Shelbourne vs Drogheda United Prediction

Shelbourne
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Drogheda United
Tolka Park, Dublin 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Shelbourne Rest
3 days
Drogheda United Rest
3 days

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United: the result in context

Drogheda United beat Shelbourne 2-1 in the Premier Division on 14 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Drogheda United had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Shelbourne.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.87
X
27%3.45
2
20%3.90
Double Chance
1X
80%1.22
X2
47%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.98 = 2.65
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
48%1.90
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
52%1.88
Under 3.5
71%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Sean Boyd INRodrigo Costa Freitas out
22'Daniel KellyAssist: Sean Moore
40'Warren DavisAssist: ethan brien o
44'Kerr McinroyFoul
57'Leo BurneyAssist: Brandon Kavanagh
61'Evan Caffrey INAlistair Coote out
61'Rodrigo Costa Freitas INAdemipo Odubeko out
68'Brandon Kavanagh INShane Farrell out
68'Thomas Oluwa INMark Doyle out
68'Alfie BatesFoul
69'Sean Moore INwill jarvis out
79'Warren Davis INRyan Markey out
80'Alistair CooteFoul
83'will jarvisFoul
89'Alfie Bates INRyan Brennan out

Lineups

Shelbourne
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Russell
Drogheda United
3-5-2Coach: K. Doherty
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.63
E. Beach6.519E. Beach
M. Mbeng6.325M. Mbeng
O. Casey6.916O. Casey
K. Ledwidge6.44K. Ledwidge
James Barry Norris6.218J. Barry Norris
Jack Henry-Francis7.021J. Henry-Francis
K. McInroy6.523K. McInroy
S. Moore7.222S. Moore
E. Caffrey6.727E. Caffrey
D. Kelly6.817D. Kelly
S. Boyd6.39S. Boyd
L. Dennison6.11L. Dennison
A. Quinn6.34A. Quinn
C. Keeley6.622C. Keeley
Leo Burney7.65L. Burney
E. Agbaje6.02E. Agbaje
A. Bates5.915A. Bates
B. Kavanagh7.010B. Kavanagh
Ethan O'Brien7.48E. O'Brien
C. Kane6.53C. Kane
W. Davis8.124W. Davis
T. Oluwa6.311T. Oluwa

Shelbourne Substitutes

14A. Coote61'for Evan Caffrey80'6.1
2S. Gannon
36W. Jarvis69'for Sean Moore83'5.8
6J. Lunney
11M. Odubeko61'replaced by Rodrigo Costa Freitas6.8
44Daniel Ring
55James Roche
31C. Walsh
20R. Freitas10'for Sean Boyd61'for Ademipo Odubeko6.6

Drogheda United Substitutes

14M. Doyle68'for Thomas Oluwa6.4
17S. Farrell68'for Brandon Kavanagh6.3
44Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
31K. Cruise
19R. Brennan89'for Alfie Bates6.2
29J. Brennan
32D. Mare
25R. Markey79'for Warren Davis6.7
33S. McGrath

Match Stats

ShelbourneDrogheda United
66%Ball Possession34%
7Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box7
13Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
485Total Passes257
393Passes Accurate168
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

ShelbourneShelbourne
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
1583Elo Rating 1530
2.13Attack 1.46
1.69Defense 1.53
59%Hit Rate 46%
14.6Shots per Game 10.7
5.2Shots on Target 2.8
5.8Corners per Game 4.2
1.9Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ShelbourneShelbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ShelbourneShelbourne3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division19/06/2026
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
22
Premier Division24/04/2026
ShelbourneDrogheda United
34
Premier Division27/02/2026
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
12
Premier Division22/09/2025
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
21
Premier Division19/05/2025
ShelbourneDrogheda United
00
Premier Division18/04/2025
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
22
Premier Division07/03/2025
ShelbourneDrogheda United
01
FAI President's Cup07/02/2025
ShelbourneDrogheda United
20
Premier Division25/10/2024
ShelbourneDrogheda United
21
Premier Division04/07/2024
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
11

Recent Form

Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
4W3D3L
11/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
20
W
04/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
12
L
28/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
23
L
21/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
02
L
15/08/2026
College CorinthiansDrogheda United
03
W
07/08/2026
Galway UnitedDrogheda United
00
D
31/07/2026
Drogheda UnitedShamrock Rovers
00
D
25/07/2026
Sligo RoversDrogheda United
22
D
17/07/2026
Drogheda UnitedLucan United
40
W
10/07/2026
DundalkDrogheda United
12
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Shelbourne vs Drogheda United forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shelbourne and Drogheda United in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Shelbourne are 4th in the Premier Division, while Drogheda United sit 9th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: Shelbourne 52-50, Drogheda United 44-57. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.