Mirassol vs LDU de Quito Prediction

Mirassol
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
LDU de Quito
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol·Alexis Herrera, Venezuela 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
Mirassol Rest
4 days
LDU de Quito Rest
5 days

Mirassol vs LDU de Quito: result, form and history

Mirassol and LDU de Quito drew 1-1 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 13 Aug 2026. LDU de Quito had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Mirassol.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.68
X
32%3.40
2
19%5.85
Double Chance
1X
82%1.13
X2
51%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.25
No
56%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.03 = 2.49
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
39%2.39
Over 3.5
19%4.55
Under 1.5
30%2.62
Under 2.5
61%1.56
Under 3.5
81%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.2 = 8.9
Over 8.5
57%1.45
Over 9.5
45%1.80
Over 10.5
34%2.22
Under 8.5
43%2.54
Under 9.5
55%1.95
Under 10.5
66%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.2 = 5.5
Over 3.5
75%1.33
Over 4.5
64%1.68
Under 3.5
25%2.90
Under 4.5
36%2.00

Match Events

15'EduardoAssist: Edson Carioca
35'Y. Quinonez
41'Neto MouraRoughing
55'JapaRoughing
59'Japa INWallisson out
71'Alesson INFernandinho out
78'Neto Moura INDenilson out
78'Eduardo INShaylon out
78'Edson Carioca INCarlos Eduardo out
82'M. EstradaAssist: J. Corozo
84'M. Estrada INDeyverson out
84'S. Gonzalez Baquero INA. Alvarado out
90+3'F. Cornejo INJ. Rodriguez out

Lineups

Mirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Guanaes Rafael
LDU de Quito
4-3-3Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.54
Walter6.622Walter
Igor Formiga7.232I. Formiga
João VictorC6.734J. Victor
Willian Machado7.33W. Machado
Reinaldo7.26Reinaldo
Neto Moura6.925N. Moura
Japa7.35Japa
Edson Carioca6.395E. Carioca
Eduardo7.933Eduardo
Alesson7.377Alesson
Bruno Santos6.530B. Santos
Gonzalo Valle6.31G. Valle
Josué Cuero6.228J. Cuero
Ricardo AdéC6.54R. Adé
Luis Segovia6.344L. Segovia
José Carabalí7.267J. Carabalí
Fernando Cornejo5.920F. Cornejo
Jesús Pretell6.98J. Pretell
Sebastián González6.55S. González
Janner Corozo6.713J. Corozo
Michael Estrada6.911M. Estrada
Yerlin Quinonez6.723Y. Quinonez

Mirassol Substitutes

80Wallisson Luiz59'for Japa6.9
17Fernandinho71'for Alesson6.7
23Alex Muralha
90Thomazella
2Lucas Oliveira
12Victor Luis
20Daniel Borges
7Shaylon78'for Eduardo6.6
8Denilson78'replaced by Neto Moura6.5
10Chico
99André Luis
96Carlos Eduardo78'replaced by Edson Carioca6.7

LDU de Quito Substitutes

22Alexander Domínguez
25Patrick Ortiz
30Gian Franco Allala
3Richard Mina
31Juan Rodríguez90+3'for F. Cornejo
99Alejandro Tobar
32Edison Gomez
7Rodney Redes
10Alexander Alvarado84'for S. Gonzalez Baquero6.3
26Ivan Zambrano
27Ruddy Mina
16Deyverson84'for M. Estrada6.6

Match Stats

MirassolLDU de Quito
50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots3
8Fouls17
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
363Total Passes366
287Passes Accurate278
79%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

MirassolMirassol
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
1661Elo Rating 1640
1.07Attack 0.97
1.94Defense 1.14
44%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 13.6
3.3Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 4.5
2.2Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MirassolMirassol1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Libertadores08/05/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
20
CONMEBOL Libertadores15/04/2026
LDU de QuitoMirassol
20

Recent Form

MirassolMirassol
4W2D4L
09/08/2026
CruzeiroMirassol
31
L
06/08/2026
GremioMirassol
10
L
02/08/2026
MirassolGremio
11
D
30/07/2026
MirassolRemo
21
W
26/07/2026
Vasco DA GamaMirassol
11
D
18/07/2026
MirassolGremio
21
W
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
L
24/05/2026
MirassolFluminense
10
W
20/05/2026
Always ReadyMirassol
12
W
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
4W2D4L
08/08/2026
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
02
L
04/08/2026
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
21
W
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
W
27/07/2026
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito
01
W
23/07/2026
Manta FCLDU de Quito
11
D
18/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
01
L
16/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
10
L
12/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLibertad
00
D
09/07/2026
Ind. JuniorsLDU de Quito
3141
W
05/07/2026
MacaraLDU de Quito
10
L

Referee Profile

Alexis Herrera191 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexis Herrera5.03
Other referees5.16

5.03 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito64028:5+312WWLLW
2MirassolMirassol64027:4+312LWWWL
3LanusLanus63033:7-49WLLWW
4Always ReadyAlways Ready61057:9-23LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito68:512
2MirassolMirassol67:412
3LanusLanus63:79
4Always ReadyAlways Ready67:93

About the Mirassol vs LDU de Quito forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Mirassol and LDU de Quito in the CONMEBOL Libertadores table

In the CONMEBOL Libertadores table, Mirassol (2nd) and LDU de Quito (1st) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: Mirassol 7-4, LDU de Quito 8-5. The full standings are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mirassol and LDU de Quito have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.