Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla: the result in context
Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4-1 in the La Liga on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Real Madrid had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sevilla.
Real Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer averages 5.75 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Real Madrid
Avg ratingAvg rating
1T. Courtois
8F. Valverde
16I. Konaté
4D. Huijsen
17M. Cucurella
15A. Güler
14A. Tchouaméni
9Endrick
5J. Bellingham
25Y. Diomande
10K. Mbappé
1O. Vlachodimos
2J. Iglesias
5A. Castrín
4K. Salas
17G. Suazo
6L. Agoumé
24Y. Fofana
11R. Vargas
10P. Fernández
20F. Correia
9R. UreReal Madrid Substitutes
Sevilla Substitutes
Match Stats
Real MadridSevilla Team Comparison
Real MadridSevillaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Real Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sevilla- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Real Madrid9Wins · 90%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
17/05/2026SevillaReal Madrid20/12/2025Real MadridSevilla18/05/2025SevillaReal Madrid22/12/2024Real MadridSevilla25/02/2024Real MadridSevilla21/10/2023SevillaReal Madrid27/05/2023SevillaReal Madrid22/10/2022Real MadridSevilla17/04/2022SevillaReal Madrid28/11/2021Real MadridSevillaRecent Form
Real Madrid
AS RomaReal MadridReal Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico MadridReal Madrid
ElcheReal MadridReal Madrid
Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid
Inter
Real BetisReal MadridReal Madrid
MalagaReal Madrid
Real Sociedad
EspanyolReal MadridSevilla
LevanteSevillaSevilla
Aston VillaSevilla
Barcelona
Deportivo La CorunaSevillaSevilla
ValenciaEspanyolSevillaSevillaAtletico Madrid
Athletic ClubSevillaSevillaRayo Vallecano
Bayer LeverkusenSevillaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.75 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.84).
Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 7 |  Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | LLDLL |
| 8 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 | WDWDD |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | +1 | 11 | DLDLD |
| 10 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 | WDDLL |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 | DLWWL |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 | DDDDW |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | DDLWL |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 9 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 6:18 | 4 |
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This match
About the Real Madrid vs Sevilla forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Real Madrid and Sevilla in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Real Madrid are 3rd and Sevilla 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Madrid 23-9, Sevilla 14-16. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.