D. La Serena vs Nublense Prediction
Chile · Regular Season - 22
Estadio La Portada, La Serena 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
D. La Serena Rest
5 days
Nublense Rest
3 days
D. La Serena vs Nublense: the result in context
D. La Serena beat Nublense 2-1 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.47
X28%3.28
233%2.70
Double Chance
1X67%1.40
X261%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.73
No37%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.29 = 2.65
Over 1.577%1.30
Over 2.555%1.97
Over 3.533%3.35
Under 1.523%3.25
Under 2.545%1.79
Under 3.567%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.49
Over 9.549%1.90
Over 10.535%2.39
Under 8.541%2.40
Under 9.551%1.83
Under 10.565%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.564%-
Over 4.545%-
Under 3.536%-
Under 4.555%-
Match Events
30'Sebastian ValenciaFoul
41'Ignacio Tapia
43'F. DinamarcaFoul
45'Felipe Chamorro
45'Matías Pérez INBruno Gutierrez out
55'Ángelo Henríquez INDiego Rubio out
57'Francis Mac AllisterFoul
58'Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga INDiego Céspedes out
58'Franco Rami INIgnacio Jeraldino out
66'Ignacio Tapia INFernando Ovelar out
70'Rafael DelgadoFoul
71'Matías Plaza INAlex Valdes out
71'Jovany Campusano INVicente Guzmán out
72'Vicente GuzmánFoul
86'Francis Mac Allister INSebastián Díaz out
86'F. Dinamarca INMatias Pinto out
88'Matias PintoAssist: Gonzalo Escalante
90+2'Ignacio JeraldinoFoul
90+5'Lucas AlarconViolent conduct
90+6'Card upgrade confirmedLucas Alarcon
90+7'Felipe Chamorro INJoaquín Gutierrez out
Lineups
D. La SerenaNublense
3-4-3Coach: Juan José RiberaAvg ratingAvg rating
31J. Tapia
34I. Rasso
5L. Alarcón
33R. Delgado33M. Pérez
8G. Escalante
4F. Mac Allister
14F. Chamorro
26F. Dinamarca
9Á. Henríquez
10J. Vargas
1N. Pérez
6P. Calderón
4O. Bosso
15S. Valencia
16D. Sanhueza
35C. Mansilla
28M. Rivera
14J. Campusano
10M. Plaza
9F. Rami
19I. TapiaD. La Serena Substitutes
6S. Díaz86'for Francis Mac Allister
21B. Gutiérrez45'replaced by Matías Pérez
16J. Gutiérrez90+7'for Felipe Chamorro
1F. Lanzillota
29M. Pinto86'for F. Dinamarca88'
11D. Rubio55'for Ángelo Henríquez
17Y. Salazar
20Milovan Velasquez
28J. Orellana
Nublense Substitutes
5F. Campos
20I. Jeraldino58'for Franco Rami90+2'
11L. Molina
7F. Ovelar66'for Ignacio Tapia
3C. Salomón
22A. Valdés71'for Matías Plaza
12C. Chandía
27V. Guzman71'for Jovany Campusano72'
18D. Céspedes58'for Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga
Match Stats
D. La SerenaNublense 55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
410Total Passes330
298Passes Accurate222
73%Pass Accuracy67%
Team Comparison
D. La SerenaNublense1539Elo Rating 1529
1.36Attack 0.79
1.55Defense 0.89
37%Hit Rate 39%
11.9Shots per Game 12.6
4.6Shots on Target 3.9
4.8Corners per Game 4.0
3.3Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
D. La Serena- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nublense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
D. La Serena3Wins · 43%Draws229%
Nublense2Wins · 28%
2Wins · 28%2.4Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
16/03/2026NublenseD. La Serena22
18/10/2025D. La SerenaNublense11
26/04/2025NublenseD. La Serena20
30/07/2022D. La SerenaNublense30
05/03/2022NublenseD. La Serena31
06/10/2021NublenseD. La Serena01
08/05/2021D. La SerenaNublense10
Recent Form
D. La Serena4W3D3L
01/09/2026
Union La CaleraD. La SerenaD. La Serena
Cobresal
Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena
Coquimbo UnidoD. La SerenaD. La Serena
O'Higgins
U. CatolicaD. La Serena
Union La CaleraD. La Serena01
W23/08/2026D. La SerenaCobresal33
D15/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena02
W08/08/2026Coquimbo UnidoD. La Serena11
D02/08/2026D. La SerenaO'Higgins12
L26/07/2026U. CatolicaD. La Serena33
D12/07/2026
CobreloaD. La Serena
CobreloaD. La Serena10
L05/07/2026D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La SerenaAntofagasta24
L02/07/2026CobresalD. La Serena
CobresalD. La Serena01
W28/06/2026D. La SerenaCobreloa
D. La SerenaCobreloa21
WNublense5W2D3L
03/09/2026
Deportes LimacheNublenseNublense
ConcepciónU. CatolicaNublenseNublenseUnion La Calera
A. ItalianoNublenseNublense
PalestinoO'HigginsNublenseNublense
Curico Unido
Deportes LimacheNublense20
L30/08/2026NublenseConcepción01
L23/08/2026U. CatolicaNublense12
W16/08/2026NublenseUnion La Calera21
W11/08/2026A. ItalianoNublense22
D05/08/2026Nublense
Rangers de Talca
26/07/2026NublenseRangers de Talca10
WNublensePalestino20
W13/07/2026O'HigginsNublense4120
L10/07/2026NublenseO'Higgins
05/07/2026NublenseO'Higgins21
WNublenseCurico Unido22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59:30 | +29 | 61 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | +25 | 51 | WLWWW |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 56:37 | +19 | 49 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 48:40 | +8 | 40 | LWWDL |
| 5 |  Everton de Vina | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:35 | +8 | 40 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:35 | +4 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:38 | +1 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 30:30 | 0 | 38 | WWLDD |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 40:42 | -2 | 37 | WDWLL |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:41 | -10 | 35 | LLWLL |
| 11 |  Huachipato | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 31 | LWDLL |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 | LDDDW |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 22:49 | -27 | 26 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 | WLWDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | 59:30 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | 47:22 | 51 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | 56:37 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | 48:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | 43:35 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 39:35 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | 39:38 | 38 |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 30:30 | 38 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | 40:42 | 37 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | 31:41 | 35 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 26 | 34:41 | 33 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 32:42 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | 28:36 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | 39:50 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | 22:49 | 26 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 27 | 24:43 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Deportes Limache vs Nublense 03/09/26
- Concepción vs A. Italiano 05/09/26
- Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica 05/09/26
- Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido 06/09/26
- O'Higgins vs Union La Calera 06/09/26
- Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion 07/09/26
- Deportes Limache vs Cobresal 08/09/26
- Nublense vs Everton de Vina 12/09/26
About the D. La Serena vs Nublense forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
D. La Serena and Nublense in the Primera División table
D. La Serena and Nublense are close in the Primera División table, 9th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: D. La Serena 40-42, Nublense 31-41. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.