Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

Dundalk
0-4
Finished
HT 0-2
St Patrick's Athl.
Oriel Park, Dundalk 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseHighGap+3.6%
Dundalk Rest
3 days
St Patrick's Athl. Rest
2 days

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.: result, form and history

St Patrick's Athl. beat Dundalk 4-0 in the Premier Division on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%3.30
X
29%3.65
2
32%2.01
Double Chance
1X
68%1.74
X2
61%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.57
No
46%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.22 = 2.76
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.67
Over 3.5
32%2.60
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
41%2.15
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Aidan KeenaAssist: Anthony Olusanya
29'Anthony OlusanyaFoul
37'Aidan Keena
45'Luke Mulligan INJohn Ross Wilson out
45'Harry Groome INshane tracey out
55'Cian dillon INleonardo gaxha out
58'Barry Baggley INDarragh Nugent out
58'Zachary Elbouzedi INJames Brown out
69'leonardo gaxhaFoul
69'Aodh Dervin INHarvey Warren out
69'Aidan Keena INRyan Edmondson out
75'Ryan SheridanAssist: Anthony Olusanya
76'Trevor Clarke INDeclan McDaid out
79'Ryan Sheridan INChristopher Forrester out
79'Anthony Olusanya INRomal Palmer out
82'Ryan Edmondson
83'Harvey WarrenFoul

Lineups

Dundalk
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Kilduff
St Patrick's Athl.
3-1-4-2Coach: S. Kenny
Avg rating5.84
Avg rating7.23
E. Minogue5.81E. Minogue
L. Mulligan5.712L. Mulligan
T. Grivosti5.544T. Grivosti
E. Vassenin6.116E. Vassenin
B. Burns6.33B. Burns
A. Dervin6.46A. Dervin
R. Teahan6.111R. Teahan
T. Clarke5.615T. Clarke
H. Groome5.88H. Groome
D. Horgan5.57D. Horgan
C. Dillon6.29C. Dillon
J. Anang6.194J. Anang
J. Redmond7.34J. Redmond
S. Hoare7.72S. Hoare
L. Turner6.924L. Turner
J. Lennon7.46J. Lennon
Z. Elbouzedi7.07Z. Elbouzedi
R. Sheridan8.248R. Sheridan
B. Baggley7.019B. Baggley
A. Breslin6.63A. Breslin
A. Olusanya7.121A. Olusanya
A. Keena9.49A. Keena

Dundalk Substitutes

13P. Cherrie
10Leonardo Gaxha55'for Cian dillon69'6.0
23A. M. Keogh
27D. McDaid76'for Trevor Clarke5.9
35S. Safaei
19Sean Spaight
17S. Tracey45'for Harry Groome5.9
5H. Warren69'for Aodh Dervin83'5.4
31J. Wilson45'for Luke Mulligan5.1

St Patrick's Athl. Substitutes

1D. Rogers
17R. Palmer79'for Anthony Olusanya6.6
16D. Nugent58'for Barry Baggley6.8
33S. McHale
11J. McClelland
8C. Forrester79'for Ryan Sheridan7.2
27R. Edmondson69'for Aidan Keena82'7.3
23J. Brown58'for Zachary Elbouzedi7.2
35S. Rooney

Match Stats

DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots16
0Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal5
2Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls12
4Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves0
407Total Passes375
293Passes Accurate262
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

DundalkDundalk
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
1493Elo Rating 1630
1.02Attack 0.92
0.78Defense 2.38
0%Hit Rate 31%
14.0Shots per Game 19.6
4.9Shots on Target 4.7
5.3Corners per Game 6.3
1.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DundalkDundalk2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division24/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
11
Premier Division06/04/2026
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
20
Premier Division27/02/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
40
Premier Division05/09/2024
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
12
Premier Division03/06/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
23
Premier Division12/04/2024
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
00
Premier Division08/03/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
10
Premier Division22/09/2023
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
31
Premier Division26/06/2023
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
11
Premier Division26/05/2023
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
21

Recent Form

DundalkDundalk
3W3D4L
11/09/2026
WaterfordDundalk
11
D
06/09/2026
Derry CityDundalk
42
L
28/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
23
W
21/08/2026
DundalkGalway United
12
L
15/08/2026
DundalkCastlebar Celtic
80
W
07/08/2026
Shamrock RoversDundalk
32
L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D
24/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
11
D
17/07/2026
St Mochta'sDundalk
13
W
10/07/2026
DundalkDrogheda United
12
L
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
5W2D3L
11/09/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
20
W
05/09/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
7080
L
28/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
02
L
21/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
02
W
16/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
3222
W
09/08/2026
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
12
W
02/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Derry City
11
D
24/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
11
D
17/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Wexford
21
W
14/07/2026
DoncasterSt Patrick's Athl.
42
L

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundalk and St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd in the Premier Division, while Dundalk sit 7th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Dundalk 52-58, St Patrick's Athl. 53-28. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.