Brentford vs Sunderland Prediction

Brentford
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sunderland
Brentford Community Stadium, London·Thomas Bramall, England 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
Brentford Rest
6 days
Sunderland Rest
6 days

Brentford vs Sunderland: the result in context

Brentford and Sunderland drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.65
X
24%3.90
2
23%5.35
Double Chance
1X
77%1.17
X2
47%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.79
No
36%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1.14 = 2.96
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.83
Over 3.5
36%3.02
Under 1.5
18%3.73
Under 2.5
41%2.00
Under 3.5
64%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Goal cancelledDaniel Ballard
14'Noah SadikiFoul
17'N. Collins INJ. Schuster out
30'Mamadou SangareFoul
46'M. Kayode INA. Hickey out
46'M. Sangare INY. Yarmolyuk out
46'D. Ouattara INJ. Anthony out
57'V. Janelt
62'Vitaly JaneltFoul
64'N. Angulo INW. Isidor out
64'T. Meunier INT. Hume out
69'Yehor YarmoliukFoul
74'N. Sadiki INM. Fofana out
82'E. Le Fee(Penalty)
86'M. Damsgaard INC. Wilson out
88'Granit XhakaArgument

Lineups

Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: Regis Le Bris
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.92
C. Kelleher6.91C. Kelleher
M. Kayode7.033M. Kayode
K. Ajer6.720K. Ajer
N. CollinsC6.622N. Collins
K. Lewis-Potter5.923K. Lewis-Potter
M. Sangare6.718M. Sangare
V. Janelt8.027V. Janelt
D. Ouattara6.711D. Ouattara
M. Damsgaard7.524M. Damsgaard
K. Schade6.67K. Schade
I. Thiago7.39I. Thiago
R. Roefs7.522R. Roefs
N. Mukiele6.920N. Mukiele
K. Danso7.24K. Danso
D. Ballard7.55D. Ballard
R. Mandava6.917R. Mandava
G. XhakaC7.234G. Xhaka
N. Sadiki6.627N. Sadiki
T. Meunier6.012T. Meunier
E. Le Fee7.328E. Le Fee
N. Angulo6.910N. Angulo
B. Brobbey6.29B. Brobbey

Brentford Substitutes

12H. R. Valdimarsson
3R. Henry
2A. Hickey46'for M. Kayode6.5
25M. Diouf
14F. Carvalho
6Y. Yarmolyuk46'for M. Sangare69'6.5
44J. Schuster17'for N. Collins7.2
19J. Anthony46'for D. Ouattara6.3
13C. Wilson86'for M. Damsgaard6.3

Sunderland Substitutes

31M. Ellborg
15O. Alderete
13L. O'Nien
32T. Hume64'for T. Meunier7.2
6D. Methalie
11C. Rigg
29J. Ahoka
39M. Fofana74'for N. Sadiki6.6
18W. Isidor64'for N. Angulo6.9

Match Stats

BrentfordSunderland
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
19Fouls9
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
371Total Passes384
287Passes Accurate290
77%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

BrentfordBrentford
SunderlandSunderland
1866Elo Rating 1725
1.64Attack 0.95
1.50Defense 1.24
27%Hit Rate 19%
11.9Shots per Game 15.8
3.9Shots on Target 5.3
3.9Corners per Game 3.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+140 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BrentfordBrentford
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
SunderlandSunderland
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BrentfordBrentford1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SunderlandSunderland1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League07/01/2026
BrentfordSunderland
30
Premier League30/08/2025
SunderlandBrentford
21

Recent Form

BrentfordBrentford
5W3D2L
30/08/2026
LeedsBrentford
11
D
25/08/2026
BirminghamBrentford
16
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
W
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D
09/05/2026
Manchester CityBrentford
30
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
W
27/04/2026
Manchester UnitedBrentford
21
L
SunderlandSunderland
7W0D3L
30/08/2026
SunderlandFulham
10
W
22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
W
02/08/2026
WrexhamSunderland
01
W
31/07/2026
SunderlandLeeds
01
L
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
L
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
W
24/05/2026
SunderlandChelsea
21
W
17/05/2026
EvertonSunderland
13
W

Referee Profile

Thomas Bramall184 matches

3.60Cards per match
3.47Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Bramall3.60
Other referees3.79

3.60 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Brentford vs Sunderland forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Brentford and Sunderland in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Brentford are 8th and Sunderland 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Brentford 16-11, Sunderland 8-17. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Brentford and Sunderland have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.