Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica Prediction

Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.53
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.60
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Everton de Vina Rest
7 days
U. Catolica Rest
4 days

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica: the result in context

U. Catolica beat Everton de Vina 1-0 in the Primera División on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.75
X
27%3.40
2
30%2.37
Double Chance
1X
70%1.53
X2
57%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.60
No
30%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.26 = 2.74
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
34%2.86
Under 1.5
22%3.83
Under 2.5
45%2.02
Under 3.5
66%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.38
Over 9.5
50%1.71
Over 10.5
35%2.11
Under 8.5
41%2.63
Under 9.5
50%2.01
Under 10.5
65%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

14'Benjamín BerríosFoul
35'Fernando ZampedriAssist: Cristian Cuevas
37'Cristian CuevasFoul
61'Diego Corral Contreras INClemente Montes out
61'Jimmy Martínez INMatias Palavecino out
61'Julian Alfaro INJosué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda out
61'Lucas Soto INGustavo Charrupi out
62'Branco AmpueroFoul
70'Emiliano Ramos INBraian Aaron Martínez out
70'Nicolás Baeza INVicente Fernández out
81'Justo Giani INMartin Gomez out
86'nicolas montiel INCristian Palacios out

Lineups

Everton de Vina
4-4-2Coach: W. Ribonetto
U. Catolica
4-1-4-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.98
I. González6.91I. González
L. Soto6.08L. Soto
V. Vidal6.537V. Vidal
D. Oyarzún6.624D. Oyarzún
N. Baeza6.114N. Baeza
J. Alfaro6.79J. Alfaro
B. Berríos6.721B. Berríos
J. Moya6.67J. Moya
E. Ramos6.411E. Ramos
N. Montiel6.140N. Montiel
A. Medina7.010A. Medina
V. Bernedo8.11V. Bernedo
S. Arancibia7.46S. Arancibia
B. Ampuero6.519B. Ampuero
A. García7.321A. García
C. Cuevas7.515C. Cuevas
J. Valencia6.820J. Valencia
D. Corral6.425D. Corral
F. Zuqui6.78F. Zuqui
J. Martínez6.314J. Martínez
J. Giani6.67J. Giani
F. Zampedri7.89F. Zampedri

Everton de Vina Substitutes

30C. Palacios86'for nicolas montiel5.9
6G. Charrupí61'for Lucas Soto6.3
15V. Fernández70'for Nicolás Baeza6.3
5R. González
25E. Kirkman
4H. Magallanes
29B. Martínez70'for Emiliano Ramos6.5
2Ó. Opazo
20J. Ovalle61'for Julian Alfaro6.2

U. Catolica Substitutes

12F. Valdes
13A. Canales
28B. Cerezo
5A. Farías
22M. Gómez81'for Justo Giani6.9
2D. Gónzalez
39N. L’Huillier
11C. Montes61'for Diego Corral Contreras6.8
10M. Palavecino61'for Jimmy Martínez6.7

Match Stats

Everton de VinaU. Catolica
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
12Fouls9
5Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves6
454Total Passes371
373Passes Accurate280
82%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1620Elo Rating 1677
1.94Attack 0.83
0.85Defense 2.05
34%Hit Rate 27%
14.1Shots per Game 11.2
6.9Shots on Target 2.9
5.5Corners per Game 3.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
U. CatolicaU. Catolica5Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Chile01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
Copa Chile24/06/2026
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
13
Primera División15/03/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
22
Primera División19/10/2025
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
03
Copa Chile11/05/2025
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
21
Primera División26/04/2025
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
60
Copa Chile26/01/2025
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
10
Primera División11/08/2024
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
00
Primera División11/03/2024
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
24
Copa Chile10/08/2023
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
5040

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Everton de Vina and U. Catolica in the Primera División table

U. Catolica and Everton de Vina are close in the Primera División table, 3rd and 5th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: Everton de Vina 43-35, U. Catolica 56-37. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.