Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 19
Vila Nova
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Fortaleza EC
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia·Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil 22/07/2026
Vila NovaVila Nova
2-1
Finished
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Vila Nova Rest
3 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days

Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Fortaleza EC 2-1 in the Serie B on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.46
X
29%2.96
2
24%3.05
Double Chance
1X
76%1.36
X2
53%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.89
No
50%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.87 = 2.20
Over 1.5
70%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.25
Over 3.5
21%3.94
Under 1.5
30%2.75
Under 2.5
57%1.62
Under 3.5
79%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.6 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.38
Over 9.5
52%1.69
Over 10.5
39%2.10
Under 8.5
39%2.71
Under 9.5
48%2.04
Under 10.5
61%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
66%1.29
Over 4.5
49%1.57
Under 3.5
34%3.05
Under 4.5
51%2.23

Match Events

14'Douglas MendesAssist: Marquinhos Gabriel
32'Joao Vieira
46'J. B. Miritello INNathan Fogaca out
46'Lucas Sasha INPierre out
46'Luiz Fernando INPaulo Baya out
62'Igor Carius INHayner out
65'Andre Luis INDudu out
66'Vitinho INWelliton out
69'Nathan FogacaFoul
77'Mauricio Junior INMailton out
78'Pedro Henrique
84'PierreFoul
85'Dellatorre INGustavo Puskas out
85'Marquinhos Gabriel INDodo out
85'Higor Meritao INEmerson Urso out
90+2'G. FuentesUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'Emerson UrsoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Ferreira Guto
Fortaleza EC
4-2-3-1Coach: Carpini Thiago
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.56
Helton Leite6.31H. Leite
Igor Cariús6.616I. Cariús
Douglas Mendes7.64D. Mendes
Breno6.923Breno
Willian Formiga6.513W. Formiga
João Vieira6.95J. Vieira
Higor Meritão6.621H. Meritão
André Luís6.97A. Luís
Marquinhos GabrielC7.510M. Gabriel
Janderson7.399Janderson
Dellatorre6.349Dellatorre
João RicardoC7.21J. Ricardo
Maurício Lima5.913M. Lima
Neris6.723Neris
Luan Freitas6.74L. Freitas
Gabriel Fuentes6.518G. Fuentes
Lucas Sasha5.988L. Sasha
Rodrigo Santos6.929R. Santos
Pedro Henrique7.216P. Henrique
Vitinho6.311Vitinho
Luiz Fernando6.332L. Fernando
Juan Miritello6.39J. Miritello

Vila Nova Substitutes

29Dalberson
17Kerlon
22Hayner62'for Igor Carius6.3
14Samuel Frota Nunes
15Dudu Dos Santos65'for Andre Luis6.3
20Nathan Camargo
31Dodô85'for Marquinhos Gabriel6.3
70Emerson Urso85'for Higor Meritao90+2'6.3
18Enzo
19Caique Jesus
9Gustavo Puskas85'for Dellatorre6.3

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

15Magrão
25Vinicius Silvestre
22Maílton77'replaced by Mauricio Junior6.3
6Tomás Cardona
33Kauã Rocha
5Pierre46'for Lucas Sasha84'7.3
8Ronald
31Welliton66'for Vitinho6.3
37Ryan Gustavo
77Paulo Baya46'for Luiz Fernando6.6
10Lucas Crispim
17Nathan Fogaça46'for J. B. Miritello69'6.5

Match Stats

Vila NovaFortaleza EC
52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots0
18Fouls12
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
371Total Passes340
297Passes Accurate265
80%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1661Elo Rating 1701
1.72Attack 1.32
1.38Defense 2.21
17%Hit Rate 34%
14.1Shots per Game 14.3
5.1Shots on Target 3.7
6.1Corners per Game 6.2
2.6Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
6W0D4L
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
L
11/07/2026
JuventudeVila Nova
10
L
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
L21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
W14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
L09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
W
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
W
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
W
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
W
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
4W1D5L
18/07/2026
Fortaleza ECNovorizontino
10
W12/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC
10
L03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
W28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
W21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L

Referee Profile

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos35 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos4.58
Other referees4.86

4.58 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

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About the Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC in the Serie B table

Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC are close in the Serie B table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 53-38, Fortaleza EC 44-33. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.