Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Philadelphia Union Rest
14 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
13 days
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: result, form and history
Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Philadelphia Union had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Real Salt Lake.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
171%1.35
X18%5.50
211%7.87
Double Chance
1X89%1.08
X229%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.57
No41%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.14 + 1.01 = 3.15
Over 1.586%1.10
Over 2.568%1.36
Over 3.547%1.97
Under 1.514%6.50
Under 2.532%3.02
Under 3.553%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.8 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.33
Over 9.554%1.55
Over 10.543%1.93
Under 8.535%3.00
Under 9.546%2.28
Under 10.557%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.8 = 4.7
Over 3.569%1.34
Over 4.551%1.80
Under 3.531%3.05
Under 4.549%1.93
Match Events
2'Danley Jean JacquesFoul
13'DeAndre YedlinFoul
23'Francis WestfieldFoul
31'Bruno DamianiAssist: Francis Westfield
45'Sam Junqua INJuan Sanabria out
45'DeAndre Yedlin INLuc De Fougerolles out
62'Dominik MarczukNot retreating
64'Indiana Vassilev INQuinn Sullivan out
65'Aiden Hezarkhani INSaba Lobjanidze out
70'Dominik Marczuk INChadwick Zachary Booth out
74'Jovan Lukic INJesus Bueno out
79'Sergi Solans INAriath Piol out
80'Jesus BuenoFoul
81'Milan IloskiAssist: Cavan Sullivan
82'Goal confirmedMilan Iloski
89'Bruno DamianiPersistent infringement
90+1'Cavan Sullivan INBenjamin Bender out
90+2'Milan Iloski INMalik Jakupovic out
90+2'Danley Jean Jacques INAlejandro Bedoya out
90+6'Saba LobjanidzeAssist: Luc De Fougerolles
Lineups
Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake
3-4-2-1Coach: P. MastroeniAvg ratingAvg rating
18A. Blake
39F. Westfield
44N. Pierre
26N. Harriel
27K. Wagner
6C. Sullivan
21D. Jean-Jacques
4J. Lukić
19I. Vassilev
10M. Iloski
9B. Damiani
1R. Cabral
2D. Yedlin
26P. Quinton
3K. Henry
11D. Marczuk
92N. Caliskan
6S. Spierings
29S. Junqua
39A. Hezarkhani
9M. Guilavogui
22S. SolansPhiladelphia Union Substitutes
23E. Alladoh
11A. Bedoya90+2'for Danley Jean Jacques
16B. Bender90+1'for Cavan Sullivan
8J. Bueno74'for Jovan Lukic80'
51M. Jakupovic90+2'for Milan Iloski
2G. Martínez
14J. Rafanello
76A. Rick
33Q. Sullivan64'for Indiana Vassilev
Real Salt Lake Substitutes
44L. De Fougerolles45'for DeAndre Yedlin
25Colin Guske
98A. Katránis
12S. Lobzhanidze65'for Aiden Hezarkhani90+6'
34L. Moisa
19A. Piol79'for Sergi Solans
8J. Sanabria45'for Sam Junqua
31M. Stajduhar
23Chadwick Zachary Booth70'for Dominik Marczuk
Match Stats
Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake 53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots4
21Fouls13
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
487Total Passes456
389Passes Accurate363
12Free Kicks21
Team Comparison
Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake1745Elo Rating 1556
2.84Attack 1.73
1.28Defense 1.83
73%Hit Rate 44%
17.6Shots per Game 13.9
6.8Shots on Target 6.0
6.0Corners per Game 4.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+189 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Philadelphia Union- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real Salt Lake- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Philadelphia Union0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Real Salt Lake1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
28/04/2024Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake12
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union7W2D1L
27/09/2026Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Sporting Kansas CityPhiladelphia Union
San DiegoPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union
CF Montreal
New York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union
AustinPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Inter Miami
New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
Philadelphia UnionOrlando City SC42
W20/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityPhiladelphia Union34
W14/09/2026San DiegoPhiladelphia Union05
W10/09/2026Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati50
W06/09/2026Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal20
W30/08/2026New York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union13
W23/08/2026AustinPhiladelphia Union11
D20/08/2026Philadelphia UnionInter Miami22
D17/08/2026New York City FCPhiladelphia Union23
W14/08/2026Philadelphia Union
Santos Laguna
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna02
LReal Salt Lake1W1D8L
27/09/2026Real Salt Lake
New England Revolution
Seattle SoundersReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
Vancouver WhitecapsReal Salt LakeNew York City FC
Houston DynamoReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
Colorado RapidsReal Salt LakeOrlando City SCReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
FC Dallas
Real Salt LakeNew England Revolution30
W24/09/2026Seattle SoundersReal Salt Lake20
L20/09/2026Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps03
L13/09/2026Real Salt LakeNew York City FC02
L10/09/2026Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake21
L06/09/2026Real Salt LakeLos Angeles FC22
D30/08/2026Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake10
L26/08/2026
LeonReal Salt Lake
23/08/2026LeonReal Salt Lake30
LOrlando City SCReal Salt Lake21
L20/08/2026Real Salt LakeFC Dallas34
LReferee Profile
4.33Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.33 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).
Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | +41 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | +22 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | +8 | 52 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | +8 | 48 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | +8 | 47 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | +13 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | -12 | 41 | WDWLL |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 62:71 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | -17 | 36 | LLWLW |
| 10 |  Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | -9 | 36 | WDWLL |
| 11 |  Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | -1 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | +2 | 34 | DLLDL |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 | LLWLD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | -14 | 30 | LWLDW |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | -24 | 25 | DLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 62:71 | 39 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 38:53 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 36:60 | 25 |
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About the Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.