Palestino vs U. Catolica Prediction

Palestino
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
U. Catolica
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Palestino Rest
6 days
U. Catolica Rest
7 days

Palestino vs U. Catolica: the result in context

U. Catolica beat Palestino 3-2 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Palestino tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.6 for U. Catolica.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.90
X
29%3.42
2
33%2.27
Double Chance
1X
67%1.56
X2
63%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.57
No
32%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.41 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.71
Over 3.5
35%2.75
Under 1.5
21%4.00
Under 2.5
42%2.08
Under 3.5
65%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.95
Over 9.5
46%2.55
Over 10.5
36%3.55
Under 8.5
41%1.74
Under 9.5
54%1.42
Under 10.5
64%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
50%1.47
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
50%2.55

Match Events

2'Fernando ZampedriAssist: Matias Palavecino
22'Diego Corral ContrerasAssist: Justo Giani
29'Enzo RocoAssist: Joe Abrigo
45'Marcelo Eggel INIan Zohar Alegría Pindal out
47'Fernando ZuquiFoul
53'Cristian CuevasFoul
55'Joe AbrigoTime wasting
57'Joe AbrigoAssist: César Munder
61'Fernando Zuqui INAgustín Farías out
62'Diego Corral Contreras INMartin Gomez out
71'Penalty confirmedFernando Zampedri
73'Fernando Zampedri(Penalty)
75'Ronnie Fernández INFrancisco Montes out
75'Sebastian Gallegos INGonzalo Tapia out
82'Matias Palavecino INJimmy Martínez out
82'Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores INBernardo Cerezo out
87'Jimmy MartínezFoul
90+2' Antonio Ceza INAlbert Gómez out
90+2'Fernando Zampedri INNicolás L'Huillier out
90+8'Nicolás L'HuillierArgument
90+9'César MunderArgument

Lineups

Palestino
4-4-2Coach: G. Farré
U. Catolica
4-1-4-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.54
S. Pérez5.725S. Pérez
B. Carrasco6.17B. Carrasco
A. Ceza6.04A. Ceza
E. Roco7.53E. Roco
D. Zúñiga6.528D. Zúñiga
M. Eggel5.817M. Eggel
S. Gallegos6.618S. Gallegos
D. Glaby6.25D. Glaby
C. Munder6.727C. Munder
R. Fernández6.49R. Fernández
J. Abrigo9.014J. Abrigo
V. Bernedo6.81V. Bernedo
S. Arancibia5.76S. Arancibia
B. Ampuero6.319B. Ampuero
A. García6.921A. García
C. Cuevas6.215C. Cuevas
J. Valencia7.220J. Valencia
D. Corral7.125D. Corral
M. Palavecino7.710M. Palavecino
F. Zuqui6.38F. Zuqui
J. Giani6.67J. Giani
F. Zampedri8.29F. Zampedri

Palestino Substitutes

30I. Alegria45'for Marcelo Eggel6.4
21M. Araya
8N. Meza
15F. Montes75'for Ronnie Fernández5.9
31G. Ruz
1S. Salas
24D. Salgado
20G. Tapia75'for Sebastian Gallegos6.2
13A. Gomez90+2'for Antonio Ceza5.8

U. Catolica Substitutes

5A. Farías61'for Fernando Zuqui5.9
14J. Martínez82'for Matias Palavecino87'5.9
43A. Perez
12Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios
28B. Cerezo82'for Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores6.1
13A. Canales
22M. Gómez62'for Diego Corral Contreras6.0
39N. L’Huillier90+2'for Fernando Zampedri90+8'5.7
42N. Pino

Match Stats

PalestinoU. Catolica
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots2
9Fouls22
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
415Total Passes314
347Passes Accurate245
84%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

PalestinoPalestino
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1560Elo Rating 1677
1.23Attack 0.83
1.47Defense 2.05
14%Hit Rate 27%
15.6Shots per Game 11.2
5.4Shots on Target 2.9
6.3Corners per Game 3.6
1.8Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PalestinoPalestino
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 60% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PalestinoPalestino3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
U. CatolicaU. Catolica4Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División02/04/2026
U. CatolicaPalestino
61
Primera División23/11/2025
U. CatolicaPalestino
21
Primera División01/06/2025
PalestinoU. Catolica
11
CONMEBOL Sudamericana05/03/2025
U. CatolicaPalestino
4151
Primera División03/08/2024
U. CatolicaPalestino
11
Primera División02/03/2024
PalestinoU. Catolica
02
Primera División13/08/2023
PalestinoU. Catolica
30
Primera División26/02/2023
U. CatolicaPalestino
52
Primera División24/07/2022
U. CatolicaPalestino
01
Primera División27/02/2022
PalestinoU. Catolica
32

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Palestino vs U. Catolica forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Palestino and U. Catolica in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, U. Catolica are 3rd and Palestino 7th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Palestino 39-38, U. Catolica 56-37. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.