Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction

EredivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 5
Willem II
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Excelsior
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg·Robin Hensgens 05/09/2026
Willem IIWillem II
0-3
Finished
ExcelsiorExcelsior

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
Willem II Rest
6 days
Excelsior Rest
7 days

Willem II vs Excelsior: result, form and history

Excelsior beat Willem II 3-0 in the Eredivisie on 5 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Excelsior had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Willem II.

Willem II tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 1.9 for Excelsior.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.88
X
23%3.55
2
46%2.30
Double Chance
1X
54%1.60
X2
69%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.53
No
35%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.98 = 3.40
Over 1.5
86%1.20
Over 2.5
73%1.65
Over 3.5
48%2.60
Under 1.5
14%4.50
Under 2.5
27%2.25
Under 3.5
52%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'David GardenAssist: Irakli Yegoian
34'Rick MeissenAssist: Simon Janssen
45'Eser Gürbüz INTonny Vilhena out
45'Mats Lemmens INMaxim Dekker out
51'kasper boogaardFoul
63'kasper boogaard INThomas Verheydt out
64'Aymen sliti INIlano Silva Timas out
65'Eric da Silva Moreira INDaniel van Vianen out
71'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INNesto groen out
81'Jaden SloryFoul
82'David Garden INGiulliano Cairo out
82'Jaden Slory INChido Obi out
85'Irakli YegoianAssist: Stijn van Gassel
87'Nesto groenFoul

Lineups

Willem II
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Stegeman
Excelsior
5-4-1Coach: R. den Uil
Avg rating6.29
Avg rating7.30
M. Delanghe5.926M. Delanghe
H. ter Avest6.35H. ter Avest
F. Stam6.43F. Stam
M. Lemmens6.083M. Lemmens
N. Tjoe-A-On7.524N. Tjoe-A-On
K. Boogaard6.08K. Boogaard
C. Twigt6.46C. Twigt
E. Gürbüz6.150E. Gürbüz
Uriel van Aalst5.719U. van Aalst
J. Slory6.57J. Slory
D. Haen6.29D. Haen
S. van Gassel7.31S. van Gassel
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira7.02E. Emanuel da Silva Moreira
R. Meissen8.73R. Meissen
C. Widell7.94C. Widell
J. Plug7.814J. Plug
S. Janssen7.615S. Janssen
A. Sliti6.77A. Sliti
I. Yegoian9.08I. Yegoian
L. Hartjes7.120L. Hartjes
Á. Þorsteinsson6.330Á. Þorsteinsson
D. Garden7.619D. Garden

Willem II Substitutes

2A. Ciranni
23M. Dekker45'for Mats Lemmens6.3
31K. de Leeuw
15A. Et-Taïbi
14Jens Mathijsen
17O. Martin82'for Jaden Slory5.9
21W. van der Steen
22Per van Loon
28T. Verheydt63'for kasper boogaard6.7
52T. Vilhena45'for Eser Gürbüz6.6

Excelsior Substitutes

6D. van Vianen65'for Eric da Silva Moreira7.0
22O. Turay
18V. Sulzbacher
21I. Silva Timas64'for Aymen sliti6.5
40Tijmen Holla
28N. Groen71'for Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson87'6.3
23Y. Finey
9Mario Domínguez
24Giulliano Cairo82'for David Garden6.8
12K. Bos

Match Stats

Willem IIExcelsior
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots4
10Fouls14
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
508Total Passes367
421Passes Accurate284
83%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Willem IIWillem II
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1518Elo Rating 1645
1.86Attack 1.26
0.00Defense 0.88
27%Hit Rate 27%
12.3Shots per Game 8.0
3.1Shots on Target 2.9
5.2Corners per Game 1.9
2.5Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.4 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Willem IIWillem II
4W2D4L
30/08/2026
Willem IIHeerenveen
22
D
15/08/2026
Willem IINEC Nijmegen
14
L
08/08/2026
GO Ahead EaglesWillem II
41
L
01/08/2026
Willem IIOFI
21
W
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
W
11/07/2026
Willem IIFC Eindhoven
22
D
04/07/2026
Willem IIQuick Boys
12
L
23/05/2026
FC VolendamWillem II
4152
W
20/05/2026
Willem IIFC Volendam
12
L
16/05/2026
Willem IIAlmere City FC
20
W
ExcelsiorExcelsior
8W1D1L
29/08/2026
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
21
W15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
W
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
W
24/07/2026
HeraclesExcelsior
35
W
18/07/2026
NAC BredaExcelsior
13
W
11/07/2026
DordrechtExcelsior
02
W
04/07/2026
ExcelsiorCambuur
32
W
17/05/2026
Sparta RotterdamExcelsior
23
W
10/05/2026
ExcelsiorFC Volendam
11
D

Referee Profile

Robin Hensgens162 matches

3.39Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robin Hensgens3.39
Other referees3.24

3.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the Willem II vs Excelsior forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Willem II and Excelsior in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Excelsior are 15th and Willem II 18th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Willem II 10-39, Excelsior 16-28. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Willem II and Excelsior have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.