Lecce vs Monza Prediction

Lecce
3-2
Finished
HT 3-1
Monza
Via del Mare, Lecce· Valerio Crezzini, Italy 13/09/2026
LecceLecce
3-2
Finished
MonzaMonza

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.41
SignalGOODModel74%RiskMediumGap+4.7%
Lecce Rest
5 days
Monza Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.75
X
32%3.10
2
30%2.76
Double Chance
1X
70%1.41
X2
62%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.85
No
52%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.16 = 2.38
Over 1.5
65%1.39
Over 2.5
42%2.24
Over 3.5
18%4.00
Under 1.5
35%2.88
Under 2.5
58%1.66
Under 3.5
82%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
51%1.86
Over 9.5
43%2.40
Over 10.5
32%3.25
Under 8.5
49%1.90
Under 9.5
57%1.52
Under 10.5
68%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.97
Over 4.5
26%2.79
Under 3.5
56%1.80
Under 4.5
74%1.41

Match Events

3'L. CoulibalyAssist: I. Ilic
10'Tiago GabrielAssist: I. Ilic
20'R. MangasAssist: S. Birindelli
21'L. CoulibalyAssist: D. Veiga
38'K. NdriTripping
46'R. Mangas INA. Bakoune out
46'K. Ndri INS. Pierotti out
64'J. Robinson INP. Cutrone out
64'A. Colpani INE. Zeballos out
66'I. Ilic INO. Ngom out
74'N. Stulic INP. Esteban out
74'J. Monteiro INA. Fatah out
75'G. Varela INO. Forson out
84'E. Akinsanmiro INM. Mout out
85'Y. Maleh INM. Kaba out
89'E. Zeballos
90'D. VeigaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Lecce
4-3-3Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Monza
3-4-2-1Coach: Ivan Juric
Wladimiro Falcone30W. FalconeWladimiro Falcone
Danilo Veiga17D. VeigaDanilo Veiga
Jamil Siebert5J. SiebertJamil Siebert
Tiago Gabriel44T. GabrielTiago Gabriel
Antonino Gallo25A. GalloAntonino Gallo
Lassana Coulibaly29L. CoulibalyLassana Coulibaly
Ivan Ilić20I. IlićIvan Ilić
Youssef Maleh14Y. MalehYoussef Maleh
N'Dri Konan11N. KonanN'Dri Konan
Nikola Štulić9N. ŠtulićNikola Štulić
Joël Monteiro99J. MonteiroJoël Monteiro
Demba Thiam20D. ThiamDemba Thiam
Eddy Kouadio60E. KouadioEddy Kouadio
Lorenzo Lucchesi3L. LucchesiLorenzo Lucchesi
Andrea Carboni44A. CarboniAndrea Carboni
Samuele Birindelli19S. BirindelliSamuele Birindelli
Michael Folorunsho90M. FolorunshoMichael Folorunsho
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro14E. AkinsanmiroEbenezer Akinsanmiro
Ricardo Mangas7R. MangasRicardo Mangas
Andrea Colpani28A. ColpaniAndrea Colpani
Jay Robinson46J. RobinsonJay Robinson
Gustavo Varela9G. VarelaGustavo Varela

Lecce Substitutes

50Santiago PierottiF
79Oumar NgomM
32Alexandru BorbeiG
1Marco BleveG
4Kialonda GasparD
3Corrie NdabaD
18Gaby JeanD
2Ali DembéléD
31Elijah ScottD
77Mohamed KabaM
8Sadik FofanaM
28Olaf GorterM
7Amar FatahF
22Paco EstebanF

Monza Substitutes

24Adam BakouneD
22Exequiel ZeballosF
10Patrick CutroneF
1Noel TörnqvistG
43Aljaz StrajnarG
5Yvan MayeD
2Saba GoglichidzeD
6Valentin AntovD
8Manga Foe OndoaM
21Leonardo ColomboM
80Mathis MoutM
11Omari ForsonF
47Dany MotaF

Match Stats

LecceMonza
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
14Fouls12
0Offsides3
7Goalkeeper Saves0
315Total Passes486
232Passes Accurate401
74%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

LecceLecce
MonzaMonza
1677Elo Rating 1691
1.14Attack 1.64
1.17Defense 1.43
44%Hit Rate 44%
10.1Shots per Game 15.3
3.5Shots on Target 6.7
4.2Corners per Game 4.6
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LecceLecce
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MonzaMonza
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lecce 37%Draw 63%0% Monza
1.55Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Valerio Crezzini, Italy · 9 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 22% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma541014:3+1113DWWWW
2InterInter541015:8+713DWWWW
3LazioLazio54108:3+513WDWWW
4CagliariCagliari54015:2+312WWWLW
5AC MilanAC Milan532010:4+611WDDWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone53119:4+510WDWWL
7JuventusJuventus53118:4+410WLDWW
8ComoComo53119:6+310LWWWD
9NapoliNapoli52127:6+17DWLLW
10SassuoloSassuolo52129:907LWDWL
11AtalantaAtalanta52035:7-26LLLWW
12LecceLecce52035:10-56LWLLW
13UdineseUdinese51138:11-34LLLWD
14TorinoTorino51135:8-34DLWLL
15ParmaParma51134:7-34WLDLL
16MonzaMonza51138:12-44WLDLL
17FiorentinaFiorentina51136:12-64DWLLL
18BolognaBologna50233:6-32DLDLL
19GenoaGenoa50143:10-71LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia50054:13-90LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma514:313
2InterInter515:813
3LazioLazio58:313
4CagliariCagliari55:212
5AC MilanAC Milan510:411
6FrosinoneFrosinone59:410
7JuventusJuventus58:410
8ComoComo59:610
9NapoliNapoli57:67
10SassuoloSassuolo59:97
11AtalantaAtalanta55:76
12LecceLecce55:106
13UdineseUdinese58:114
14TorinoTorino55:84
15ParmaParma54:74
16MonzaMonza58:124
17FiorentinaFiorentina56:124
18BolognaBologna53:62
19GenoaGenoa53:101
20VeneziaVenezia54:130
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Lecce vs Monza Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Italy football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Lecce and Monza have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.55 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.