Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-2.0%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
3 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
2 days
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: the result in context
Real Salt Lake beat Sporting Kansas City 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Real Salt Lake have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
134%2.75
X26%3.80
240%2.25
Double Chance
1X60%1.59
X266%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes66%1.40
No34%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.49 = 3.01
Over 1.584%1.12
Over 2.564%1.42
Over 3.542%2.10
Under 1.516%6.00
Under 2.536%2.73
Under 3.558%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.8 = 10.5
Over 8.570%1.40
Over 9.558%1.73
Over 10.547%2.17
Under 8.530%2.75
Under 9.542%2.02
Under 10.553%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.60
Over 4.542%2.15
Under 3.539%2.27
Under 4.558%1.65
Match Events
11'Morgan GuilavoguiAssist: Noel Caliskan
14'Sergi Solans
26'Taylor CalheiraAssist: André Luiz
45+1'Luc De FougerollesFoul
61'Morgan GuilavoguiAssist: Noel Caliskan
61'Stephen Afrifa INOsvaldo Pedro Capemba out
62'Kwaku Agyabeng INJacob Davis out
63'Dominik Marczuk INChadwick Zachary Booth out
72'Juan SanabriaFoul
73'Zorhan Bassong INIan James out
73'Taylor Calheira INSeymour Garfield-Reid out
74'Calvin HarrisFoul
76'Jacob BartlettFoul
77'Saba Lobjanidze INAiden Hezarkhani out
77'Sergi Solans INAriath Piol out
85'Luc De Fougerolles INSam Junqua out
85'Morgan Guilavogui INAlexandros Katranis out
87'Calvin Harris INRuben Ramos Jr out
90+1'Chadwick Zachary BoothFoul
90+1'Stijn SpieringsTime wasting
90+2'Jansen MillerFoul
Lineups
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake
5-4-1Coach: P. MastroeniAvg ratingAvg rating
30S. Cleveland
16J. Bartlett
15J. Miller
28W. Meyer
18E. Karić
11A. Luiz
20K. Agyabeng
22Z. Bassong
14C. Harris
19T. Calheira
17S. Afrifa
1R. Cabral
11D. Marczuk
3K. Henry
44L. De Fougerolles
26P. Quinton
8J. Sanabria
9M. Guilavogui
6S. Spierings
92N. Caliskan
12S. Lobzhanidze
22S. SolansSporting Kansas City Substitutes
93M. Suleymanov
8J. Davis62'for Kwaku Agyabeng
7Capita61'for Stephen Afrifa
23E. Bartlow
29S. Reid73'for Taylor Calheira
2I. James73'for Zorhan Bassong
1J. Pulskamp
24R. Ramos87'for Calvin Harris
99J. Reid
Real Salt Lake Substitutes
25Colin Guske
39A. Hezarkhani77'for Saba Lobjanidze
29S. Junqua85'for Luc De Fougerolles
98A. Katránis85'for Morgan Guilavogui
19A. Piol77'for Sergi Solans
31M. Stajduhar
2D. Yedlin
23Chadwick Zachary Booth63'for Dominik Marczuk90+1'
28Dušan Žagar
Match Stats
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake 51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box9
1Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
14Fouls10
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
535Total Passes518
473Passes Accurate456
10Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake1438Elo Rating 1556
1.30Attack 1.73
0.36Defense 1.83
14%Hit Rate 44%
11.6Shots per Game 13.9
4.4Shots on Target 6.0
5.4Corners per Game 4.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Sporting Kansas City- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Real Salt Lake- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sporting Kansas City2Wins · 20%Draws220%
Real Salt Lake6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
04/04/2026Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City31
14/09/2025Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City21
29/06/2025Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake11
20/06/2024Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake34
05/05/2024Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City10
08/10/2023Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City23
13/07/2023Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake22
18/07/2022Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City30
28/03/2022Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake10
28/11/2021Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake12
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City2W2D6L
15/10/2026
Nashville SCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas City
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Philadelphia UnionSporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC
FC DallasSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Nashville SCSporting Kansas City40
L11/10/2026Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers33
D02/10/2026Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas City21
L27/09/2026Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City02
W20/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityPhiladelphia Union34
L13/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FC31
W06/09/2026FC DallasSporting Kansas City43
L30/08/2026Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps03
L24/08/2026Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City21
L20/08/2026Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City11
DReal Salt Lake1W2D7L
15/10/2026Real Salt Lake
San Jose EarthquakesPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
New England RevolutionSeattle SoundersReal Salt LakeReal Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsReal Salt Lake
New York City FCHouston DynamoReal Salt LakeReal Salt LakeLos Angeles FC
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
Real Salt LakeSan Jose Earthquakes11
D11/10/2026Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake21
L27/09/2026Real Salt LakeNew England Revolution30
W24/09/2026Seattle SoundersReal Salt Lake20
L20/09/2026Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps03
L13/09/2026Real Salt LakeNew York City FC02
L10/09/2026Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake21
L06/09/2026Real Salt LakeLos Angeles FC22
D30/08/2026Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake10
L26/08/2026
LeonReal Salt Lake
LeonReal Salt Lake30
LReferee Profile
4.38Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).
Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
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This match
About the Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Real Salt Lake are 10th and Sporting Kansas City 15th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Kansas City 36-75, Real Salt Lake 45-48. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.