Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Lazio Rest
4 days
AC Milan Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
124%3.60
X32%3.23
244%2.15
Double Chance
1X56%1.67
X276%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.90
No52%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 1.36 = 2.47
Over 1.573%1.39
Over 2.542%2.23
Over 3.518%4.08
Under 1.527%2.85
Under 2.558%1.67
Under 3.582%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.551%1.88
Over 9.543%2.46
Over 10.536%3.42
Under 8.549%1.88
Under 9.557%1.49
Under 10.564%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.557%1.46
Over 4.537%1.90
Under 3.543%2.65
Under 4.563%1.83
Match Events
10'M. CancellieriAssist: M. Zaccagni
39'T. Noslin
46'R. Loftus-Cheek INC. Pulisic out
46'P. Estupinan IND. Moreira out
46'L. Modric INY. Musah out
58'M. Cancellieri ING. Isaksen out
58'T. Noslin INA. Pinamonti out
59'C. PulisicRoughing
63'R. BelahyaneRoughing
64'S. PavlovicTripping
65'D. MoreiraAssist: C. Pulisic
67'D. MoreiraAssist: A. Rabiot
74'K. Taylor INA. Gudmundsson out
77'A. Cisse INO. Hutchinson out
78'M. ZaccagniRoughing
84'R. Floriani INM. Lazzari out
84'J. Sutalo IND. Leite out
85'G. Ramos INF. Camarda out
86'M. GilaRoughing
Lineups
LazioAC Milan
3-4-2-1Coach: Ruben AmorimAvg ratingAvg rating
35C. Mandas
15R. Floriani Mussolini
37J. Šutalo
25O. Provstgaard
17N. Tavares
16D. Frattesi
21R. Belahyane
24K. Taylor
22M. Cancellieri
14T. Noslin
C10M. Zaccagni
C16M. Maignan
34M. Gila
5K. De Winter
31S. Pavlović
21S. Chukwueze
14L. Modrić
12A. Rabiot
2P. Estupiñán
8R. Loftus-Cheek
70A. Cissè
9G. RamosLazio Substitutes
11Gustav Isaksen58'for M. Cancellieri
9Andrea Pinamonti58'for T. Noslin
80Albert Guðmundsson74'for K. Taylor
47Davide Renzetti
40Edoardo Motta
33Ricardo Bordon
23Alfonso Pedraza
29Manuel Lazzari84'for R. Floriani
2Diogo Leite84'for J. Sutalo
71Valerio Farcomeni
28Adrian Przyborek
32Danilo Cataldi
63Federico Serra
AC Milan Substitutes
22Diego Moreira46'for P. Estupinan65'67'
80Yunus Musah46'for L. Modric
11Christian Pulišić46'for R. Loftus-Cheek59'
96Lorenzo Torriani
1Pietro Terracciano
13Sankhoun Diawara
42Filippo Terracciano
46Matteo Gabbia
23Fikayo Tomori
28Christian Comotto
33Davide Bartesaghi
30Ardon Jashari
20Omari Hutchinson77'for A. Cisse
56Alexis Saelemaekers
73Francesco Camarda85'for G. Ramos
Match Stats
LazioAC Milan 34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box11
1Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
15Fouls14
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
317Total Passes625
261Passes Accurate569
82%Pass Accuracy91%
Team Comparison
LazioAC Milan1898Elo Rating 1840
3.22Attack 1.41
1.94Defense 1.03
100%Hit Rate 39%
14.6Shots per Game 10.8
5.4Shots on Target 3.2
4.5Corners per Game 2.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Lazio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AC Milan- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Lazio4Wins · 40%Draws110%
AC Milan5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
15/03/2026LazioAC Milan10
04/12/2025LazioAC Milan10
29/11/2025AC MilanLazio10
02/03/2025AC MilanLazio12
31/08/2024LazioAC Milan22
01/03/2024LazioAC Milan01
30/09/2023AC MilanLazio20
06/05/2023AC MilanLazio20
24/01/2023LazioAC Milan40
24/04/2022LazioAC Milan12
Recent Form
Lazio9W0D1L
07/09/2026
UdineseLazioLazio
Genoa
BolognaLazioLazio
Mantova
UdineseLazio12
W30/08/2026LazioGenoa10
W24/08/2026BolognaLazio01
W16/08/2026LazioMantova02
L09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
FrosinoneLazio12
W05/08/2026Lazio
Ostia Mare
LazioOstia Mare40
W02/08/2026
AscoliLazio
AscoliLazio12
W01/08/2026Lazio
Avellino
LazioAvellino63
W26/07/2026Lazio
Flaminia
LazioFlaminia60
W23/05/2026Lazio
Pisa
LazioPisa21
WAC Milan4W3D3L
06/09/2026
JuventusAC MilanAC Milan
Venezia
TorinoAC Milan
JuventusAC Milan11
D28/08/2026AC MilanVenezia20
W23/08/2026TorinoAC Milan12
W15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
Manchester UnitedAC Milan24
W08/08/2026
ChelseaAC Milan
ChelseaAC Milan30
L05/08/2026AC Milan
Inter
AC MilanInter11
D25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
CelticAC Milan22
D17/05/2026GenoaAC Milan
GenoaAC Milan12
W10/05/2026AC Milan
Atalanta
AC MilanAtalanta23
L03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
SassuoloAC Milan20
LReferee Profile
4.91Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.91 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).
Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25:9 | +16 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:13 | +15 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 24 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 15 | DLWDL |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 25:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 28:13 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 31:10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 23:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 17:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 16:29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 17:25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12:25 | 5 |
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About the Lazio vs AC Milan forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lazio and AC Milan in the Serie A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Lazio are 1st in the Serie A, 5 points ahead of AC Milan in 4th. League goal record so far: Lazio 25-9, AC Milan 23-13. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Lazio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AC Milan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.