Galway United vs Shelbourne Prediction

Galway United
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Shelbourne
Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway·Robert Hennessy 25/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Galway United Rest
7 days
Shelbourne Rest
7 days

Galway United vs Shelbourne: the result in context

Galway United and Shelbourne drew 1-1 in the Premier Division on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Shelbourne tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.3 for Galway United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.61
X
28%3.40
2
33%2.49
Double Chance
1X
67%1.50
X2
61%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.53
No
43%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.08 = 2.42
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.66
Over 3.5
32%2.62
Under 1.5
24%4.15
Under 2.5
47%2.14
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Wasiri Williams INAl Amin Kazeem out
45+1'Sean Moore INSean Boyd out
45+5'Jimmy Keohane(Penalty)
53'Al Amin Kazeem INfrancely lomboto out
58'Ademipo OdubekoAssist: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
60'Sam BoneTime wasting
65'Sam Bone INAlistair Coote out
77'Sean Boyd INJohn Martin out
82'Stephen Walsh INFrantz Pierrot out
83'Aaron BolgerFoul
90+2'Anthony O'ConnorDissent

Lineups

Galway United
3-4-1-2Coach: John Caulfield
Shelbourne
3-4-3Coach: J. Russell
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating6.50
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha6.416H. Alberto Pires da Cunha
O. Williams6.615O. Williams
A. O'Connor6.22A. O'Connor
Gianfranco Facchineri6.112G. Facchineri
Connor Barratt6.43C. Barratt
A. Bolger6.58A. Bolger
D. Hurley6.010D. Hurley
J. Keohane5.74J. Keohane
L. Devitt6.020L. Devitt
K. Twardek6.311K. Twardek
S. Walsh6.17S. Walsh
C. Walsh6.331C. Walsh
S. Bone5.915S. Bone
O. Casey6.816O. Casey
K. Ledwidge6.34K. Ledwidge
M. Mbeng6.625M. Mbeng
Jack Henry-Francis6.721J. Henry-Francis
K. McInroy6.223K. McInroy
James Barry Norris6.418J. Barry Norris
S. Moore6.122S. Moore
M. Odubeko7.611M. Odubeko
E. Caffrey6.427E. Caffrey

Galway United Substitutes

17Junior Thiam
28J. Morahan
21D. Connolly
32Vincent Angelini
54C. Whittaker
9F. Lomboto53'replaced by Al Amin Kazeem6.6
30A. Kazeem10'for Wasiri Williams53'for francely lomboto6.7
23F. Pierrot82'for Stephen Walsh6.5

Shelbourne Substitutes

36W. Jarvis
9S. Boyd45+1'for Sean Moore77'for John Martin6.7
10J. Martin77'replaced by Sean Boyd6.6
44Daniel Ring
14A. Coote65'for Sam Bone6.5
2S. Gannon
56J. Wuna
13M. Johnson

Match Stats

Galway UnitedShelbourne
43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls10
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
302Total Passes414
147Passes Accurate279
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Galway UnitedGalway United
ShelbourneShelbourne
1543Elo Rating 1599
0.99Attack 2.29
1.84Defense 2.13
19%Hit Rate 83%
9.4Shots per Game 14.4
3.3Shots on Target 4.6
2.3Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Galway UnitedGalway United
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ShelbourneShelbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Galway UnitedGalway United1Wins · 10%
Draws770%
ShelbourneShelbourne2Wins · 20%
1.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division28/08/2026
Galway UnitedShelbourne
11
Premier Division29/05/2026
ShelbourneGalway United
11
Premier Division20/02/2026
ShelbourneGalway United
11
Premier Division07/09/2025
ShelbourneGalway United
10
Premier Division27/06/2025
Galway UnitedShelbourne
11
Premier Division21/04/2025
ShelbourneGalway United
22
Premier Division03/03/2025
Galway UnitedShelbourne
11
Premier Division20/09/2024
Galway UnitedShelbourne
10
FAI Cup16/08/2024
ShelbourneGalway United
1010
Premier Division28/06/2024
ShelbourneGalway United
20

Recent Form

Galway UnitedGalway United
4W4D2L
18/09/2026
Derry CityGalway United
10
L
14/09/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
13
W
11/09/2026
Galway UnitedBohemians
23
L
04/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
12
W
28/08/2026
Galway UnitedShelbourne
11
D
21/08/2026
DundalkGalway United
12
W
14/08/2026
Galway UnitedBray Wanderers
5131
W
07/08/2026
Galway UnitedDrogheda United
00
D
02/08/2026
BohemiansGalway United
11
D
25/07/2026
Galway UnitedWaterford
00
D

Referee Profile

Robert Hennessy135 matches

4.87Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Hennessy4.87
Other referees5.03

4.87 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.03).

Cards come from 70 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Galway United vs Shelbourne forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Galway United and Shelbourne in the Premier Division table

Shelbourne and Galway United are close in the Premier Division table, 4th and 6th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Galway United 46-51, Shelbourne 50-47. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.