Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

The Showgrounds, Sligo 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Sligo Rovers Rest
5 days
St Patrick's Athl. Rest
5 days

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.: result, form and history

St Patrick's Athl. beat Sligo Rovers 1-0 in the Premier Division on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: St Patrick's Athl. had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Sligo Rovers.

St Patrick's Athl. have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. St Patrick's Athl. tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.2 for Sligo Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%7.10
X
19%4.55
2
69%1.40
Double Chance
1X
31%2.91
X2
88%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%1.85
No
67%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.78 + 1.55 = 2.33
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.63
Over 3.5
24%2.60
Under 1.5
37%4.33
Under 2.5
61%2.19
Under 3.5
76%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

48'A. GabbidonFoul
59'Anto Breslin INJason McClelland out
59'Ryan Edmondson INAnthony Olusanya out
62'Carl McHughFoul
62'James McManus INKaiyne Woolery out
65'Jamie LennonFoul
66'Barry Baggley INChristopher Forrester out
71'Cian Kavanagh INLuke Pearce out
74'Aidan Keena
76'Ryan Sheridan INDarragh Nugent out
77'Sean Hoare INSean mchale out
79'Jack Shorrock INKevin Zefi out
81'sean stewart INkyle mcdonagh out
81'Carl McHugh INO.Denham out

Lineups

Sligo Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Purse
St Patrick's Athl.
3-1-4-2Coach: S. Kenny
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.90
Liam John Hughes7.61L. John Hughes
Aidan Gabbidon5.851A. Gabbidon
G. McElroy6.352G. McElroy
C. McHugh5.516C. McHugh
Sean Stewart6.43S. Stewart
L. Young6.56L. Young
S. Maughan5.650S. Maughan
J. McManus6.214J. McManus
A. Meekison6.610A. Meekison
J. Shorrock5.97J. Shorrock
C. Kavanagh6.411C. Kavanagh
J. Anang7.594J. Anang
J. Redmond7.24J. Redmond
S. Hoare6.32S. Hoare
L. Turner6.824L. Turner
J. Lennon7.26J. Lennon
Z. Elbouzedi6.87Z. Elbouzedi
R. Sheridan6.748R. Sheridan
B. Baggley6.619B. Baggley
A. Breslin7.03A. Breslin
R. Edmondson6.927R. Edmondson
A. Keena8.09A. Keena

Sligo Rovers Substitutes

60R. Brush
15O. Denham81'for Carl McHugh6.5
9L. Pearce71'for Cian Kavanagh6.7
41K. Woolery62'for James McManus6.1
77Kevin Zefi79'for Jack Shorrock6.3
24J. O'Donnell
49Jamie O'Malley
61Conor Cannon

St Patrick's Athl. Substitutes

1D. Rogers
17R. Palmer
21A. Olusanya59'for Ryan Edmondson6.6
16D. Nugent76'for Ryan Sheridan6.5
33S. McHale77'for Sean Hoare6.5
11J. McClelland59'for Anto Breslin6.9
8C. Forrester66'for Barry Baggley7.1
23J. Brown
35S. Rooney

Match Stats

Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
11Fouls8
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves3
347Total Passes474
257Passes Accurate373
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
1384Elo Rating 1630
0.56Attack 0.92
0.13Defense 2.38
0%Hit Rate 31%
8.2Shots per Game 19.6
2.3Shots on Target 4.7
3.2Corners per Game 6.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.7Wins · 70%
2.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division19/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
20
Premier Division04/05/2026
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
11
Premier Division03/04/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
41
Premier Division27/09/2025
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
Premier Division10/08/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
30
Premier Division30/05/2025
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
01
Premier Division28/02/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
43
Premier Division01/11/2024
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
02
Premier Division04/08/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
32
Premier Division06/05/2024
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10

Recent Form

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
2W3D5L
14/09/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
13
L
11/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
20
L
04/09/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
30
L
28/08/2026
BohemiansSligo Rovers
30
L
21/08/2026
Sligo RoversWaterford
00
D
15/08/2026
Sligo RoversKerry
40
W
07/08/2026
Derry CitySligo Rovers
20
L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D
25/07/2026
Sligo RoversDrogheda United
22
D
18/07/2026
JanesboroSligo Rovers
04
W
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
6W2D2L
14/09/2026
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
04
W
11/09/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
20
W
05/09/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
7080
L
28/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
02
L
21/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
02
W
16/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
3222
W
09/08/2026
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
12
W
02/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Derry City
11
D
24/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
11
D
17/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Wexford
21
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd in the Premier Division, while Sligo Rovers sit 10th, 36 points behind. League goal record so far: Sligo Rovers 26-64, St Patrick's Athl. 53-28. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.