D. La Serena vs Nublense Prediction

D. La Serena
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Nublense
Estadio La Portada, La Serena 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+9.3%
D. La Serena Rest
5 days
Nublense Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.47
X
28%3.28
2
33%2.70
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
61%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.73
No
37%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.29 = 2.65
Over 1.5
77%1.30
Over 2.5
55%1.97
Over 3.5
33%3.35
Under 1.5
23%3.25
Under 2.5
45%1.79
Under 3.5
67%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.49
Over 9.5
49%1.90
Over 10.5
35%2.39
Under 8.5
41%2.40
Under 9.5
51%1.83
Under 10.5
65%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

30'Sebastian ValenciaFoul
41'Ignacio Tapia
43'F. DinamarcaFoul
45'Felipe Chamorro
45'Matías Pérez INBruno Gutierrez out
55'Ángelo Henríquez INDiego Rubio out
57'Francis Mac AllisterFoul
58'Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga INDiego Céspedes out
58'Franco Rami INIgnacio Jeraldino out
66'Ignacio Tapia INFernando Ovelar out
70'Rafael DelgadoFoul
71'Matías Plaza INAlex Valdes out
71'Jovany Campusano INVicente Guzmán out
72'Vicente GuzmánFoul
86'Francis Mac Allister INSebastián Díaz out
86'F. Dinamarca INMatias Pinto out
88'Matias PintoAssist: Gonzalo Escalante
90+6'Card upgrade confirmedLucas Alarcon
90+5'Lucas AlarconViolent conduct
90+2'Ignacio JeraldinoFoul
90+7'Felipe Chamorro INJoaquín Gutierrez out

Lineups

D. La Serena
3-5-2Coach: Felipe Gutiérrez
Nublense
3-4-3Coach: Juan José Ribera
J. Tapia31J. TapiaJ. Tapia
I. Rasso34I. RassoI. Rasso
L. Alarcón5L. AlarcónL. Alarcón
R. Delgado33R. DelgadoR. Delgado
33M. PérezMatías Pérez
G. Escalante8G. EscalanteG. Escalante
F. Mac Allister4F. Mac AllisterF. Mac Allister
F. Chamorro14F. ChamorroF. Chamorro
F. Dinamarca26F. DinamarcaF. Dinamarca
Á. Henríquez9Á. HenríquezÁ. Henríquez
J. Vargas10J. VargasJ. Vargas
N. Pérez1N. PérezN. Pérez
P. Calderón6P. CalderónP. Calderón
O. Bosso4O. BossoO. Bosso
S. Valencia15S. ValenciaS. Valencia
D. Sanhueza16D. SanhuezaD. Sanhueza
C. Mansilla35C. MansillaC. Mansilla
M. Rivera28M. RiveraM. Rivera
J. Campusano14J. CampusanoJ. Campusano
M. Plaza10M. PlazaM. Plaza
F. Rami9F. RamiF. Rami
Ignacio Tapia19I. TapiaIgnacio Tapia

D. La Serena Substitutes

6S. DíazM
21B. GutiérrezD
16J. GutiérrezD
1F. LanzillotaG
29M. PintoD
11D. RubioF
17Y. SalazarD
20Milovan VelasquezM
28J. OrellanaM

Nublense Substitutes

5F. CamposD
20I. JeraldinoF
11L. MolinaF
7F. OvelarF
3C. SalomónD
22A. ValdésM
12C. ChandíaG
27V. GuzmanD
18D. CéspedesM

Match Stats

D. La SerenaNublense
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
408Total Passes330
296Passes Accurate222
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
NublenseNublense
1518Elo Rating 1546
1.43Attack 0.78
1.47Defense 1.04
56%Hit Rate 14%
12.1Shots per Game 11.5
4.8Shots on Target 3.2
3.5Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

D. La Serena vs Nublense Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

D. La Serena and Nublense have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.99 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.