Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction

Napoli
4-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Bodo/Glimt
Maradona Stadium, Naples·Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez 20/10/2026
NapoliNapoli
4-3
Finished
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.14
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.40
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Napoli Rest
3 days
Bodo/Glimt Rest
3 days

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt: the result in context

Napoli beat Bodo/Glimt 4-3 in the UEFA Champions League on 20 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Bodo/Glimt had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Napoli.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.75
X
25%4.03
2
25%4.33
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
50%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.55
No
43%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.28 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.56
Over 3.5
38%2.38
Under 1.5
21%4.83
Under 2.5
42%2.42
Under 3.5
62%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.9 = 8.8
Over 8.5
50%1.45
Over 9.5
39%1.81
Over 10.5
29%2.30
Under 8.5
50%2.50
Under 9.5
61%1.95
Under 10.5
71%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.7 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%2.19
Over 4.5
32%3.10
Under 3.5
48%1.65
Under 4.5
68%1.34

Match Events

1'Matteo PolitanoAssist: Leonardo Spinazzola
27'Jens Petter HaugeAssist: Sondre Fet
41'Scott McTominayAssist: Kevin De Bruyne
48'Frank AnguissaFoul
58'Noa LangFoul
60'Frank Anguissa INStanislav Lobotka out
62'Andreas HelmersenAssist: Sondre Fet
75'Scott McTominayAssist: Matteo Politano
76'Andreas Helmersen INOla Brynhildsen out
79'Matteo Politano INMathias Olivera out
79'Noa Lang INGiovane Santana Do Nascimento out
79'Leonardo Spinazzola INSam Beukema out
83'Sondre Auklend INUlrik Saltnes out
84'Jostein Gundersen INHaitam Aleesami out
84'Ole Didrik Blomberg INJoel Mvuka out
84'Fredrik Bjorkan INIsak Dybvik Maatta out
86'Giovanni Di LorenzoFoul
88'Odin Luras BjortuftOG
90+4'Sondre Fet

Lineups

Napoli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Allegri
Bodo/Glimt
4-4-2Coach: K. Knutsen
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.38
A. Meret5.51A. Meret
G. Di Lorenzo6.322G. Di Lorenzo
Amir Rrahmani6.513A. Rrahmani
Rafa Marín6.716R. Marín
M. Politano8.921M. Politano
A. Zambo Anguissa6.299A. Zambo Anguissa
S. McTominay8.98S. McTominay
L. Spinazzola7.037L. Spinazzola
K. De Bruyne7.711K. De Bruyne
N. Lang6.670N. Lang
R. Højlund6.519R. Højlund
N. Haikin6.412N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold5.420F. Sjøvold
J. Gundersen6.16J. Gundersen
O. Bjørtuft5.14O. Bjørtuft
F. Bjørkan5.915F. Bjørkan
S. Auklend6.38S. Auklend
P. Berg6.67P. Berg
S. Fet9.219S. Fet
J. Hauge8.210J. Hauge
O. Didrik Blomberg6.011O. Didrik Blomberg
A. Helmersen7.59A. Helmersen

Napoli Substitutes

6B. Gilmour
23Giovane79'for Noa Lang6.6
68S. Lobotka60'for Frank Anguissa5.8
17M. Olivera79'for Matteo Politano5.9
32V. Milinković-Savić
20L. Lucca
5B. Badiashile
31S. Beukema79'for Leonardo Spinazzola5.9
14N. Contini

Bodo/Glimt Substitutes

17O. Brynhildsen76'for Andreas Helmersen6.4
16J. Kitolano
1J. Faye Lund
25I. Määttä84'for Fredrik Bjorkan5.7
22J. Mvuka84'for Ole Didrik Blomberg5.8
2V. Nielsen
14U. Saltnes83'for Sondre Auklend5.8
5H. Aleesami84'for Jostein Gundersen5.7

Match Stats

NapoliBodo/Glimt
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots15
8Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots4
7Fouls5
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
491Total Passes658
441Passes Accurate601
4Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

NapoliNapoli
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
1831Elo Rating 1889
2.31Attack 1.67
0.81Defense 1.67
37%Hit Rate 50%
18.1Shots per Game 17.5
7.8Shots on Target 5.5
4.8Corners per Game 6.2
1.7Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

NapoliNapoli
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez61 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez5.02
Other referees4.66

5.02 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain330014:5+99WWW
2Aston VillaAston Villa330012:3+99WWW
3LiverpoolLiverpool330012:7+59WWW
4Real MadridReal Madrid330010:5+59WWW
5Real BetisReal Betis33007:4+39WWW
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart32107:2+57DWW
7ArsenalArsenal32106:2+47DWW
8BarcelonaBarcelona320111:6+56LWW
9ComoComo320110:5+56WLW
10Manchester CityManchester City32019:5+46WLW
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV32019:6+36WWL
12Sporting CPSporting CP32017:4+36LWW
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund32015:4+16WLW
14Bayern MünchenBayern München312010:5+55DDW
15AS RomaAS Roma31118:5+34WLD
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid31114:3+14DWL
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk31114:3+14LWD
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven31112:204WLD
19VillarrealVillarreal31028:803LWL
20InterInter31025:6-13WLL
21Manchester UnitedManchester United31025:6-13LLW
22NapoliNapoli31025:7-23WLL
23GalatasarayGalatasaray31026:9-33WLL
24Lask LinzLask Linz31026:9-33WLL
25Sabah FASabah FA31023:6-33LWL
26FeyenoordFeyenoord31024:8-43LWL
27LensLens31023:7-43LLW
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt31024:9-53LWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC31023:8-53LLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig31023:8-53LWL
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe30213:9-62DLD
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha30124:7-31DLL
33VikingViking30125:9-41LDL
34FC PortoFC Porto30032:6-40LLL
35LilleLille30034:10-60LLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava30031:13-120LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain314:59
2Aston VillaAston Villa312:39
3LiverpoolLiverpool312:79
4Real MadridReal Madrid310:59
5Real BetisReal Betis37:49
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart37:27
7ArsenalArsenal36:27
8BarcelonaBarcelona311:66
9ComoComo310:56
10Manchester CityManchester City39:56
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV39:66
12Sporting CPSporting CP37:46
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund35:46
14Bayern MünchenBayern München310:55
15AS RomaAS Roma38:54
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid34:34
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk34:34
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven32:24
19VillarrealVillarreal38:83
20InterInter35:63
21Manchester UnitedManchester United35:63
22NapoliNapoli35:73
23GalatasarayGalatasaray36:93
24Lask LinzLask Linz36:93
25Sabah FASabah FA33:63
26FeyenoordFeyenoord34:83
27LensLens33:73
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt34:93
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC33:83
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig33:83
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe33:92
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha34:71
33VikingViking35:91
34FC PortoFC Porto32:60
35LilleLille34:100
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava31:130

About the Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Napoli and Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League table

In the UEFA Champions League table, Napoli (22nd) and Bodo/Glimt (28th) are level on 3 points. League goal record so far: Napoli 5-7, Bodo/Glimt 4-9. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Napoli and Bodo/Glimt have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.