Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Utrecht
1-6
Finished
HT 1-2
PSV Eindhoven
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht· Freek Vandeursen, Netherlands 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.80
SignalGOODModel63%RiskMediumGap+6.5%
Utrecht Rest
7 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%4.75
X
19%4.50
2
63%1.60
Double Chance
1X
37%2.28
X2
82%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.40
No
44%2.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.86 = 2.96
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
61%1.35
Over 3.5
34%1.92
Under 1.5
16%6.75
Under 2.5
39%3.05
Under 3.5
66%1.89
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 6.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.57
Over 10.5
41%1.93
Under 8.5
36%2.97
Under 9.5
47%2.23
Under 10.5
59%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.6 = 4.2
Over 3.5
55%2.30
Over 4.5
34%2.90
Under 3.5
45%1.52
Under 4.5
66%1.38

Match Events

6'A. StepanovAssist: N. Vesterlund
11'R. van Bommel
15'G. OfferhausRoughing
34'D. de WitFoul
45'G. TilAssist: S. Dest
49'A. ZagreFoul
56'N. Vesterlund INP. Kloosterboer out
61'A. Alarcon INA. Blake out
61'D. van den Berg INZ. Iqbal out
65'N. Fernandez INP. Wanner out
65'I. Perisic INE. Bajraktarevic out
72'A. ObispoFoul
76'Mauro Junior
78'R. van Bommel INA. Bouhamdi out
78'R. Pepi INS. Mijnans out
84'Y. Cathline INS. van Duijn out
84'A. Obispo INY. Gasiorowski out
84'A. Zagre INE. C. Owen out
85'V. BarkasFoul
86'S. Mijnans(Penalty missed)
86'S. MijnansAssist: P. Wanner
88'G. TilAssist: A. Bouhamdi
90+2'S. HoremansFoul
90+3'S. DestAssist: A. Bouhamdi

Lineups

Utrecht
3-4-3Coach: Anthony Correia
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: Peter Bosz
Vasilis Barkas1V. BarkasVasilis Barkas
Siebe Horemans2S. HoremansSiebe Horemans
Guus Offerhaus6G. OfferhausGuus Offerhaus
Neville Nwankwo21N. NwankwoNeville Nwankwo
Niklas Vesterlund23N. VesterlundNiklas Vesterlund
Dani De Wit20D. De WitDani De Wit
Davy van den Berg34D. van den BergDavy van den Berg
Arthur Zagre92A. ZagreArthur Zagre
Ángel Alarcón11Á. AlarcónÁngel Alarcón
Artem Stepanov9A. StepanovArtem Stepanov
Yoann Cathline10Y. CathlineYoann Cathline
Matěj Kovář32M. KovářMatěj Kovář
Sergiño Dest8S. DestSergiño Dest
Ryan Flamingo6R. FlamingoRyan Flamingo
Armando Obispo4A. ObispoArmando Obispo
Mauro Júnior17M. JúniorMauro Júnior
Kodai Sano24K. SanoKodai Sano
Noah Fernandez31N. FernandezNoah Fernandez
Ivan Perišić5I. PerišićIvan Perišić
Guus Til20G. TilGuus Til
Ruben van Bommel7R. van BommelRuben van Bommel
Ricardo Pepi9R. PepiRicardo Pepi

Utrecht Substitutes

32Per KloosterboerD
25Michael BrouwerG
33Kevin GadellaaG
24Jamie SchuldesD
53Ferdinand PohlD
35Viggo PlantingaD
14Zidane IqbalM
15Adrian BlakeF
17Sem van DuijnF
47Emmanuel OwenF

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

41Khadim NgomG
1Nick OlijG
3Yarek GasiorowskiD
2Lutsharel GeertruidaD
21Sven MijnansM
37Amir BouhamdiF
10Paul WannerM
18Filip KostićM
19Esmir BajraktarevićF

Match Stats

UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
34%Ball Possession66%
0Corner Kicks13
5Yellow Cards1
1Total Shots30
1Shots on Goal14
0Shots off Goal11
1Shots Inside Box15
0Shots Outside Box15
0Blocked Shots5
21Fouls8
1Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves0
298Total Passes562
222Passes Accurate508
74%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

UtrechtUtrecht
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1694Elo Rating 1953
2.06Attack 4.04
0.00Defense 2.00
27%Hit Rate 100%
11.6Shots per Game 22.9
4.1Shots on Target 9.7
3.7Corners per Game 7.7
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UtrechtUtrecht
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Utrecht 0%Draw 34%66% PSV Eindhoven
4.79Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
86%Over 2.5

Recent Form

UtrechtUtrecht
0W1D4L
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
3W1D1L
23/08/2026
PSV EindhovenGroningen
51
W
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6GroningenGroningen732215:13+211WDDLL
7ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
8Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur712410:19-95DWDLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle71156:20-144LLDLW
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag70257:17-102DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6GroningenGroningen715:1311
7ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
8Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur710:195
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle76:204
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag77:172
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Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.79 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.