Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction

Atalanta
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Cagliari
New Balance Arena, Bergamo·Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy 12/09/2026
AtalantaAtalanta
1-2
Finished
CagliariCagliari

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.30
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Atalanta Rest
7 days
Cagliari Rest
5 days

Atalanta vs Cagliari: result, form and history

Cagliari beat Atalanta 2-1 in the Serie A on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Atalanta have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Alberto Ruben Arena averages 3.88 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.70
X
28%3.80
2
15%5.20
Double Chance
1X
84%1.17
X2
43%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.83
No
52%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.87 = 2.57
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
44%1.91
Over 3.5
22%3.20
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
56%1.93
Under 3.5
78%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.7 = 9
Over 8.5
51%1.53
Over 9.5
35%1.91
Over 10.5
27%2.52
Under 8.5
49%2.31
Under 9.5
65%1.82
Under 10.5
73%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%2.35
Over 4.5
31%3.32
Under 3.5
50%1.56
Under 4.5
69%1.30

Match Events

19'P. MendyAssist: M. Adopo
41'G. ScamaccaAssist: C. De Ketelaere
57'J. Fazzini INA. Fadera out
61'D. Maldini(Penalty)
68'S. Kolasinac INL. Bernasconi out
68'G. Scamacca INN. Krstovic out
68'J. Pedro INY. Sugawara out
77'L. Samardzic ING. Raspadori out
79'P. Mendy INKevin out
79'D. Maldini INR. Kofler out
86'F. Kessie INM. Pasalic out

Lineups

Atalanta
4-3-3Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Cagliari
4-4-1-1Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.91
Marco Carnesecchi6.329M. Carnesecchi
Raoul Bellanova6.316R. Bellanova
Odilon Kossounou6.93O. Kossounou
Giorgio Scalvini6.642G. Scalvini
Sead Kolašinac5.923S. Kolašinac
Lazar Samardžić7.210L. Samardžić
Franck Kessié7.719F. Kessié
ÉdersonC6.913Éderson
Charles De Ketelaere6.517C. De Ketelaere
Gianluca Scamacca7.39G. Scamacca
Jonathan Rowe7.211J. Rowe
Elia Caprile8.21E. Caprile
Zé Pedro6.62Z. Pedro
Alessandro DeiolaC7.914A. Deiola
Juan Rodríguez7.215J. Rodríguez
Adam Obert6.633A. Obert
Michel Adopo6.98M. Adopo
Alessandro Romano6.34A. Romano
Harry Winks7.36H. Winks
Jacopo Fazzini6.010J. Fazzini
Daniel Maldini6.970D. Maldini
Paul Mendy7.331P. Mendy

Atalanta Substitutes

47Lorenzo Bernasconi68'for S. Kolasinac6.6
90Nikola Krstović68'for G. Scamacca6.3
18Giacomo Raspadori77'for L. Samardzic7.0
8Mario Pašalić86'for F. Kessie6.6
22Thomas Pompei
57Marco Sportiello
40Relja Obrić
31Thomas Kristensen
59Nicola Zalewski
99Eljif Elmas
77Davide Zappacosta

Cagliari Substitutes

39Alieu Fadera57'for J. Fazzini6.7
28Yukinari Sugawara68'for J. Pedro6.3
22Raphael Kofler79'for D. Maldini6.9
9Kevin Carlos Omoruyi79'for P. Mendy6.6
23Boris Radunović
12Alen Sherri
26Yerry Mina
24Giuseppe Aurelio
20Riccardo Ciervo
32Ivan Sulev
79Yanis Massolin
27Joseph Liteta
21Roberto Gagliardini
30Demi Akarakiri
35Alessandro Sugamele

Match Stats

AtalantaCagliari
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks2
22Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal0
13Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots0
9Fouls8
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
696Total Passes442
636Passes Accurate377
91%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

AtalantaAtalanta
CagliariCagliari
1734Elo Rating 1679
1.32Attack 0.87
0.71Defense 0.35
0%Hit Rate 0%
16.5Shots per Game 10.8
5.9Shots on Target 3.9
7.2Corners per Game 3.9
1.6Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtalantaAtalanta
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtalantaAtalanta6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
CagliariCagliari3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A27/04/2026
CagliariAtalanta
32
Serie A13/12/2025
AtalantaCagliari
21
Serie A15/02/2025
AtalantaCagliari
00
Serie A14/12/2024
CagliariAtalanta
01
Serie A07/04/2024
CagliariAtalanta
21
Serie A24/09/2023
AtalantaCagliari
20
Serie A06/02/2022
AtalantaCagliari
12
Serie A06/11/2021
CagliariAtalanta
12
Serie A14/02/2021
CagliariAtalanta
01
Coppa Italia14/01/2021
AtalantaCagliari
31

Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
AS RomaAtalanta
21
L
31/08/2026
AtalantaBologna
10
W
27/08/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
01
W
23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
W
20/08/2026
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
W
08/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Atalanta
03
W
02/08/2026
FeyenoordAtalanta
21
L
22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
D
17/05/2026
AtalantaBologna
01
L
CagliariCagliari
5W3D2L
07/09/2026
CagliariLecce
10
W
03/09/2026
CagliariHellas Verona
12
L
30/08/2026
CagliariInter
01
L
22/08/2026
ParmaCagliari
01
W
14/08/2026
CagliariArezzo
10
W
08/08/2026
CagliariNice
0000
D
02/08/2026
Union BerlinCagliari
22
D
28/07/2026
CagliariModena
10
W
23/07/2026
SampdoriaCagliari
00
D
17/05/2026
CagliariTorino
21
W

Referee Profile

Alberto Ruben Arena104 matches

3.88Cards per match
3.81Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alberto Ruben Arena3.88
Other referees4.38

3.88 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Atalanta vs Cagliari forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atalanta and Cagliari in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Cagliari are 9th and Atalanta 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Atalanta 17-20, Cagliari 10-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.