Venezia vs Napoli Prediction

Venezia
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Napoli
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice·Juan Luca Sacchi 17/10/2026
VeneziaVenezia
1-0
Finished
NapoliNapoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Venezia Rest
4 days
Napoli Rest
3 days

Venezia vs Napoli: the result in context

Venezia beat Napoli 1-0 in the Serie A on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Napoli had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Venezia.

Napoli have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.3 goals a game. Napoli tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.6 for Venezia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.60
X
26%3.98
2
52%1.71
Double Chance
1X
48%2.13
X2
78%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.62
No
41%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.69 = 2.84
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.66
Over 3.5
37%2.56
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
63%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.67
Over 9.5
43%2.01
Over 10.5
32%2.60
Under 8.5
45%2.10
Under 9.5
57%1.70
Under 10.5
68%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.91
Over 4.5
48%2.88
Under 3.5
33%1.80
Under 4.5
52%1.41

Match Events

49'Akor AdamsAssist: Simon Sohm
54'Lorenzo Lucca INRasmus Hojlund out
54'Billy Gilmour INKevin De Bruyne out
54'Giovane Santana Do Nascimento INAlisson Santos out
61'Toma BašićDissent
63'Sam Beukema INMatteo Politano out
63'John Yeboah INAlbion Rrahmani out
68'Kevin De Bruyne(Penalty missed)
71'Ridgeciano Haps INPasquale Mazzocchi out
71'Toma Bašić INThorir Johann Helgason out
72'Matias Moreno INJoël Schingtienne out
80'Enrique Pérez MuñozDissent
82'Leonardo Spinazzola INMathias Olivera out
82'Simon Sohm INLamine Fanne out

Lineups

Venezia
3-5-2Coach: D. Nicola
Napoli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Allegri
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.80
F. Stanković9.01F. Stanković
R. Halhal6.925R. Halhal
M. Moreno7.62M. Moreno
Juan Jesus7.515J. Jesus
A. Hainaut6.618A. Hainaut
Kike Pérez6.471K. Pérez
S. Sohm7.419S. Sohm
T. Bašić6.326T. Bašić
R. Haps6.45R. Haps
J. Yeboah6.310J. Yeboah
A. Adams8.245A. Adams
A. Meret6.81A. Meret
S. Beukema7.031S. Beukema
Amir Rrahmani7.313A. Rrahmani
B. Badiashile7.45B. Badiashile
G. Di Lorenzo6.222G. Di Lorenzo
B. Gilmour6.96B. Gilmour
S. Lobotka6.968S. Lobotka
L. Spinazzola6.737L. Spinazzola
Giovane6.423Giovane
S. McTominay7.08S. McTominay
L. Lucca6.220L. Lucca

Venezia Substitutes

8Lamine Dabo82'for Simon Sohm6.8
96L. Montipò
3J. Schingtienne72'for Matias Moreno7.0
20R. Sagrado
77Toni Fernández
30M. Dagasso
56K. Lisman
36Lorenzo Berardi
16R. Mohammed
55S. Panada
21Þ. Helgason71'for Toma Bašić6.8
70P. Mazzocchi71'for Ridgeciano Haps7.0
7A. Rrahmani63'for John Yeboah6.6
29L. Lauberbach
95A. Gomes

Napoli Substitutes

35Luca Marianucci
16Rafa Marín
17M. Olivera82'for Leonardo Spinazzola6.5
21M. Politano63'for Sam Beukema6.6
11K. De Bruyne54'for Billy Gilmour7.2
99A. Zambo Anguissa
27Alisson Santos54'for Giovane Santana Do Nascimento7.2
19R. Højlund54'for Lorenzo Lucca6.6
70N. Lang
14N. Contini
32V. Milinković-Savić

Match Stats

VeneziaNapoli
29%Ball Possession71%
0Corner Kicks12
2Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots29
4Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box22
1Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots12
7Fouls6
0Offsides5
9Goalkeeper Saves3
312Total Passes733
234Passes Accurate658
5Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

VeneziaVenezia
NapoliNapoli
1653Elo Rating 1829
1.11Attack 1.91
0.84Defense 1.24
27%Hit Rate 44%
13.9Shots per Game 18.3
4.2Shots on Target 7.1
3.6Corners per Game 5.8
3.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

VeneziaVenezia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NapoliNapoli
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

VeneziaVenezia0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
NapoliNapoli3Wins · 75%
1.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A16/03/2025
VeneziaNapoli
00
Serie A29/12/2024
NapoliVenezia
10
Serie A06/02/2022
VeneziaNapoli
02
Serie A22/08/2021
NapoliVenezia
20

Referee Profile

Juan Luca Sacchi121 matches

4.34Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Luca Sacchi4.34
Other referees4.62

4.34 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.62).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter761021:9+1219WWDWW
2LazioLazio761014:4+1019WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma752016:3+1317WDDWW
4AC MilanAC Milan743014:7+715WDWDD
5ComoComo742112:7+514WDLWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone741213:9+413WLWDW
7CagliariCagliari74126:7-113LDWWW
8JuventusJuventus73229:8+111LDWLD
9NapoliNapoli731310:7+310LWDWL
10TorinoTorino731310:9+110WWDLW
11AtalantaAtalanta730410:11-19LWLLL
12LecceLecce73049:12-39WLLWL
13SassuoloSassuolo722312:14-28LDLWD
14MonzaMonza721413:15-27WLWLD
15BolognaBologna71246:10-45LWDLD
16UdineseUdinese71159:16-74LLLLL
17GenoaGenoa71155:13-84LWLDL
18FiorentinaFiorentina71158:17-94LLDWL
19ParmaParma71154:13-94LLWLD
20VeneziaVenezia71066:16-103WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter721:919
2LazioLazio714:419
3AS RomaAS Roma716:317
4AC MilanAC Milan714:715
5ComoComo712:714
6FrosinoneFrosinone713:913
7CagliariCagliari76:713
8JuventusJuventus79:811
9NapoliNapoli710:710
10TorinoTorino710:910
11AtalantaAtalanta710:119
12LecceLecce79:129
13SassuoloSassuolo712:148
14MonzaMonza713:157
15BolognaBologna76:105
16UdineseUdinese79:164
17GenoaGenoa75:134
18FiorentinaFiorentina78:174
19ParmaParma74:134
20VeneziaVenezia76:163
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Venezia vs Napoli forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Venezia and Napoli in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Napoli are 9th and Venezia 20th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Venezia 6-16, Napoli 10-7. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.