River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction

El Monumental, Buenos Aires·Nazareno Arasa 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
River Plate Rest
21 days
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Rest
6 days

River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: the result in context

River Plate beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: River Plate had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

River Plate tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 5.4 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
86%1.17
X
11%6.20
2
3%19.75
Double Chance
1X
97%1.02
X2
14%4.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%3.08
No
63%1.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.48 + 0.71 = 3.19
Over 1.5
78%1.24
Over 2.5
56%1.81
Over 3.5
35%3.05
Under 1.5
22%3.70
Under 2.5
44%1.98
Under 3.5
65%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.71
Over 9.5
54%2.06
Over 10.5
43%2.70
Under 8.5
35%2.01
Under 9.5
46%1.67
Under 10.5
57%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.44
Over 4.5
33%1.83
Under 3.5
48%2.67
Under 4.5
67%1.83

Match Events

2'Fernando RodríguezFoul
6'Marcos Acuña
16'Alejandro Martín CabreraFoul
45'Ibrahim Hesar INYeison Daniel Moreno Murillo out
45'Fernando Rodríguez INMatias Valenti out
45'Mauro Valiente INMartín Garnerone out
68'Lautaro Pereyra INThiago Almada out
71'Sebastián Driussi INRafael Borré out
80'Tomás González INSiro Rosané out
80'Juan Antonini INMateo Bajamich out
89'Tomás Ezequiel Galván INFacundo González out
89'Marcos Acuña INJuan Cruz Meza out

Lineups

River Plate
4-3-2-1Coach: Leonardo Ponzio
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
5-3-2Coach: R. Forestello
Avg rating7.16
Avg rating6.43
S. Beltrán6.841S. Beltrán
G. Montiel7.329G. Montiel
L. Martínez8.028L. Martínez
N. Otamendi8.030N. Otamendi
M. Acuña8.421M. Acuña
T. Andrada6.850T. Andrada
F. Vera7.015F. Vera
T. Galván7.226T. Galván
Á. Correa7.210Á. Correa
L. Pereyra6.725L. Pereyra
S. Driussi6.69S. Driussi
3838L. Herrera
J. Antonini6.46J. Antonini
G. Maffini5.92G. Maffini
S. Ojeda6.630S. Ojeda
A. Quiroga6.429A. Quiroga
F. Rodríguez6.023F. Rodríguez
T. González6.710T. González
A. Cabrera6.15A. Cabrera
G. Alanís6.017G. Alanís
I. Hesar6.877I. Hesar
M. Valiente6.522M. Valiente

River Plate Substitutes

18L. Beltrán
8M. Arambarri
33E. Centurión
19R. Borré71'for Sebastián Driussi6.4
20G. González
31F. González89'for Tomás Ezequiel Galván7.0
24J. Meza89'for Marcos Acuña6.5
6A. Moreno
2T. Palacio
13L. Rivero
44L. Silva
23T. Almada68'for Lautaro Pereyra7.6

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Substitutes

3Lucas Baños
8S. Rosané80'for Tomás González6.3
99J. Chala
28F. Cobos
9J. Ferreira
11M. Garnerone45'for Mauro Valiente6.3
14G. Gonzalez
12Francisco Agustín Gualtieri
16Y. Moreno45'for Ibrahim Hesar6.7
18J. Rivero
31M. Valenti45'for Fernando Rodríguez6.5
32M. Bajamich80'for Juan Antonini6.2

Match Stats

River PlateEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
73%Ball Possession27%
12Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
28Total Shots1
8Shots on Goal0
13Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box1
14Shots Outside Box0
7Blocked Shots0
13Fouls15
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
651Total Passes240
556Passes Accurate139
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

River PlateRiver Plate
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1761Elo Rating 1460
1.68Attack 1.04
2.30Defense 1.50
61%Hit Rate 27%
20.1Shots per Game 11.6
6.5Shots on Target 2.9
7.7Corners per Game 5.4
1.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+301 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals

Game State Tendencies

River PlateRiver Plate
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

River PlateRiver Plate1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina22/03/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoRiver Plate
02

Referee Profile

Nazareno Arasa218 matches

5.27Cards per match
5.01Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nazareno Arasa5.27
Other referees5.19

5.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).

Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WWWWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1374217:11+625LWWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1354417:21-419WWWWL
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1317:1125
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1317:2119
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

About the River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

The table shows a wide gap: River Plate are 2nd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15th, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: River Plate 22-12, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5-24. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.