Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel76%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Seattle Sounders Rest
3 days
CF Montreal Rest
3 days
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: the result in context
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. Seattle Sounders had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for CF Montreal.
Seattle Sounders tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 4.7 for CF Montreal.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.38
X19%4.80
211%7.00
Double Chance
1X89%1.10
X230%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.60
No42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.21 + 1.05 = 3.26
Over 1.585%1.12
Over 2.566%1.44
Over 3.545%2.05
Under 1.515%6.00
Under 2.534%2.70
Under 3.555%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.8 = 11.1
Over 8.575%1.36
Over 9.565%1.65
Over 10.554%2.08
Under 8.525%2.86
Under 9.535%2.10
Under 10.546%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.5 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.80
Over 4.541%3.19
Under 3.539%1.91
Under 4.559%1.31
Match Events
13'Gennadiy SynchukAssist: Noah Streit
14'Hassani DotsonFoul
33'Alexis SanchezDissent
45'Alexander Roldan INSebastian Gomez out
45'Caden Clark INKalani Kossa-Rienzi out
52'Victor LoturiFoul
64'Jalen Neal INDawid Bugaj out
64'Ryan Sailor INSnyder Brunell out
64'Albert Rusnák INJesús Ferreira out
66'Sebastian Gomez
79'Victor Loturi INDaniel Pereira out
79'Noah Streit INWikelman·Carmona out
87'Fabian Herbers INOlger Escobar out
87'Hassani Dotson INPaul Arriola out
87'Samuel Piette INMatthew Longstaff out
Lineups
Seattle SoundersCF Montreal
4-2-3-1Coach: Philippe EullaffroyAvg ratingAvg rating
26A. Thomas
16A. Roldan
28Y. Gómez
4R. Sailor
5N. Tolo
31H. Dotson
7C. Roldan
8C. Clark
11A. Rusnák
13J. Morris
9D. Joveljić
1S. Breza
2J. Neal
24E. Morales
5B. Craig
28V. Radojević
6S. Piette
22V. Loturi
18H. Synchuk
21F. Herbers
23N. Streit
10A. SánchezSeattle Sounders Substitutes
19D. Musovski
17P. Arriola87'for Hassani Dotson
37S. Brunell64'for Ryan Sailor
27J. Ferreira64'for Albert Rusnák
24S. Frei
90S. Gomez45'for Alexander Roldan66'
45P. Kingston
85K. Kossa-Rienzi45'for Caden Clark
35Antino Lopez
CF Montreal Substitutes
7D. Pereira79'for Victor Loturi
13L. Petrasso
14D. Ríos
8M. Longstaff87'for Samuel Piette
41S. Keita
29O. Escobar87'for Fabian Herbers
16W. Carmona79'for Noah Streit
27D. Bugaj64'for Jalen Neal
Match Stats
Seattle SoundersCF Montreal 63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls12
2Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
689Total Passes403
610Passes Accurate324
12Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Seattle SoundersCF Montreal1619Elo Rating 1478
1.61Attack 0.96
2.19Defense 1.21
50%Hit Rate 17%
15.8Shots per Game 11.4
6.2Shots on Target 3.5
7.4Corners per Game 4.7
1.1Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
Game State Tendencies
Seattle Sounders- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
CF Montreal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Seattle Sounders1Wins · 50%Draws00%
CF Montreal1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%4.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
07/04/2024Seattle SoundersCF Montreal50
30/06/2022Seattle SoundersCF Montreal12
Recent Form
Seattle Sounders4W5D1L
15/10/2026
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
New England RevolutionSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders
Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders
Los Angeles GalaxySeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
New York Red BullsSeattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
FC DallasSeattle Sounders10
L11/10/2026New England RevolutionSeattle Sounders03
W02/10/2026Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas City21
W27/09/2026Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC31
W24/09/2026Seattle SoundersReal Salt Lake20
W20/09/2026Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders33
D13/09/2026Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders11
D06/09/2026Seattle SoundersNew York Red Bulls00
D29/08/2026Seattle SoundersChicago Fire22
D23/08/2026FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders11
DCF Montreal2W1D7L
15/10/2026CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FCCF MontrealCF MontrealFC CincinnatiCF Montreal
Columbus CrewColorado RapidsCF MontrealCF Montreal
Charlotte
Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
CF MontrealAtlanta United FC03
L10/10/2026Toronto FCCF Montreal21
L27/09/2026CF MontrealFC Cincinnati31
W20/09/2026CF MontrealColumbus Crew02
L17/09/2026CF Montreal
Vancouver Whitecaps
13/09/2026CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps21
WColorado RapidsCF Montreal10
L10/09/2026CF MontrealCharlotte12
L06/09/2026Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal20
L03/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal
30/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal11
DInter MiamiCF Montreal71
LReferee Profile
4.18Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.18 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).
Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | +41 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | +22 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | +8 | 52 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | +8 | 48 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | +8 | 47 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | +13 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | -12 | 41 | WDWLL |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 62:71 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | -17 | 36 | LLWLW |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | -9 | 36 | WDWLL |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | -1 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | +2 | 34 | DLLDL |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 | LLWLD |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | -14 | 30 | LWLDW |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | -24 | 25 | DLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 62:71 | 39 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 38:53 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 36:60 | 25 |
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About the Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.