Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 22
Seattle Sounders
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Chicago Fire
Lumen Field, Seattle·Ismail Elfath, USA 29/08/2026
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
2-2
Finished
Chicago FireChicago Fire

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
Seattle Sounders Rest
6 days
Chicago Fire Rest
3 days

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire: result, form and history

Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Aug 2026. Chicago Fire had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Seattle Sounders.

Referee Ismail Elfath averages 4.58 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.77
X
28%3.75
2
32%2.29
Double Chance
1X
68%1.60
X2
60%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.45
No
36%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.32 = 2.82
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
35%2.35
Under 1.5
23%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.40
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.51
Over 9.5
40%1.85
Over 10.5
29%2.30
Under 8.5
45%2.44
Under 9.5
60%1.86
Under 10.5
71%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%1.58
Over 4.5
52%2.17
Under 3.5
31%2.25
Under 4.5
48%1.60

Match Events

12'D. JoveljicAssist: S. Gomez
38'M. Haile-SelassieAssist: R. Lewandowski
48'D. JoveljicAssist: A. Rusnak
51'S. Brunell
57'S. Brunell INC. Roldan out
63'R. Lod INP. Dithejane out
69'S. Gomez INJ. Morris out
69'A. Roldan INH. Dotson out
73'A. Saletros INJ. Bamba out
73'J. Dean INS. Oregel out
82'R. LewandowskiAssist: P. Dithejane
88'P. Zinckernagel INL. Barroso out

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Coach: Mario Barcena
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.86
Andrew Thomas8.326A. Thomas
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi6.385K. Kossa-Rienzi
Kim Kee-hee6.920K. Kee-hee
Stuart Hawkins7.239S. Hawkins
Nouhou Tolo6.35N. Tolo
Snyder Brunell6.637S. Brunell
Alex RoldánC6.316A. Roldán
Sebastian Gomez7.990S. Gomez
Albert Rusnák7.311A. Rusnák
Paul Rothrock6.314P. Rothrock
Dejan Joveljić8.99D. Joveljić
Chris Brady5.31C. Brady
Jonathan Dean6.624J. Dean
Samuel Rogers7.05S. Rogers
Jack ElliottC7.23J. Elliott
Andrew Gutman6.715A. Gutman
Anton Salétros7.26A. Salétros
Dje Tah D'Avilla7.242D. Tah D'Avilla
Robin Lod6.217R. Lod
Philip Zinckernagel7.211P. Zinckernagel
Robert Lewandowski7.29R. Lewandowski
Maren Haile-Selassie7.97M. Haile-Selassie

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

7Cristian Roldán57'for S. Brunell7.0
31Hassani Dotson69'for A. Roldan6.6
13Jordan Morris69'for S. Gomez6.6
24Stefan Frei
4Ryan Sailor
35Antino Lopez
19Daniel Musovski

Chicago Fire Substitutes

12Puso Dithejane63'for R. Lod7.3
35Sergio Oregel73'for J. Dean6.7
19Jonathan Bamba73'for A. Saletros6.3
2Leonardo Barroso88'for P. Zinckernagel
44Josh Cohen
16Joel Waterman
14Viktor Radojević
47Sam Williams
22Mauricio Pineda

Match Stats

Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal11
5Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots6
9Fouls9
1Offsides0
9Goalkeeper Saves1
457Total Passes586
379Passes Accurate510
83%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
Chicago FireChicago Fire
1580Elo Rating 1674
0.82Attack 2.26
0.73Defense 1.02
0%Hit Rate 46%
16.0Shots per Game 15.7
4.9Shots on Target 5.1
6.9Corners per Game 6.4
1.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Chicago FireChicago Fire1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer30/06/2024
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
21
Major League Soccer17/07/2022
Chicago FireSeattle Sounders
10

Recent Form

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W1D8L
23/08/2026
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
11
D20/08/2026
Seattle SoundersAustin
12
L17/08/2026
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
02
L
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
L
09/08/2026
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
30
W
06/08/2026
TolucaSeattle Sounders
30
L
02/08/2026
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders
21
L26/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
10
L23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
L17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
L
Chicago FireChicago Fire
6W1D3L
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
L
23/08/2026
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
11
D
20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
W
17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
21
W
14/08/2026
Cruz AzulChicago Fire
12
W
10/08/2026
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
31
W
07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
20
W
02/08/2026
Chicago FireCharlotte
21
W26/07/2026
New York City FCChicago Fire
31
L
23/07/2026
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32
L

Referee Profile

Ismail Elfath115 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ismail Elfath4.58
Other referees4.06

4.58 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.