Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 19
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.52
SignalGOODModel39%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Cuiaba Rest
6 days
Atletico Goianiense Rest
5 days
Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense: the result in context
Atletico Goianiense beat Cuiaba 1-0 in the Serie B on 24 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.06
X33%2.99
221%3.96
Double Chance
1X79%1.22
X254%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%2.15
No49%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.9 = 2.26
Over 1.568%1.52
Over 2.541%2.52
Over 3.520%4.90
Under 1.532%2.45
Under 2.559%1.47
Under 3.580%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.5 = 8.3
Over 8.545%1.53
Over 9.533%1.88
Over 10.522%2.37
Under 8.555%2.33
Under 9.567%1.85
Under 10.578%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.562%-
Over 4.547%1.71
Under 3.538%-
Under 4.553%2.02
Match Events
30'Gustavo CoutinhoFoul
38'David MiguelFoul
39'GuilhermeFoul
45+1'RaylanFoul
46'Guilherme INBruno Jose out
46'Geovany Soares INLeo Tocantins out
57'Igor Henrique INKlebert out
59'Rodrigo Rodrigues INKauan Cristtyan out
59'David Miguel INLuiz Otavio out
61'Bruno JoseAssist: Guilherme
63'PepeFoul
67'Marlon INEric Melo out
67'Fabio Gomes INH. Pedro out
67'Jean Dias INEliel out
74'Marrony INCristiano out
80'CristianoFoul
86'Leandro Vilela INTito out
Lineups
CuiabaAtletico Goianiense
4-1-4-1Coach: Souza EduardoAvg ratingAvg rating
31M. Carné
37Railan
13J. Basso
C33A. Empereur
6M. Lopes
30Raul
77J. Dias
20David
8Pepê
27R. Rodrigues
90F. Gomes
1P. Vítor
2Ewerthon
3J. Barreto
4A. Martins
6G. Lopes
5L. Vilela
7G. Marques
8I. Henrique
10Marrony
11G. Soares
C9G. CoutinhoCuiaba Substitutes
41Kauan Cristtyan59'for Rodrigo Rodrigues
97Luiz Otavio59'replaced by David Miguel
14Eric67'for Marlon
11Eliel67'for Jean Dias
96Pedro Henrique67'for Fabio Gomes
1João Carlos
4Vitor Mendes
36Lorenzo
2Igor Inocencio
5Calebe Costa
70Wesley
29Vinicius Peixoto
Atletico Goianiense Substitutes
18Bruno José46'for Guilherme61'
19Léo Tocantins46'for Geovany Soares
17Klebert57'for Igor Henrique
16Cristiano74'for Marrony80'
14Tito86'for Leandro Vilela
15Gustavo Daniel
13Natã
12Paulo
20Leo Jacó
Match Stats
CuiabaAtletico Goianiense 56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
10Fouls17
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
410Total Passes342
353Passes Accurate279
86%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
CuiabaAtletico Goianiense1583Elo Rating 1650
0.27Attack 0.50
1.87Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 0%
21.1Shots per Game 23.3
5.1Shots on Target 4.4
8.6Corners per Game 10.4
0.5Cards per Game 2.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cuiaba- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
Atletico Goianiense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cuiaba1Wins · 10%Draws990%
Atletico Goianiense0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
25/08/2025CuiabaAtletico Goianiense22
23/04/2025Atletico GoianienseCuiaba11
19/10/2024Atletico GoianienseCuiaba00
22/06/2024CuiabaAtletico Goianiense00
21/08/2022Atletico GoianienseCuiaba11
12/05/2022CuiabaAtletico Goianiense0010
01/05/2022CuiabaAtletico Goianiense11
22/04/2022Atletico GoianienseCuiaba11
27/09/2021Atletico GoianienseCuiaba00
22/07/2021CuiabaAtletico Goianiense21
Recent Form
Cuiaba4W3D3L
18/07/2026
JuventudeCuiaba
São BernardoCuiabaCuiaba
America MineiroCuiaba
Londrina
AvaiCuiabaCuiaba
Vila Nova
Ponte PretaCuiaba
JuventudeCuiaba20
L12/07/2026São BernardoCuiaba22
D03/07/2026CuiabaAmerica Mineiro10
W26/06/2026CuiabaLondrina22
D21/06/2026AvaiCuiaba10
L14/06/2026CuiabaVila Nova10
W10/06/2026Ponte PretaCuiaba12
W01/06/2026Cuiaba
CRB
CuiabaCRB20
W23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
Nautico RecifeCuiaba10
L17/05/2026Cuiaba
Novorizontino
CuiabaNovorizontino00
DAtletico Goianiense3W5D2L
18/07/2026Atletico Goianiense
Athletic ClubAtletico Goianiense
Fortaleza ECAtletico GoianiensePonte PretaAtletico GoianienseCRB
Atletico GoianienseAthletic Club00
D12/07/2026Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC10
W04/07/2026NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense
28/06/2026NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense30
LAtletico GoianiensePonte Preta20
W19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
13/06/2026Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense11
DAtletico GoianienseCRB33
D09/06/2026America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense12
W30/05/2026Atletico Goianiense
Goias
Atletico GoianienseGoias11
D24/05/2026Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo
Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo01
L17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense11
DReferee Profile
4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).
Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49:50 | -1 | 54 | WLWLL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52:42 | +10 | 52 | LWWLD |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 47 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 46 | LWLDL |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | -13 | 32 | LLLWD |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 21:79 | -58 | 15 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 66:32 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 49:26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 53:38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 38:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 57:51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 39:41 | 58 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 45:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | 49:50 | 54 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | 52:42 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | 34:32 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 37 | 40:49 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 35:47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 27:55 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | 21:79 | 15 |
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About the Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cuiaba and Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th and Cuiaba 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Cuiaba 34-32, Atletico Goianiense 45-35. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.