RB Bragantino vs Gremio Prediction

RB Bragantino
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Gremio
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista·Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
RB Bragantino Rest
3 days
Gremio Rest
7 days

RB Bragantino vs Gremio: result, form and history

RB Bragantino beat Gremio 1-0 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.62
X
23%4.00
2
17%5.30
Double Chance
1X
83%1.16
X2
40%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.85
No
50%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.8 = 2.25
Over 1.5
73%1.26
Over 2.5
46%1.87
Over 3.5
23%3.20
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
54%1.93
Under 3.5
77%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.2 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.43
Over 9.5
57%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.16
Under 8.5
33%2.57
Under 9.5
43%1.96
Under 10.5
59%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.9 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%1.15
Over 4.5
53%1.43
Under 3.5
31%3.85
Under 4.5
47%2.50

Match Events

14'Goal Disallowed - video reviewJ. Herrera
25'Juninho CapixabaRoughing
45+3'E. Noriega
46'Tete INC. Pavon out
64'F. Amuzu INJ. Cabral out
64'Eric Ramires INFabinho out
64'J. Herrera INH. Mosquera out
72'A. Sant'AnnaTripping
72'Lucas Barbosa INEduardo Sasha out
76'WevertonUnsportsmanlike conduct
86'WallaceRoughing
86'Rodriguinho INGustavo Neves out
86'Vinicinho INYuri Alves out
88'F. Krovinovic INCarlos Vinicius out
90+2'E. Noriega INDanilo Barbosa out
90+5'Gustavo MarquesAssist: Gustavo Neves

Lineups

RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Coach: Mancini Vagner
Gremio
4-1-4-1Coach: Luis Castro
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.74
Tiago Volpi6.918T. Volpi
Agustin Sant Anna7.223A. Sant Anna
Pedro Henrique7.914P. Henrique
Gustavo MarquesC8.916G. Marques
Juninho Capixaba7.929J. Capixaba
Eric Ramires6.97E. Ramires
Rodriguinho7.320Rodriguinho
José Herrera7.232J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa6.921L. Barbosa
Vinicinho7.617Vinicinho
Isidro Pitta6.39I. Pitta
Weverton6.71Weverton
Diego Caito6.927D. Caito
Wallace7.982Wallace
Wagner Leonardo6.93W. Leonardo
Marlon6.523Marlon
Erick Noriega7.38E. Noriega
Tetê6.321Tetê
Mathias VillasantiC6.220M. Villasanti
Filip Krovinović6.910F. Krovinović
Francis Amuzu6.99F. Amuzu
Martin Braithwaite6.222M. Braithwaite

RB Bragantino Substitutes

30Henry Mosquera64'for J. Herrera7.0
5Fabinho64'for Eric Ramires7.3
8Eduardo Sasha72'for Lucas Barbosa6.3
41Yuri Alves de Aquino86'for Vinicinho6.3
22Gustavo Neves86'for Rodriguinho6.9
1Cleiton
2Guzmán Rodríguez
4Alix Vinicius
34José Andrés Hurtado
35Matheus Fernandes
6Gabriel Girotto
15Ignacio Sosa

Gremio Substitutes

7Cristian Pavón46'for Tete6.3
77Jovane Cabral64'for F. Amuzu6.7
95Carlos Vinícius88'for F. Krovinovic6.7
15Danilo Barbosa90+2'for E. Noriega
12Gabriel Grando
2Fabián Balbuena
14Marcos Rocha
54Pedro Gabriel
43Luis Guedes
37Gabriel Mec
99José Enamorado
30Matheus Nascimento

Match Stats

RB BragantinoGremio
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
27Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal8
15Shots Inside Box8
12Shots Outside Box6
11Blocked Shots5
9Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
453Total Passes406
406Passes Accurate336
90%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
GremioGremio
1686Elo Rating 1653
1.81Attack 1.46
1.87Defense 1.91
44%Hit Rate 50%
19.8Shots per Game 16.9
7.5Shots on Target 5.1
7.2Corners per Game 7.0
2.0Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino4Wins · 45%
Draws444%
GremioGremio1Wins · 11%
2.6Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A13/03/2026
GremioRB Bragantino
11
Serie A04/10/2025
RB BragantinoGremio
10
Serie A10/05/2025
GremioRB Bragantino
11
Serie A15/09/2024
RB BragantinoGremio
22
Serie A01/06/2024
GremioRB Bragantino
02
Serie A15/09/2023
RB BragantinoGremio
20
Serie A07/05/2023
GremioRB Bragantino
33
Serie A16/11/2021
GremioRB Bragantino
30
Serie A01/08/2021
RB BragantinoGremio
10

Referee Profile

Felipe Fernandes de Lima185 matches

5.65Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
31.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felipe Fernandes de Lima5.65
Other referees5.13

5.65 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the RB Bragantino vs Gremio forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

RB Bragantino and Gremio in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, RB Bragantino are 8th and Gremio 15th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: RB Bragantino 44-39, Gremio 37-44. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

RB Bragantino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.