Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba Prediction

IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka·Akihiko Ikeuchi 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.84
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Shimizu S-pulse Rest
7 days
JEF United Chiba Rest
6 days

Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba: result, form and history

Shimizu S-pulse beat JEF United Chiba 2-1 in the J1 League on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. JEF United Chiba tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 4.2 for Shimizu S-pulse.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.83
X
28%3.40
2
26%4.50
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
54%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.93
No
41%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.3 = 2.78
Over 1.5
76%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.12
Over 3.5
28%3.75
Under 1.5
24%2.92
Under 2.5
53%1.71
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
54%1.48
Over 9.5
43%1.87
Over 10.5
35%2.31
Under 8.5
46%2.43
Under 9.5
57%1.90
Under 10.5
65%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.9 = 3.2
Over 3.5
39%-
Over 4.5
21%-
Under 3.5
61%-
Under 4.5
79%-

Match Events

30'Matheus Salgueiro Pains
47'Kai MatsuzakiAssist: Won Du-jae
63'Kenta Inoue INTomoya Fujii out
63'Ryo Germain INKoya Kitagawa out
64'Naohiro Sugiyama INMakoto Himeno out
71'Oh Se-hunAssist: Tomoya Fujii
76'Kai Matsuzaki INTaiki Hirato out
76'Won Du-jae INDieguinho out
77'Yusuke Kobayashi INTaishi Taguchi out
77'Ken Yamura INHiroto Goya out
77'Takumi Tsukui INZain Issaka out
79'Hidehiro SugaiTime wasting
81'Tomoya FujiiArgument
81'Takayuki YoshidaDissent
86'Masaru Hidaka INTakayuki Mae out
90+2'Oh Se-hun INKosuke Kinoshita out

Lineups

Shimizu S-pulse
4-3-3Coach: T. Yoshida
JEF United Chiba
4-4-2Coach: Y. Kobayashi
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.31
T. Umeda6.616T. Umeda
H. Sugai6.124H. Sugai
J. Sumiyoshi6.751J. Sumiyoshi
Y. Honda6.715Y. Honda
Mateus Brunetti6.325M. Brunetti
M. Yumiba6.417M. Yumiba
Won Du-Jae6.96W. Du-Jae
K. Matsuzaki8.221K. Matsuzaki
R. Germain6.413R. Germain
Oh Se-Hun7.89O. Se-Hun
K. Inoue6.88K. Inoue
J. Suarez6.019J. Suarez
R. Ishio6.039R. Ishio
D. Hall6.366D. Hall
T. Kawano7.228T. Kawano
M. Hidaka6.667M. Hidaka
N. Sugiyama5.818N. Sugiyama
Y. Kobayashi6.25Y. Kobayashi
Matheus Índio7.525M. Índio
T. Tsukui5.98T. Tsukui
D. Ishikawa6.620D. Ishikawa
K. Yamura6.229K. Yamura

Shimizu S-pulse Substitutes

19K. Kinoshita90+2'for Oh Se-hun
2Dieguinho76'for Won Du-jae6.3
49K. Kitagawa63'for Ryo Germain6.5
18T. Hirato76'for Kai Matsuzaki6.1
81K. Kozuka
1Y. Oki
3Y. Takahashi
28Y. Yoshida81'
50T. Fujii63'for Kenta Inoue81'6.5

JEF United Chiba Substitutes

9H. Goya77'for Ken Yamura6.3
37M. Himeno64'for Naohiro Sugiyama6.1
42Z. Issaka77'for Takumi Tsukui5.9
15T. Mae86'for Masaru Hidaka6.4
2B. Nduka
45Leonardo Rocha
23R. Suzuki
4T. Taguchi77'for Yusuke Kobayashi6.1
41T. Yasui

Match Stats

Shimizu S-pulseJEF United Chiba
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots0
5Fouls11
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
421Total Passes425
324Passes Accurate321
11Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
1483Elo Rating 1411
0.84Attack 1.02
0.00Defense 1.27
14%Hit Rate 0%
9.2Shots per Game 15.2
3.0Shots on Target 3.2
4.2Corners per Game 6.3
1.3Cards per Game 3.8

Game State Tendencies

Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

J2 League06/07/2024
Shimizu S-pulseJEF United Chiba
20
J2 League20/03/2024
JEF United ChibaShimizu S-pulse
13
J2 League16/07/2023
Shimizu S-pulseJEF United Chiba
22
J2 League17/05/2023
JEF United ChibaShimizu S-pulse
10

Recent Form

Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
4W2D4L
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
3W2D5L
13/09/2026
Tokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
11
D
09/09/2026
Kamatamare SanukiJEF United Chiba
02
W
06/09/2026
JEF United ChibaGamba Osaka
20
W
02/09/2026
JEF United ChibaFagiano Okayama
12
L
29/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
42
L
26/08/2026
JEF United ChibaAzul Claro Numazu
8070
W
21/08/2026
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
20
L
15/08/2026
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
04
L
08/08/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba
30
L
01/08/2026
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol
0000
D

Referee Profile

Akihiko Ikeuchi181 matches

2.76Cards per match
2.63Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Akihiko Ikeuchi2.76
Other referees2.50

2.76 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.50).

Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Shimizu S-pulse are 13th and JEF United Chiba 20th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Shimizu S-pulse 10-20, JEF United Chiba 12-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.