Sassuolo vs Juventus Prediction

Sassuolo
3-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Juventus
Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia·Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy 13/09/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
3-2
Finished
JuventusJuventus

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Sassuolo Rest
7 days
Juventus Rest
7 days

Sassuolo vs Juventus: the result in context

Sassuolo beat Juventus 3-2 in the Serie A on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Juventus have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Juventus tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.4 for Sassuolo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%5.50
X
28%4.00
2
50%1.62
Double Chance
1X
50%2.25
X2
78%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.78
No
52%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.44 = 2.48
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
44%1.82
Over 3.5
20%3.00
Under 1.5
27%3.85
Under 2.5
56%2.02
Under 3.5
80%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 5.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.60
Over 9.5
52%1.99
Over 10.5
38%2.53
Under 8.5
39%2.19
Under 9.5
48%1.80
Under 10.5
62%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%2.00
Over 4.5
38%2.55
Under 3.5
43%1.73
Under 4.5
62%1.50

Match Events

20'J. LucumiTripping
46'J. Lucumi INL. Kelly out
48'L. LipaniHolding
55'L. Lipani IND. Bakola out
60'F. Conceicao INE. Zhegrova out
60'N. Gonzalez INN. Woltemade out
65'S. EspositoAssist: N. Matic
71'S. Esposito INB. Dominguez out
71'D. Berardi INK. Bowie out
71'K. Thorstvedt INV. Adzic out
71'T. Koopmeiners INP. M. Sarr out
76'Douglas LuizRoughing
81'J. Idzes IND. Caleta-Car out
82'E. Zhegrova
87'K. Alajbegovic INJ. Oboavwoduo out
89'K. BowieAssist: D. Bakola
90+1'E. ZhegrovaAssist: R. Kolo Muani
90+3'F. LeysenRoughing
90+4'V. AdzicAssist: A. Lauriente

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-2-3-1Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Juventus
4-2-3-1Coach: Luciano Spalletti
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.66
Arijanet Murić8.349A. Murić
Simone Cinquegrano6.346S. Cinquegrano
Jay Idzes6.621J. Idzes
Fedde Leysen6.516F. Leysen
Josh Doig6.33J. Doig
Nemanja Matić7.518N. Matić
Luca Lipani6.535L. Lipani
Domenico BerardiC7.010D. Berardi
Kristian Thorstvedt6.942K. Thorstvedt
Armand Laurienté6.645A. Laurienté
Sebastiano Esposito8.094S. Esposito
Guglielmo Vicario6.325G. Vicario
Pierre Kalulu5.915P. Kalulu
Gleison BremerC6.33G. Bremer
Jhon Lucumí6.726J. Lucumí
Zeki Çelik6.52Z. Çelik
Douglas Luiz6.312D. Luiz
Teun Koopmeiners6.98T. Koopmeiners
Francisco Conceição7.27F. Conceição
Nicolás González6.731N. González
Kerim Alajbegović6.717K. Alajbegović
Randal Kolo Muani6.29R. Kolo Muani

Sassuolo Substitutes

50Darryl Bakola55'for L. Lipani7.0
25Benjamín Domínguez71'for S. Esposito6.3
17Vasilije Adžić71'for K. Thorstvedt90+4'6.3
9Kieron Bowie71'for D. Berardi89'7.6
15Duje Ćaleta-Car81'for J. Idzes6.2
80Stefano Turati
22Lorenzo Nyarko
20Ignace Van der Brempt
26Cas Odenthal
8Andrea Ghion
33Rafael Obrador
55Ibrahim Sulemana
19Laurs Skjellerup
77Nicholas Pierini

Juventus Substitutes

6Lloyd Kelly46'for J. Lucumi5.9
27Nick Woltemade60'for N. Gonzalez6.3
11Edon Zhegrova60'for F. Conceicao82'90+1'9.5
29Pape Matar Sarr71'for T. Koopmeiners6.5
45Justin Oboavwoduo87'for K. Alajbegovic
23Carlo Pinsoglio
1Kamil Grabara
4Federico Gatti
24Daniele Rugani
41Augusto Owusu
43Filippo Pagnucco

Match Stats

SassuoloJuventus
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots6
8Fouls13
3Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves3
421Total Passes589
364Passes Accurate521
86%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
JuventusJuventus
1703Elo Rating 1838
1.24Attack 1.13
0.00Defense 1.43
0%Hit Rate 37%
11.2Shots per Game 13.7
3.2Shots on Target 3.5
3.4Corners per Game 6.3
1.7Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
JuventusJuventus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SassuoloSassuolo3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
JuventusJuventus6Wins · 60%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A21/03/2026
JuventusSassuolo
11
Serie A06/01/2026
SassuoloJuventus
03
Serie A16/01/2024
JuventusSassuolo
30
Serie A23/09/2023
SassuoloJuventus
42
Serie A16/04/2023
SassuoloJuventus
10
Serie A15/08/2022
JuventusSassuolo
30
Serie A25/04/2022
SassuoloJuventus
12
Coppa Italia10/02/2022
JuventusSassuolo
21
Serie A27/10/2021
JuventusSassuolo
12
Serie A12/05/2021
SassuoloJuventus
13

Recent Form

SassuoloSassuolo
4W2D4L
06/09/2026
BolognaSassuolo
22
D
02/09/2026
SassuoloFrosinone
4131
W
29/08/2026
SassuoloTorino
21
W
23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
W
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
JuventusJuventus
6W2D2L
06/09/2026
JuventusAC Milan
11
D
29/08/2026
JuventusParma
20
W
23/08/2026
FrosinoneJuventus
01
W
11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
20
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
L
05/08/2026
ChelseaJuventus
01
W
31/07/2026
JuventusNice
20
W
25/07/2026
Standard LiegeJuventus
01
W
18/07/2026
FC Basel 1893Juventus
00
D
17/05/2026
JuventusFiorentina
02
L

Referee Profile

Juan Luca Sacchi122 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Luca Sacchi4.32
Other referees4.61

4.32 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.61).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1091024:8+1628WWWWW
2InterInter1081126:13+1325LWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1073028:10+1824WWDWD
4ComoComo1072118:8+1023WWWWD
5AC MilanAC Milan1063121:12+921WLWWD
6FrosinoneFrosinone1062224:14+1020WWDWL
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
9JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
10TorinoTorino1041514:16-213LLWWW
11GenoaGenoa1041510:14-413WWWLW
12CagliariCagliari104159:15-613LLLLD
13AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
14LecceLecce1030711:21-109LLLWL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
17FiorentinaFiorentina912611:21-105DLLLD
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19UdineseUdinese1012711:23-125LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia101096:20-143LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1024:828
2InterInter1026:1325
3AS RomaAS Roma1028:1024
4ComoComo1018:823
5AC MilanAC Milan1021:1221
6FrosinoneFrosinone1024:1420
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8BolognaBologna1014:1314
9JuventusJuventus911:1014
10TorinoTorino1014:1613
11GenoaGenoa1010:1413
12CagliariCagliari109:1513
13AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
14LecceLecce1011:219
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza1017:247
17FiorentinaFiorentina911:215
18ParmaParma95:155
19UdineseUdinese1011:235
20VeneziaVenezia106:203
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Sassuolo vs Juventus forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sassuolo and Juventus in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Juventus are 9th and Sassuolo 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Sassuolo 14-22, Juventus 11-10. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.