CRB vs Vila Nova Prediction

CRB
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Vila Nova
Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio·Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil 28/07/2026
CRBCRB
2-0
Finished
Vila NovaVila Nova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
CRB Rest
5 days
Vila Nova Rest
5 days

CRB vs Vila Nova: the result in context

CRB beat Vila Nova 2-0 in the Serie B on 27 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game. Referee Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro averages 3.80 cards a game, 1.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.02
X
27%3.30
2
20%3.63
Double Chance
1X
80%1.25
X2
48%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.81 = 2.24
Over 1.5
68%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.08
Over 3.5
15%3.50
Under 1.5
32%3.10
Under 2.5
55%1.71
Under 3.5
85%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.5 = 8.8
Over 8.5
49%1.39
Over 9.5
40%1.69
Over 10.5
27%2.10
Under 8.5
51%2.85
Under 9.5
60%2.10
Under 10.5
73%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
63%1.28
Over 4.5
47%1.67
Under 3.5
37%3.05
Under 4.5
53%2.10

Match Events

2'Willian FormigaFoul
13'BressanAssist: Dada Belmonte
18'MikaelAssist: Thiaguinho
46'Dodo INEverton Galdino out
46'Higor Meritao INDudu out
46'Willian Formiga INHigor out
62'Breno AugustoFoul
68'Mikael INDouglas Baggio out
68'Danielzinho INGeovane out
74'Marquinhos Gabriel INEmerson Urso out
75'Igor Carius INHayner out
83'Dada Belmonte INVinicius Barata out
83'Thiaguinho INGuilherme Pato out
88'Pedro Castro INDe Lucca out

Lineups

CRB
4-2-3-1Coach: Barroca Eduardo
Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Ferreira Guto
Avg rating7.05
Avg rating6.38
Vitor Caetano7.21V. Caetano
Kevin7.62Kevin
BressanC7.722Bressan
Lyncon6.933Lyncon
Lucas Lovat6.336L. Lovat
Crystopher7.58Crystopher
Pedro Castro7.021P. Castro
Thiaguinho7.217Thiaguinho
Danielzinho7.310Danielzinho
Dadá Belmonte7.097D. Belmonte
Mikael7.628Mikael
Helton Leite7.21H. Leite
Igor Cariús6.716I. Cariús
Douglas Mendes6.24D. Mendes
Breno6.323Breno
Willian Formiga5.913W. Formiga
João Vieira6.35J. Vieira
Higor Meritão6.221H. Meritão
Dodô6.331Dodô
Marquinhos GabrielC6.310M. Gabriel
Janderson6.399Janderson
Dellatorre6.349Dellatorre

CRB Substitutes

23Fábio Henrique
19Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
77Leo Campos
44Henri Santos
6Reverson
20Vinicius Barata83'for Dada Belmonte6.6
45Patrick De Lucca88'for Pedro Castro
50Luizão
18Geovane68'for Danielzinho6.6
11Guilherme Pato83'for Thiaguinho6.7
7Douglas Baggio68'for Mikael6.5
9João Neto

Vila Nova Substitutes

29Dalberson
22Hayner75'for Igor Carius6.3
6Higor46'for Willian Formiga6.9
3Tiago Pagnussat
8Kerlon
15Dudu Dos Santos46'for Higor Meritao6.3
18Enzo
20Nathan Camargo
70Emerson Urso74'for Marquinhos Gabriel6.3
17Everton Galdino46'for Dodo6.2
9Gustavo Puskas

Match Stats

CRBVila Nova
44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots11
10Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls14
3Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves8
358Total Passes450
293Passes Accurate373
82%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CRBCRB
Vila NovaVila Nova
1642Elo Rating 1661
1.48Attack 1.72
1.56Defense 1.38
37%Hit Rate 17%
23.3Shots per Game 14.1
8.1Shots on Target 5.1
9.1Corners per Game 6.1
1.2Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend10% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CRBCRB
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CRBCRB4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Vila NovaVila Nova4Wins · 40%
1.6Avg Goals
10%Both teams scored1 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie B21/03/2026
Vila NovaCRB
22
Serie B15/11/2025
CRBVila Nova
20
Serie B23/07/2025
Vila NovaCRB
20
Serie B05/09/2024
Vila NovaCRB
10
Serie B18/05/2024
CRBVila Nova
10
Serie B03/09/2023
Vila NovaCRB
01
Serie B21/05/2023
CRBVila Nova
03
Serie B23/09/2022
Vila NovaCRB
10
Serie B11/06/2022
CRBVila Nova
10
Serie B19/10/2021
Vila NovaCRB
00

Recent Form

CRBCRB
4W3D3L
Vila NovaVila Nova
6W0D4L
22/07/2026
Vila NovaFortaleza EC
21
W
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
L
11/07/2026
JuventudeVila Nova
10
L
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
L
21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
W
14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
L
09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
W
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
W
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
W

Referee Profile

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro101 matches

3.80Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro3.80
Other referees5.37

3.80 cards a match, 1.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.37).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
8GoiasGoias361671338:41-355WWDWW
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
8GoiasGoias3638:4155
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the CRB vs Vila Nova forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CRB and Vila Nova in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and CRB 6th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: CRB 57-51, Vila Nova 53-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.