Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction

Willem II
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Excelsior
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg· Robin Hensgens 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap+0.6%
Willem II Rest
6 days
Excelsior Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.88
X
23%3.55
2
46%2.30
Double Chance
1X
54%1.60
X2
69%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.53
No
35%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.98 = 3.40
Over 1.5
86%1.20
Over 2.5
73%1.65
Over 3.5
48%2.60
Under 1.5
14%4.50
Under 2.5
27%2.25
Under 3.5
52%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'David GardenAssist: Irakli Yegoian
34'Rick MeissenAssist: Simon Janssen
45'Eser Gürbüz INTonny Vilhena out
45'Mats Lemmens INMaxim Dekker out
51'kasper boogaardFoul
63'kasper boogaard INThomas Verheydt out
64'Aymen sliti INIlano Silva Timas out
65'Eric da Silva Moreira INDaniel van Vianen out
71'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INNesto groen out
81'Jaden SloryFoul
82'David Garden INGiulliano Cairo out
82'Jaden Slory INChido Obi out
85'Irakli YegoianAssist: Stijn van Gassel
87'Nesto groenFoul

Lineups

Willem II
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Stegeman
Excelsior
5-4-1Coach: R. den Uil
M. Delanghe26M. DelangheM. Delanghe
H. ter Avest5H. ter AvestH. ter Avest
F. Stam3F. StamF. Stam
M. Lemmens83M. LemmensM. Lemmens
N. Tjoe-A-On24N. Tjoe-A-OnN. Tjoe-A-On
K. Boogaard8K. BoogaardK. Boogaard
C. Twigt6C. TwigtC. Twigt
E. Gürbüz50E. GürbüzE. Gürbüz
Uriel van Aalst19U. van AalstUriel van Aalst
J. Slory7J. SloryJ. Slory
D. Haen9D. HaenD. Haen
S. van Gassel1S. van GasselS. van Gassel
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira2E. Emanuel da Silva MoreiraEric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
R. Meissen3R. MeissenR. Meissen
C. Widell4C. WidellC. Widell
J. Plug14J. PlugJ. Plug
S. Janssen15S. JanssenS. Janssen
A. Sliti7A. SlitiA. Sliti
I. Yegoian8I. YegoianI. Yegoian
L. Hartjes20L. HartjesL. Hartjes
Á. Þorsteinsson30Á. ÞorsteinssonÁ. Þorsteinsson
D. Garden19D. GardenD. Garden

Willem II Substitutes

2A. CiranniD
23M. DekkerD
31K. de LeeuwG
15A. Et-TaïbiD
14Jens MathijsenD
17O. MartinF
21W. van der SteenG
22Per van LoonM
28T. VerheydtF
52T. VilhenaM

Excelsior Substitutes

6D. van VianenM
22O. TurayD
18V. SulzbacherM
21I. Silva TimasF
40Tijmen HollaG
28N. GroenF
23Y. FineyM
9Mario DomínguezF
24Giulliano CairoM
12K. BosF

Match Stats

Willem IIExcelsior
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots4
10Fouls14
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
505Total Passes362
419Passes Accurate280
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Willem IIWillem II
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1584Elo Rating 1693
0.97Attack 1.78
0.43Defense 1.56
0%Hit Rate 36%
11.3Shots per Game 11.5
2.4Shots on Target 4.3
4.3Corners per Game 4.6
1.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.4 goals

Game State Tendencies

Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • No tendency data available

Recent Form

Willem IIWillem II
2W1D2L
30/08/2026
Willem IIHeerenveen
22
D
15/08/2026
Willem IINEC Nijmegen
14
L
08/08/2026
GO Ahead EaglesWillem II
41
L
01/08/2026
Willem IIOFI
21
W
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
W
ExcelsiorExcelsior
4W0D1L
29/08/2026
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
21
W
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
W
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
W
24/07/2026
HeraclesExcelsior
35
W

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Willem II and Excelsior have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.