O'Higgins vs Union La Calera Prediction

O'Higgins
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Union La Calera
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
O'Higgins Rest
5 days
Union La Calera Rest
5 days

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera: the result in context

O'Higgins beat Union La Calera 2-1 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.75
X
26%3.50
2
21%4.33
Double Chance
1X
79%1.19
X2
47%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.78
No
37%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.15 = 2.82
Over 1.5
77%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.90
Over 3.5
33%3.20
Under 1.5
23%3.50
Under 2.5
45%1.88
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
68%1.22
Over 9.5
54%1.41
Over 10.5
42%1.72
Under 8.5
32%3.50
Under 9.5
46%2.55
Under 10.5
58%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

33'Arnaldo CastilloAssist: Felipe Faundez
39'Luis PavezAssist: Bastián Yáñez
45'Francisco Jose Pozzo INMatías Campos López out
45'Joaquín Soto INCamilo Moya out
59'Sebastián SáezAssist: Kevin Méndez
65'Bayron Oyarzo INCarlos Villanueva out
69'Ignacio Schor INSantiago Federico Toloza out
79'Walter Bou INTomas Avilés out
82'Sebastián SáezFoul
83'J. Salomoni INYonathan Andía out
85'Camilo MoyaFoul
86'Tomas AvilésFoul
87'Rodrigo Perez Casada INMartín Hiriart Espinoza out
89'Daniel GutiérrezFoul
90+1'Juan Leiva INLeandro Diaz out
90+1'Bastián Yáñez INCristián Morales out
90+6'Penalty cancelledSebastián Sáez

Lineups

O'Higgins
4-4-2Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Union La Calera
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Cicotello
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.27
O. Carabalí6.731O. Carabalí
Felipe Andrés Faúndez González7.03F. Andrés Faúndez González
A. Robledo7.022A. Robledo
N. Garrido6.921N. Garrido
L. Pavez7.66L. Pavez
I. Schor6.525I. Schor
F. Ogaz6.68F. Ogaz
J. Leiva7.211J. Leiva
W. Bou6.428W. Bou
B. Yáñez7.329B. Yáñez
A. Castillo7.99A. Castillo
N. Espinoza5.612N. Espinoza
C. Díaz6.025C. Díaz
J. Salomoni5.715J. Salomoni
D. Gutiérrez5.827D. Gutiérrez
C. Gutiérrez6.44C. Gutiérrez
R. Pérez6.123R. Pérez
F. Pozzo6.29F. Pozzo
K. Méndez6.810K. Méndez
J. Soto6.629J. Soto
B. Oyarzo6.07B. Oyarzo
S. Sáez7.611S. Sáez

O'Higgins Substitutes

32T. Vecino
7S. Toloza69'for Ignacio Schor6.5
30J. Tapia
1J. Peña
13J. Muñoz
2C. Morales90+1'for Bastián Yáñez
20L. Díaz90+1'for Juan Leiva
17T. Avilés79'for Walter Bou86'6.3
34B. Perez

Union La Calera Substitutes

17M. Hiriart87'for Rodrigo Perez Casada6.3
32Brian Nicolás Ferreyra
19M. Campos45'for Francisco Jose Pozzo6.4
1N. Avellaneda
2Y. Andía83'for J. Salomoni6.2
8Y. Leiva
5C. Moya45'for Joaquín Soto85'6.1
14C. Villanueva65'for Bayron Oyarzo6.6
6V. Lavin

Match Stats

O'HigginsUnion La Calera
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls13
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
553Total Passes374
458Passes Accurate276
83%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

O'HigginsO'Higgins
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1597Elo Rating 1528
0.97Attack 0.75
2.38Defense 1.87
58%Hit Rate 19%
17.3Shots per Game 10.4
4.1Shots on Target 3.0
5.3Corners per Game 5.9
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

O'HigginsO'Higgins3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División16/03/2026
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
33
Primera División03/08/2025
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
10
Primera División03/03/2025
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
22
Primera División29/08/2024
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
11
Primera División07/04/2024
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
23
Primera División01/10/2023
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
01
Primera División17/04/2023
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
01
Primera División14/09/2022
O'HigginsUnion La Calera
22
Primera División19/04/2022
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
00
Primera División25/09/2021
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
20

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the O'Higgins vs Union La Calera forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

O'Higgins and Union La Calera in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, O'Higgins are 12th and Union La Calera 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: O'Higgins 32-42, Union La Calera 24-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.