Las Palmas vs Castellón Prediction

Las Palmas
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Castellón
Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria·German Cid Camacho 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Las Palmas Rest
6 days
Castellón Rest
6 days

Las Palmas vs Castellón: result, form and history

Castellón beat Las Palmas 3-0 in the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Castellón had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Las Palmas.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.44
X
27%3.67
2
43%2.00
Double Chance
1X
58%1.79
X2
70%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.53
No
43%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.19 = 2.42
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
54%1.63
Over 3.5
32%2.55
Under 1.5
24%4.50
Under 2.5
46%2.27
Under 3.5
68%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.7 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.54
Over 9.5
45%1.95
Over 10.5
34%2.50
Under 8.5
43%2.25
Under 9.5
55%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
77%-
Over 4.5
60%1.51
Under 3.5
23%-
Under 4.5
40%2.43

Match Events

17'Alex SuárezFoul
18'Israel Suero Fernández
19'Iñaki González ZambranoFoul
22'Agustín SienraAssist: Pablo Santiago
26'Iñaki González Zambrano INEnzo Loiodice out
44'Iván JaimeFoul
45'Kirian Rodríguez INElías Romero out
45'Alberto Jiménez INIlias Kostis out
49'Matías OrozcoFoul
54'Pablo Santiago
55'Aboubacar Bassinga INManu Fuster out
56'Jefte Betancor Sanchez INMateo Acimovic out
58'Matías Orozco INJari Vlak out
70'Taisei Miyashiro INJesé Rodríguez out
72'Juanma HerzogFoul
75'Israel Suero Fernández INDavid Muale Nzanza out
83'Adam Jakobsen INMichal Willmann out
83'Elías RomeroFoul
83'Pablo Santiago INMartín Conde Gómez out
87'Andrés Rodríguez MartínezDissent
88'Jesé RodríguezFoul

Lineups

Las Palmas
5-4-1Coach: Juan Manuel Rodríguez
Castellón
4-4-2Coach: Pablo Hernández
Avg rating5.97
Avg rating7.26
José Caro6.513J. Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi5.425V. Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez5.54Á. Suárez
Juan Herzog6.115J. Herzog
A. Rodriguez6.123A. Rodriguez
A. Bassinga5.826A. Bassinga
T. Miyashiro5.411T. Miyashiro
Kirian Rodríguez5.820K. Rodríguez
Iñaki González Zambrano5.76I. González Zambrano
Iván Jaime6.024I. Jaime
Jefté Betancor6.37J. Betancor
R. Matthys7.113R. Matthys
J. Mellot7.622J. Mellot
Alberto Jiménez7.45A. Jiménez
A. Sienra8.24A. Sienra
Iñigo Córdoba7.514I. Córdoba
Pablo Santiago9.018P. Santiago
Barri6.88Barri
M. Orozco6.46M. Orozco
Álvaro Martín6.921Á. Martín
Israel Suero8.010I. Suero
A. Jakobsen6.416A. Jakobsen

Las Palmas Substitutes

14Manu Fuster55'for Aboubacar Bassinga5.9
29Elías Romero45'for Kirian Rodríguez83'6.0
32Rafa Cruz
21G. Bonfanti
16Mateo Acimovic56'replaced by Jefte Betancor Sanchez
12E. Loiodice26'for Iñaki González Zambrano6.5
30I. Medina
43Eduard Mohedano Serrano
3N. Opoku
10Jesé70'for Taisei Miyashiro88'6.4
44Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario
35Adrián Suárez

Castellón Substitutes

12Lucas Alcázar
19Hamza Bellari
11F. Ceccherini
20Martín Conde83'for Pablo Santiago7.0
27A. Gala
23Varo García
15I. Kostis45'for Alberto Jiménez7.2
24D. Muale Nzanza75'for Israel Suero Fernández6.6
1A. Saipi
7Raúl Sánchez
25J. Vlak58'for Matías Orozco7.0
30M. Willmann83'for Adam Jakobsen7.1

Match Stats

Las PalmasCastellón
37%Ball Possession63%
3Corner Kicks6
7Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
1Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots3
14Fouls15
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
322Total Passes569
246Passes Accurate499
14Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Las PalmasLas Palmas
CastellónCastellón
1620Elo Rating 1726
1.08Attack 2.04
0.97Defense 2.58
27%Hit Rate 58%
9.0Shots per Game 13.7
3.1Shots on Target 4.8
3.6Corners per Game 4.5
4.5Cards per Game 1.3

Game State Tendencies

Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CastellónCastellón
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Las PalmasLas Palmas1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
CastellónCastellón2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División21/02/2026
Las PalmasCastellón
11
Segunda División30/11/2025
CastellónLas Palmas
10
Segunda División27/02/2021
CastellónLas Palmas
40
Segunda División21/10/2020
Las PalmasCastellón
21

Recent Form

Las PalmasLas Palmas
3W2D5L
11/10/2026
MallorcaLas Palmas
31
L
04/10/2026
Las PalmasValladolid
22
D
27/09/2026
EibarLas Palmas
32
L
20/09/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
W
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
GironaLas Palmas
52
L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
W
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
L
CastellónCastellón
6W2D2L
11/10/2026
FC AndorraCastellón
10
L
04/10/2026
CastellónAD Ceuta FC
11
D
28/09/2026
LeganesCastellón
02
W
19/09/2026
CastellónTenerife
50
W
12/09/2026
GironaCastellón
12
W
06/09/2026
CastellónAlbacete
20
W
31/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
12
W
23/08/2026
CastellónSabadell
00
D
14/08/2026
Real Sociedad IICastellón
01
W
08/08/2026
CastellónLevante
13
L

Referee Profile

German Cid Camacho113 matches

5.34Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

German Cid Camacho5.34
Other referees5.13

5.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 70 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Las Palmas vs Castellón forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Las Palmas and Castellón in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Castellón are 1st and Las Palmas 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Las Palmas 14-19, Castellón 22-4. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Castellón have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.