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.