Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction

Vitoria
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Gremio
Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador· Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 08/09/2026
VitoriaVitoria
1-0
Finished
GremioGremio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalHIGHModel65%RiskMediumGap+5.5%
Vitoria Rest
4 days
Gremio Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.10
X
27%3.30
2
25%3.50
Double Chance
1X
75%1.28
X2
52%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.93 = 2.20
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
42%2.13
Over 3.5
22%3.85
Under 1.5
29%3.10
Under 2.5
58%1.71
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.82
Over 10.5
36%2.31
Under 8.5
39%2.41
Under 9.5
49%1.91
Under 10.5
64%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.28
Over 4.5
51%1.67
Under 3.5
30%3.17
Under 4.5
49%2.11

Match Events

36'Pedro GabrielFoul
38'Cristian PavónDissent
45'Pedro Gabriel INCaio Paulista out
48'ErickArgument
48'Caio PaulistaArgument
55'Caíque GonçalvesArgument
59'Erick NoriegaFoul
63'Carlos Renê de Sousa FerreiraAssist: Matheusinho
69'Erick Noriega INDanilo Barbosa da Silva out
69'Cristian Pavón INJuan Nardoni out
69'Mathias Villasanti INJosé Enamorado out
72'Erick INMarinho out
78'Carlos Vinícius INMartin Braithwaite out
79'Gustavo MartinsFoul
81'Caíque Gonçalves INEdenilson out
82'Diego Tarzia INFabri out
82'Matheuzinho INTomás Pochettino out
90'Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira INRenato Kayzer out

Lineups

Vitoria
4-2-3-1Coach: Jair Ventura
Gremio
4-1-4-1Coach: Luís Castro
Lucas Arcanjo1L. ArcanjoLucas Arcanjo
Mateusinho98MateusinhoMateusinho
E. Brítez2E. BrítezE. Brítez
Luan Cândido36L. CândidoLuan Cândido
Jamerson83JamersonJamerson
Zé Vitor88Z. VitorZé Vitor
Caíque95CaíqueCaíque
Erick33ErickErick
Matheuzinho10MatheuzinhoMatheuzinho
D. Tarzia12D. TarziaD. Tarzia
Rene91ReneRene
Weverton1WevertonWeverton
Diego Caito27D. CaitoDiego Caito
Gustavo Martins6G. MartinsGustavo Martins
Wallace82WallaceWallace
Pedro Gabriel54P. GabrielPedro Gabriel
E. Noriega8E. NoriegaE. Noriega
Tetê11TetêTetê
M. Villasanti20M. VillasantiM. Villasanti
F. Krovinović10F. KrovinovićF. Krovinović
C. Pavón7C. PavónC. Pavón
Carlos Vinícius95C. ViníciusCarlos Vinícius

Vitoria Substitutes

26EdenilsonM
9Alex BrunoF
70FabianoD
23FabrícioF
7MarinhoF
11OsvaldoF
8T. PochettinoM
79Renato KayzerF
41Wendell SacramentoM
71Yuri SenaG
18KauanD
69Wanderson Estrela OliveiraD

Gremio Substitutes

3Wagner LeonardoD
65Riquelme FreitasM
5J. NardoniM
30Matheus NascimentoF
18João PedroD
12Gabriel GrandoG
2F. BalbuenaD
99J. EnamoradoF
15Danilo BarbosaM
38Caio PaulistaD
50Bernardo ZorteaM
22M. BraithwaiteF

Match Stats

VitoriaGremio
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards5
20Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls19
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
393Total Passes471
322Passes Accurate395
18Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

VitoriaVitoria
GremioGremio
1635Elo Rating 1633
0.93Attack 1.35
1.60Defense 1.87
23%Hit Rate 36%
12.7Shots per Game 11.1
4.4Shots on Target 4.4
4.1Corners per Game 2.9
2.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

VitoriaVitoria
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Vitoria 0%Draw 36%64% Gremio
2.46Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil · 16 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
26.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 73% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Vitoria and Gremio have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.