Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City: result, form and history
Seattle Sounders beat Sporting Kansas City 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 2 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Referee Jair Marrufo averages 3.02 cards a game, 1.20 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
26A. Thomas
16A. Roldan
39S. Hawkins
25J. Ragen
5N. Tolo
45P. Kingston
7C. Roldan
13J. Morris
11A. Rusnák
17P. Arriola
19D. Musovski
30S. Cleveland
13J. Reynolds
15J. Miller
28W. Meyer
18E. Karić
11A. Luiz
20K. Agyabeng
4L. Johnsen
14C. Harris
19T. Calheira
17S. AfrifaSeattle Sounders Substitutes
Sporting Kansas City Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.02 cards a match, 1.20 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).
Cards come from 64 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD | |
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW | |
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD | |
| 6 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW | |
| 8 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD | |
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL | |
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL | |
| 12 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD | |
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL | |
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD | |
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 63:31 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | 56:41 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | 55:47 | 51 | |
| 4 | 30 | 52:42 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 41:39 | 47 | |
| 6 | 31 | 48:33 | 46 | |
| 7 | 30 | 39:37 | 42 | |
| 8 | 31 | 43:52 | 40 | |
| 9 | 30 | 41:41 | 39 | |
| 10 | 30 | 45:48 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 51:56 | 34 | |
| 12 | 30 | 53:56 | 34 | |
| 13 | 30 | 47:55 | 34 | |
| 14 | 30 | 38:56 | 31 | |
| 15 | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
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This match
About the Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Seattle Sounders are 7th and Sporting Kansas City 15th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Seattle Sounders 39-37, Sporting Kansas City 36-75. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


