Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction

Montenegro
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Latvia
Gradski Stadion, Podgorica·Jerome Brisard 12/11/2026
MontenegroMontenegro
2-1
Finished
LatviaLatvia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.29
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseHighGap-1.3%
Montenegro Rest
38 days
Latvia Rest
38 days

Montenegro vs Latvia: result, form and history

Montenegro beat Latvia 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 12 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Montenegro had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Latvia.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 3 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.29
X
18%5.40
2
8%10.70
Double Chance
1X
92%1.05
X2
26%3.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.30
No
58%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.4 = 2.06
Over 1.5
75%1.24
Over 2.5
50%1.78
Over 3.5
29%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.75
Under 2.5
50%2.00
Under 3.5
71%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.57
Over 9.5
55%1.98
Over 10.5
42%2.55
Under 8.5
33%2.20
Under 9.5
45%1.76
Under 10.5
58%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%1.62

Match Events

6'Sead HakšabanovićFoul
20'Nikola KrstovićDissent
36'Stefan SavićFoul
45'Ognjen Gasevic INRisto Radunović out
45'Milos Brnovic INMilan Vukotic out
57'Stefan Savić
57'Marko JankovićDissent
60'Sead Hakšabanović INDušan Vuković out
60'Vasilije Adzic INAndrej Djuric out
62'Raivis Jurkovskis INRoberts Savalnieks out
62'Eduards Daskevics INJānis Ikaunieks out
65'Dmitrijs ZelenkovsNot retreating
70'Nikola KrstovićAssist: Marko Janković
71'Antonijs Černomordijs INVladislavs Gutkovskis out
72'Deniss MeļņiksAssist: Andrejs Cigaņiks
78'Dennis CirkinFoul
86'Andrija Bulatović INAleksa Maraš out
86'Lukass VapneFoul
90'Roberts SavalnieksFoul
90+1'Aleksa Maraš
90+2'Aleksa Maraš
90+2'Roberts Uldriķis INAlbert aleksanjan out

Lineups

Montenegro
4-1-2-1-2Coach: Mirko Vucinić
Latvia
5-4-1Coach: P. Nicolato
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.62
B. Popović6.71B. Popović
A. Bulatović7.121A. Bulatović
S. Savić6.115S. Savić
I. Vujačić6.75I. Vujačić
O. Gašević6.916O. Gašević
M. Janković7.58M. Janković
M. Brnović6.414M. Brnović
Vasilije Adžić7.217V. Adžić
S. Hakšabanović6.318S. Hakšabanović
M. Osmajić6.520M. Osmajić
N. Krstović8.09N. Krstović
R. Matrevics6.923R. Matrevics
R. Jurkovskis6.413R. Jurkovskis
D. Meļņiks7.321D. Meļņiks
A. Černomordijs6.55A. Černomordijs
O. Vientiess6.74O. Vientiess
D. Cirkin6.33D. Cirkin
E. Dašķevičs6.37E. Dašķevičs
L. Vapne6.917L. Vapne
D. Zelenkovs6.415D. Zelenkovs
A. Cigaņiks7.714A. Cigaņiks
R. Uldriķis6.520R. Uldriķis

Montenegro Substitutes

22D. Vuković60'for Sead Hakšabanović6.6
11M. Vukotić45'for Milos Brnovic7.2
7M. Vešović
6S. Rubežić
3R. Radunović45'for Ognjen Gasevic7.1
12D. Petković
4A. Đurić60'for Vasilije Adzic6.6
10S. Jovetić
23A. Latković
13I. Nikić
19Aleksa Maraš86'for Andrija Bulatović90+1'90+2'7.6

Latvia Substitutes

18A. Aleksanjan90+2'for Roberts Uldriķis
8E. Emsis
16K. Grabovskis
9V. Gutkovskis71'for Antonijs Černomordijs6.2
10J. Ikaunieks62'for Eduards Daskevics6.1
12F. Orols
6D. Patijčuks
1N. Puriņš
11R. Savaļnieks62'for Raivis Jurkovskis90'6.6
19K. Čudars
2D. Balodis

Match Stats

MontenegroLatvia
55%Ball Possession45%
11Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
22Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal5
13Shots off Goal7
16Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls11
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves5
386Total Passes383
320Passes Accurate315
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

MontenegroMontenegro
LatviaLatvia
1447Elo Rating 1410
1.66Attack 0.50
1.79Defense 1.53
59%Hit Rate 0%
12.7Shots per Game 10.3
4.9Shots on Target 1.0
4.3Corners per Game 3.6
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

MontenegroMontenegro
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LatviaLatvia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MontenegroMontenegro2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
LatviaLatvia0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League02/10/2026
LatviaMontenegro
12
World Cup - Qualification Europe07/09/2021
MontenegroLatvia
00
World Cup - Qualification Europe24/03/2021
LatviaMontenegro
12

Recent Form

MontenegroMontenegro
5W2D3L
05/10/2026
MontenegroArmenia
00
D
02/10/2026
LatviaMontenegro
12
W
28/09/2026
ArmeniaMontenegro
23
W
25/09/2026
MontenegroCyprus
21
W
05/06/2026
SlovakiaMontenegro
22
D
01/06/2026
BulgariaMontenegro
01
W
17/11/2025
MontenegroCroatia
23
L
14/11/2025
GibraltarMontenegro
12
W
09/10/2025
Faroe IslandsMontenegro
40
L
08/09/2025
CroatiaMontenegro
40
L
LatviaLatvia
2W1D7L
05/10/2026
CyprusLatvia
21
L
02/10/2026
LatviaMontenegro
12
L
28/09/2026
LatviaCyprus
00
D
25/09/2026
ArmeniaLatvia
20
L
09/06/2026
LatviaFaroe Islands
01
L
06/06/2026
LithuaniaLatvia
5141
L
31/03/2026
LatviaGibraltar
10
W
26/03/2026
GibraltarLatvia
01
W
16/11/2025
SerbiaLatvia
21
L
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
L

Referee Profile

Jerome Brisard178 matches

4.12Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jerome Brisard4.12
Other referees4.05

4.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.05).

Cards come from 170 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MontenegroMontenegro43107:4+310DWWW
2CyprusCyprus52216:4+28DWWDL
3ArmeniaArmenia51225:6-15DDLLW
4LatviaLatvia40132:6-41LLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MontenegroMontenegro47:410
2CyprusCyprus56:48
3ArmeniaArmenia55:65
4LatviaLatvia42:61
Promotion

About the Montenegro vs Latvia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montenegro and Latvia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Montenegro are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 9 points ahead of Latvia in 4th. League goal record so far: Montenegro 7-4, Latvia 2-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montenegro have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.