Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Prediction

Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad·Mathias Stofringshaug, Norway 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Fredrikstad Rest
8 days
Kristiansund BK Rest
7 days

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK: result, form and history

Fredrikstad beat Kristiansund BK 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Fredrikstad tend to win more corners, 5.1 a game to 2.6 for Kristiansund BK.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.86
X
27%3.65
2
24%3.90
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
50%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.66
No
42%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.16 = 2.87
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.75
Over 3.5
31%2.77
Under 1.5
18%3.92
Under 2.5
43%2.05
Under 3.5
69%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
49%1.55
Over 10.5
40%1.91
Under 8.5
38%2.90
Under 9.5
51%2.22
Under 10.5
60%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

4'O. Ohlenschlaeger
38'H. Bruseth
44'S. Leach
46'F. Holme INB. Faraas out
54'W. IgorMisses next match
56'G. Wesseh INS. Laghzaoui out
56'O. Ohlenschlaeger INJ. Jezierski out
63'S. Kilen INZ. Bytyqi out
69'H. Haugen INF. Flex out
69'A. Ronning INS. Skeide out
76'I. Amundsen INS. Owusu out
87'W. Igor INM. Williamsen out
90+2'L. Alvheim

Lineups

Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Rojkjaer
Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1Coach: Amund Skiri
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.67
Martin Borsheim7.077M. Borsheim
Isak Helstad Amundsen7.738I. Helstad Amundsen
Fredrik Holmé7.64F. Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen7.212U. Fredriksen
Daniel Eid7.316D. Eid
Samuel Leach Holm6.76S. Leach Holm
Max Nilsson7.214M. Nilsson
Simen RafnC6.95S. Rafn
Gabriel Wesseh6.629G. Wesseh
Henrik Langaas Skogvold6.923H. Langaas Skogvold
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger8.020O. Øhlenschlaeger
Michael Lansing6.51M. Lansing
Haakon Haugen6.322H. Haugen
Julius Mar Juliusson7.24J. Mar Juliusson
Dan Peter UlvestadC6.95D. Peter Ulvestad
Jesper Isaksen6.96J. Isaksen
Heine Gikling Bruseth6.910H. Gikling Bruseth
Wilfred George Igor6.620W. George Igor
Sander Svendsen6.97S. Svendsen
Adrian Kurd Rønning6.527A. Kurd Rønning
Sander Hestetun Kilen6.29S. Hestetun Kilen
Leander Alvheim6.519L. Alvheim

Fredrikstad Substitutes

7Benjamin Faraas46'for F. Holme6.7
9Salim Laghzaoui56'for G. Wesseh6.7
21Jakub Jezierski56'for O. Ohlenschlaeger6.9
1Oystein Ovretveit
19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
18Jonathan Norbye
28Solomon Owusu76'for I. Amundsen6.9
24Leonard Owusu
10Johannes Núñez

Kristiansund BK Substitutes

12Adrian Sæther
3Frederik Flex69'for H. Haugen6.6
2Anders Børset
17Max Normann Williamsen87'for W. Igor
23Tobias Hammer Svendsen
14Syver Skundberg Skeide69'for A. Ronning6.7
11Zymer Bytyqi63'for S. Kilen6.7

Match Stats

FredrikstadKristiansund BK
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots9
7Fouls15
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
481Total Passes543
400Passes Accurate464
83%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
1598Elo Rating 1504
1.81Attack 1.77
0.12Defense 0.53
23%Hit Rate 27%
15.3Shots per Game 13.8
4.6Shots on Target 5.6
5.1Corners per Game 2.6
1.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

FredrikstadFredrikstad4Wins · 57%
Draws114%
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2Wins · 29%
2.7Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Eliteserien19/04/2026
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
20
Eliteserien02/11/2025
FredrikstadKristiansund BK
31
Eliteserien11/05/2025
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
01
Eliteserien03/11/2024
FredrikstadKristiansund BK
11
Eliteserien08/07/2024
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
31
1. Division20/08/2023
FredrikstadKristiansund BK
41
1. Division10/04/2023
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
01

Recent Form

FredrikstadFredrikstad
4W1D5L
08/08/2026
StartFredrikstad
01
W
01/08/2026
FredrikstadSandefjord
10
W
27/07/2026
RosenborgFredrikstad
40
L
17/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
10
L
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
W
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
W
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
L
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
3W1D6L
09/08/2026
Kristiansund BKMolde
21
W
02/08/2026
KFUM OsloKristiansund BK
21
L
25/07/2026
Kristiansund BKStart
12
L
18/07/2026
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
D
12/07/2026
RosenborgKristiansund BK
30
L
03/07/2026
BrannKristiansund BK
12
W
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
L
29/05/2026
ValerengaKristiansund BK
31
L
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
L
20/05/2026
LillestromKristiansund BK
12
W

Referee Profile

Mathias Stofringshaug99 matches

3.16Cards per match
2.94Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
20.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mathias Stofringshaug3.16
Other referees3.45

3.16 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.45).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien table

Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK are close in the Eliteserien table, 12th and 14th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Fredrikstad 31-46, Kristiansund BK 30-51. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.