Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 27
Lumen Field, Seattle·Bensalah, Nabil 27/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-8.2%
Seattle Sounders Rest
2 days
Minnesota United FC Rest
7 days
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC: the result in context
Seattle Sounders beat Minnesota United FC 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Seattle Sounders tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 4.8 for Minnesota United FC.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.05
X26%3.76
229%3.20
Double Chance
1X70%1.31
X255%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.47
No36%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 1.24 = 3.10
Over 1.583%1.16
Over 2.562%1.52
Over 3.542%2.29
Under 1.517%5.20
Under 2.538%2.44
Under 3.558%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.32
Over 9.554%1.57
Over 10.543%1.93
Under 8.535%3.15
Under 9.546%2.27
Under 10.557%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.566%1.83
Over 4.547%2.63
Under 3.534%1.87
Under 4.553%1.46
Match Events
16'Jordan MorrisAssist: Albert Rusnák
28'Jefferson Abel Díaz BeleñoFoul
35'Hassani Dotson
45'Kyle Duncan INBongokuhle Hlongwane out
57'Anthony MarkanichAssist: Bongokuhle Hlongwane
58'Owen GeneFoul
59'Daniel Musovski INPaul Arriola out
59'Caden Clark INSebastian Gomez out
71'Hassani DotsonFoul
78'Marcus Caldeira INMauricio González Carabalí out
83'Paul ArriolaAssist: Albert Rusnák
84'Kelvin Yeboah INMaurice Malone out
84'Tomás Chancalay INAziel Jackson out
84'Albert Rusnák INYeimar Gomez out
84'Nouhou Tolo INKalani Kossa-Rienzi out
86'stuar hawkinsFoul
90'Jordan Morris INSnyder Brunell out
Lineups
Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC
3-4-1-2Coach: C. KnowlesAvg ratingAvg rating
26A. Thomas
16A. Roldan
39S. Hawkins
25J. Ragen
5N. Tolo
31H. Dotson
7C. Roldan
13J. Morris
11A. Rusnák
8C. Clark
19D. Musovski
12D. Callender
28J. Díaz
15M. Boxall
23M. Duggan
3K. Duncan
30O. Gene
20W. Trapp
13A. Markanich
8T. Chancalay
22M. Caldeira
9K. YeboahSeattle Sounders Substitutes
17P. Arriola59'for Daniel Musovski83'
85K. Kossa-Rienzi84'for Nouhou Tolo
37S. Brunell90'for Jordan Morris
90S. Gomez59'for Caden Clark
24S. Frei
28Y. Gómez84'for Albert Rusnák
45P. Kingston
35Antino Lopez
4R. Sailor
Minnesota United FC Substitutes
27D. Taylor
11M. Malone84'for Kelvin Yeboah
16A. Jackson84'for Tomás Chancalay
21B. Hlongwane45'for Kyle Duncan
18M. Gonzalez78'for Marcus Caldeira
5N. Romero
24J. Gressel
94Kayne Rizvanovich
52Cherrion Valerius
Match Stats
Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC 56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots14
8Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
12Fouls6
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
582Total Passes463
510Passes Accurate375
5Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC1619Elo Rating 1556
1.61Attack 2.10
2.19Defense 0.69
50%Hit Rate 27%
15.8Shots per Game 17.2
6.2Shots on Target 5.6
7.4Corners per Game 4.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Seattle Sounders- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Minnesota United FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Seattle Sounders4Wins · 40%Draws440%
Minnesota United FC2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
22/03/2026Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders00
08/11/2025Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders7363
04/11/2025Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC42
28/10/2025Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders3020
17/08/2025Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders10
02/06/2025Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC23
25/08/2024Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders23
16/06/2024Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC20
27/08/2023Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders11
23/04/2023Seattle SoundersMinnesota United FC10
Recent Form
Seattle Sounders2W5D3L
24/09/2026Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders
Los Angeles GalaxySeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
New York Red BullsSeattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
FC CincinnatiSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
AustinSeattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle SoundersReal Salt Lake20
W20/09/2026Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders33
D13/09/2026Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders11
D06/09/2026Seattle SoundersNew York Red Bulls00
D29/08/2026Seattle SoundersChicago Fire22
D23/08/2026FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders11
D20/08/2026Seattle SoundersAustin12
L17/08/2026Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps02
L13/08/2026Seattle Sounders
Guadalajara Chivas
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas12
L09/08/2026Seattle Sounders
Club Queretaro
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro30
WMinnesota United FC2W2D6L
20/09/2026Minnesota United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis CityMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
FC Dallas
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Atlanta United FCReal Salt LakeMinnesota United FC
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FC
Minnesota United FCLos Angeles Galaxy23
L13/09/2026St. Louis CityMinnesota United FC42
L10/09/2026Minnesota United FCFC Dallas12
L06/09/2026Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC54
L30/08/2026Minnesota United FCOrlando City SC33
D23/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC15
W20/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC12
L16/08/2026Real Salt LakeMinnesota United FC11
D12/08/2026Minnesota United FC
Atlante FC
08/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlante FC31
WTigres UANLMinnesota United FC4020
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
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About the Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Seattle Sounders and Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Seattle Sounders are 7th and Minnesota United FC 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Seattle Sounders 39-37, Minnesota United FC 47-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.