Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Palestino Rest
9 days
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
4 days

Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion: result, form and history

Palestino beat Universidad de Concepcion 2-1 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Palestino had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.70
X
23%3.75
2
20%4.53
Double Chance
1X
80%1.15
X2
43%2.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.67
No
40%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.89 = 2.70
Over 1.5
78%1.21
Over 2.5
55%1.71
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
22%3.95
Under 2.5
45%2.08
Under 3.5
66%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3.7 = 10.6
Over 8.5
70%1.62
Over 9.5
62%1.98
Over 10.5
42%2.56
Under 8.5
30%2.18
Under 9.5
38%1.74
Under 10.5
58%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

19'Luis RojasFoul
31'Miguel BarbieriFoul
38'Cecilio WatermanAssist: Luis Rojas
44'Penalty confirmedMarcelo Eggel
45'Miguel Barbieri INDavid Retamal out
45+2'Bryan Carrasco(Penalty missed)
45+2'Cecilio WatermanDissent
49'Benjamín SáezFoul
57'Vicente EspinozaFoul
60'Luis Rojas INPablo Parra out
61'Marcelo Eggel INGonzalo Tapia out
61'Joe Abrigo INFrancisco Montes out
65'César MunderAssist: Francisco Montes
71'Gonzalo Tapia(Penalty missed)
72'Bryan Carrasco INIan Zohar Alegría Pindal out
73'Rogelio Funes INYerco Oyanedel out
73'Benjamín Sáez INJorge Espejo out
74'Pablo ParraFoul
76'Jeison Joaquin Fuentealba VergaraFoul
77'César MunderFoul
88'Nicolás Meza INDilan Salgado out
88'Ronnie Fernández INAlbert Gómez out
90+5'Gonzalo TapiaAssist: Enzo Roco

Lineups

Palestino
4-1-4-1Coach: G. Farré
Universidad de Concepcion
4-3-3Coach: Cristián Muñoz
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.45
S. Pérez6.625S. Pérez
V. Espinoza6.42V. Espinoza
E. Roco7.13E. Roco
D. Zúñiga6.828D. Zúñiga
M. Eggel6.417M. Eggel
N. Meza6.78N. Meza
S. Gallegos7.218S. Gallegos
B. Carrasco6.37B. Carrasco
C. Munder7.427C. Munder
J. Abrigo6.214J. Abrigo
R. Fernández6.09R. Fernández
J. Broun8.71J. Broun
B. Saez5.532B. Saez
O. González6.94O. González
M. González6.217M. González
M. Barbieri5.93M. Barbieri
L. Rojas7.020L. Rojas
B. Ogaz6.516B. Ogaz
J. Fuentealba5.510J. Fuentealba
C. Waterman7.618C. Waterman
R. Funes Mori6.022R. Funes Mori
A. Díaz6.511A. Díaz

Palestino Substitutes

31G. Ruz
13A. Gomez88'for Ronnie Fernández6.1
12Renato Canto
4A. Ceza
15F. Montes61'for Joe Abrigo6.9
24D. Salgado88'for Nicolás Meza6.5
20G. Tapia61'for Marcelo Eggel90+5'7.8
21M. Araya
30I. Alegria72'for Bryan Carrasco6.4

Universidad de Concepcion Substitutes

21J. Espejo73'for Benjamín Sáez6.1
7I. González
15Y. Oyanedel73'for Rogelio Funes6.3
14P. Parra60'for Luis Rojas74'5.9
5D. Retamal45'for Miguel Barbieri6.2
26Tomas roco
25H. Salgado
13J. Sanhueza
6B. Ubal

Match Stats

PalestinoUniversidad de Concepcion
63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards6
18Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls14
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
475Total Passes282
408Passes Accurate208
86%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

PalestinoPalestino
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1560Elo Rating 1372
1.23Attack 0.61
1.47Defense 0.35
14%Hit Rate 0%
15.6Shots per Game 14.3
5.4Shots on Target 2.9
6.3Corners per Game 5.7
1.8Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PalestinoPalestino
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 60% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

PalestinoPalestino0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División15/03/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionPalestino
10

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Palestino and Universidad de Concepcion in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Palestino are 7th and Universidad de Concepcion 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Palestino 39-38, Universidad de Concepcion 22-49. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Palestino and Universidad de Concepcion have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.