Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction

Sunderland
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Arsenal
Stadium of Light, Sunderland 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.55
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Sunderland Rest
4 days
Arsenal Rest
3 days

Sunderland vs Arsenal: result, form and history

Arsenal beat Sunderland 2-0 in the Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Arsenal had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Sunderland.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 4.3 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%6.40
X
31%3.90
2
49%1.60
Double Chance
1X
51%2.33
X2
80%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%2.07
No
43%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.63 = 2.84
Over 1.5
74%1.34
Over 2.5
54%2.10
Over 3.5
36%3.70
Under 1.5
26%3.14
Under 2.5
46%1.75
Under 3.5
64%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 5.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
61%1.67
Over 9.5
52%2.10
Over 10.5
38%2.79
Under 8.5
39%2.07
Under 9.5
48%1.65
Under 10.5
62%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.80
Over 4.5
29%2.38
Under 3.5
52%1.96
Under 4.5
71%1.54

Match Events

28'Reinildo Isnard MandavaFoul
39'Mikel Arteta AmatriainDissent
45'Ben White INJurriën Timber out
45'Myles Lewis-Skelly INBruno Guimarães out
56'Enzo Le Fée(Penalty missed)
58'Bruno GuimarãesAssist: Declan Rice
66'Dan BallardDissent
69'Granit XhakaFoul
70'Nilson Angulo INWilson Isidor out
76'Thomas Meunier INMalick Fofana out
81'Brian BrobbeyArgument
81'Christos Tzolis INEberechi Eze out
81'Declan Rice INMartín Zubimendi out
85'Martin Odegaard INMikel Merino out
90+1'Gabriel dos Santos MagalhãesArgument
90+1'Nordi MukieleArgument
90+3'Kai HavertzFoul
90+6'Reinildo Isnard Mandava
90+7'Bukayo Saka(Penalty)

Lineups

Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Le Bris
Arsenal
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikel Arteta
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating7.08
R. Roefs6.322R. Roefs
N. Mukiele5.820N. Mukiele
K. Danso6.54K. Danso
D. Ballard5.75D. Ballard
Reinildo6.717Reinildo
G. Xhaka7.234G. Xhaka
N. Sadiki6.327N. Sadiki
T. Meunier6.312T. Meunier
E. Le Fée6.828E. Le Fée
N. Angulo6.310N. Angulo
B. Brobbey6.19B. Brobbey
David Raya7.41D. Raya
B. White7.04B. White
E. Konsa7.715E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães6.96G. Magalhães
R. Calafiori7.533R. Calafiori
D. Rice7.741D. Rice
M. Lewis-Skelly7.249M. Lewis-Skelly
B. Saka6.57B. Saka
M. Ødegaard7.28M. Ødegaard
C. Tzolis6.517C. Tzolis
K. Havertz6.329K. Havertz

Sunderland Substitutes

11C. Rigg
7C. Talbi
15O. Alderete
31M. Ellborg
39M. Fofana76'for Thomas Meunier6.4
32T. Hume
18W. Isidor70'for Nilson Angulo6.1
6D. Methalie
13L. O'Nien

Arsenal Substitutes

39Bruno Guimarães45'for Myles Lewis-Skelly58'8.1
10E. Eze81'for Christos Tzolis6.8
14V. Gyökeres
5P. Hincapié
20N. Madueke
23Mikel Merino85'for Martin Odegaard6.7
12J. Timber45'for Ben White7.0
36Martín Zubimendi81'for Declan Rice6.9
13Kepa

Match Stats

SunderlandArsenal
43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks2
6Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
18Fouls11
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
284Total Passes386
217Passes Accurate320
76%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

SunderlandSunderland
ArsenalArsenal
1759Elo Rating 2038
1.10Attack 1.68
1.01Defense 1.87
37%Hit Rate 59%
13.8Shots per Game 12.7
3.9Shots on Target 4.4
6.8Corners per Game 5.4
2.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

SunderlandSunderland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
ArsenalArsenal
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

SunderlandSunderland0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
ArsenalArsenal2Wins · 67%
4.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Premier League07/02/2026
ArsenalSunderland
30
Premier League08/11/2025
SunderlandArsenal
22
League Cup21/12/2021
ArsenalSunderland
51

Recent Form

SunderlandSunderland
6W1D3L
08/09/2026
SunderlandHull City
10
W
05/09/2026
BrentfordSunderland
11
D
30/08/2026
SunderlandFulham
10
W
22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
W
02/08/2026
WrexhamSunderland
01
W
31/07/2026
SunderlandLeeds
01
L
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
L
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
W
ArsenalArsenal
7W0D3L
09/09/2026
NapoliArsenal
01
W
06/09/2026
ArsenalChelsea
21
W
31/08/2026
Aston VillaArsenal
01
W
21/08/2026
ArsenalCoventry
30
W
16/08/2026
ArsenalManchester City
30
W
12/08/2026
ArsenalComo
4131
W
09/08/2026
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
23
L
05/08/2026
ArsenalReal Betis
13
L
01/08/2026
GironaArsenal
14
W
30/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainArsenal
4131
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City770019:7+1221WWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal760111:5+618WWLWW
3BrightonBrighton751123:5+1816WWWWD
4ChelseaChelsea741217:13+413WWLDL
5LiverpoolLiverpool73319:8+112WLWDW
6BrentfordBrentford724113:8+510LDWDD
7LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
8EvertonEverton72418:7+110LDWDD
9Hull CityHull City72328:7+19LDLDD
10IpswichIpswich730411:15-49LWLWL
11NewcastleNewcastle722310:14-48LLWLD
12Aston VillaAston Villa72237:11-48WDWLD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United714210:1007DDDLD
14Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace72149:17-87LWDLW
15BournemouthBournemouth71339:13-46WLLDD
16TottenhamTottenham71336:10-46WDLDD
17CoventryCoventry72056:14-86LWWLL
18FulhamFulham71247:10-35WLDDL
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest71245:9-45LLLWD
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City719:721
2ArsenalArsenal711:518
3BrightonBrighton723:516
4ChelseaChelsea717:1313
5LiverpoolLiverpool79:812
6BrentfordBrentford713:810
7LeedsLeeds79:610
8EvertonEverton78:710
9Hull CityHull City78:79
10IpswichIpswich711:159
11NewcastleNewcastle710:148
12Aston VillaAston Villa77:118
13Manchester UnitedManchester United710:107
14Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace79:177
15BournemouthBournemouth79:136
16TottenhamTottenham76:106
17CoventryCoventry76:146
18FulhamFulham77:105
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest75:95
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Sunderland vs Arsenal forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sunderland and Arsenal in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League, while Sunderland sit 20th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Sunderland 6-14, Arsenal 11-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.